Trump is vulnerable, but 2020 announces surprisingly slow in the early states



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From Beth Fouhy

In Iowa and New Hampshire, the calls of presidential candidates for the Democratic presidency of 2020 are fast approaching.

Heavyweights like Senator California Kamala Harris, New Jersey Senator Cory Booker, and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, looking for offices, staff and support from local leaders, while hopefuls less known are planning visits to increase their visibility in the main States participating in the competition.

But with 2019 In just a few days, the impending competitions in Iowa (caucus date set for February 3, 2020) and New Hampshire (main date of February 11, 2020) have also been strangely static. Although more than two dozen Democrats plan to run for their party, no major candidate has announced their intention to engage, the hard-line campaigners have been slow to engage potential candidates and donors. keep their account book closed – for the moment.

To further complicate matters, the so-called "three B's" who have overtaken several advance polls – former Vice President Joe Biden, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and Texas Beto representative O 'Rourke – were almost absent from both states

According to New Hampshire Democratic Party chairman Raymond Buckley, the expected mass and the absence of an overwhelming favorite explain the slower dance among the candidates.

"It is extremely unusual for us not to have a supposed head runner, or someone of such importance that they automatically dominate the field." We do not have that cycle , "said Buckley.

Hillary Clinton fulfilled this role at this stage in both the 2008 and 2016 elections, as President Barack Obama ran for re-election in 2012.

Activists from both states are waiting to an acceleration in January, when several potential candidates will announce that they form an exploratory committee or declare thoroughly.

Warren is expected to make his first visit to Iowa early next year, after voluntarily abstaining in 2018 while she was standing in the Senate. Harris could announce a presidential announcement around a tour in several cities to promote his new book, "The Truths We Hold," which will be released Jan. 8.

Nevertheless, given the magnitude of the terrain expected, local Democratic organizers say they "do it." We were surprised by the relatively slow start in the two states where presidential politics can be a full-time business.

Sean Bagniewski, president of the Polk County Democrats in Iowa, said: Know who's moving first. And there is a real hesitation for anyone to sign with a candidate now, because you do not know who will enter. "

Among the so-called high-level candidates, Booker was the most visible in the early states." He spoke at the New Hampshire Democrats' victory celebration earlier this month and hosted the party rally in the state of Iowa in October.His PAC has contributed a lot to the political parties and Democrats who have run for office, and it has been one of the most aggressive in search of field personnel in both states.

Montana Governor Steve Bullock, a likely but less known hope, has impressed the Democrats of Iowa and New Hampshire and is actively planning his next moves He recently held a teleconference with donors from across the country, particularly to find out how to position himself among the first states to vote.

Other people considering an offer have also plunged into Iowa and New Hampshi New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand campaigned in New Hampshire with the Democrats before the mid-term, while Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar made a similar visit to Iowa. California representative Eric Swalwell visited Iowa several times, while Hawaii representative Tulsi Gabbard was in New Hampshire earlier this month.

Many activists from both states, however, expect to be informed by Biden, Sanders and O. Rourke. to a candidate.

Biden and Sanders, who enjoy national fame and an integrated network of supporters, are likely to wait for a moment to make their project known. Biden, who unsuccessfully presented at the party's inauguration in 1988 and 2008, said the family's concern would determine whether he was showing up or not. Sanders, who nearly toppled Clinton in 2016 with a progressive challenge from the left, can revive an existing network in both Iowa and New Hampshire.

O. Rourke, a newcomer in national politics, has nevertheless caught on fire with Democrats around the world. country with his challenge to Republican Senator Ted Cruz in Texas. O & # Rourke lost less than three points and raised at least $ 80 million through a popular national fundraising network that strategists believe can easily join as a presidential candidate.

Activists in Iowa and New Hampshire have heard little about anything. All three, but their shadows are big.

"Their entry, or their decision not to enter, has huge repercussions on the race," said Bagniewski. [ad_2]
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