Ukraine for two weeks in a "position": if he justified his military status and what will happen next



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For the first time in the history of the independence of Ukraine, for the first time in the history of the independence of Ukraine, or more precisely in parts of Ukraine, they live in a military state.

The military state, let us remember, began operating in ten regions: Vinnytsia, Lugansk, Mykolaiv, Odesa, Sumy, Kharkiv regions, Chernihiv, Donetsk, Zaporozhye, Kherson, as well as in the waters of the Azov-Kerch region.

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In accordance with the law ] the military state is a special legal regime As part of this decision, President Poroshenko assured that the main constitutional rights of citizens during the period of l & # 39; Military status would not be limited and measures would be taken in accordance with Ukrainian law. The law of 19659004] does not define the maximum duration of martial law, in contrast to the state of emergency that can not last more than 60 days.

Yaki way of life changed Ukrainian life in areas where there is sun? This is the site of Channel 24, renowned political scientist, professor at the Kiev-Mohyla Academy Alexei Garan .

Mr. Oleksiy, have you been exaggerated by the statements of MPs who, even voting "for", spoke of the ineffectiveness of introducing a "hybrid" military state into separate areas?

The military status that was introduced, I will call it preventive, test. What's he giving? Only the opportunity to verify the cooperation of structures and power in a state of emergency.

There is today a real threat of escalation of the conflict – Russia calls troops and strengthens its military presence in the Azov and Black Seas . Therefore, the calculation of the introduction of the sun was done on how to act if something was happening, so it was not a surprise to us. It is a single point. [196459014]
Military / Photo TSN

The second point is the moment of approval, that is to say to check the functioning of prepared power structures and power in order to Interacting

Many critics of the current government are convinced that the creation of a military state (even if it is not all over the country) is one of the elements of the election campaign. the current president Poroshenko. What do you think?

In fact, the elections have an impact on the actions of Russia. By the way, long before that (decision to introduce a military state – ed.), Analysts said that the Russian Federation would use the situation on the front to warm the temperature of Ukrainian society on the eve of the elections and undermine democracy while using the same principles. democratic means. Therefore, I would say this: as soon as Russia tries to place our power in a rather uncomfortable situation .

Here, imagine that the military state has not been put in place. What would our patriotic opposition say in this case? She said one thing: "Betrayal".

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But how does this affect the Election and does it actually affect the army? State?

We see that everything is being done to ensure that the elections do not interfere with the introduction of the military state. To this end, it was decided to limit the time spent in the armed forces for a month so that this case does not get confused with the election campaign.

Thus, Poroshenko is in the limelight as supreme commander-in-chief. Objectively, this really increases the attention paid to its form, authority and decision. On the other hand, the opposition also actively uses this issue to criticize the president . Once again, the patriotic opposition says that the decision is delayed and the pro-Russian opposition in turn declares that the military state was not necessary at all. That is to say that every political force is trying to obtain personal dividends.

How do you evaluate the impact on public life of the decision to introduce a military state in separate regions?

Now we see it, thank God. the decision on military status did not affect public life. At first, we worried about the way the banking system would work or the suspension of social payments that would be on our store shelves. But fortunately, all this negativity has been avoided. I would say that now the situation has stabilized .

Is it correct, in principle, to decide on the introduction of armed forces in certain areas?

military experts, but what I would like to draw attention to. We all saw how difficult it was to apply this decision (even in a limited way) through Parliament, maintaining all democratic procedures . The government went to the minimum conditions – 30 days and part of the territory.

Forgive me, for a somewhat cynical question, but the election or exacerbation in the Kerch Strait – which actually caused the introduction of the # 39; s army?

In a situation in the Kerch Strait, no one could react. Some now say that it was necessary to open fire on Russian ships and tighten Ukrainian aviation, but it was clear that all this was unrealistic and in this open battle [19659026wewoulddefinitelylose. Therefore, the answer was so asymmetrical.

But we found some inconsistencies (including those with the formulations of the presidential decree) that must be taken into account in the future.


The Russian aggression of Azov Yatsenyuk launched a vast publicity campaign

According to current legislation, the military state does not can not last more than 60 days. . Do you think the sun can be extended after the end of the 30 day period?

Yes, of course, in case of worsening of the situation, the military state may be extended, but again, it will have to be approved by Parliament, where it will obviously pose the question to the extent that it is justified. Members will need convincing arguments.

You used to say that the establishment of a military state was a test of preparation for coordinated co-operation between security forces and senior management. Has the passage already passed, is the test ready?

I am not ready to comment because, in reality, everything that happens is inaccessible to the general public.

What did we hear? Now the volunteers, who were in the ATO, have come out actively. We will check the readiness of the first reserve.

How do you evaluate the European and, in general, global reaction to the decision on the military and separately Russian state?

The Russian reaction is obvious: propaganda . Putin has already agreed that babies will eat. You know this sentence that says that the West savors Ukraine in every way and that if Kiev aggressively ordered babies to be given for breakfast, the West would submit them to us. I think – it's a very eloquent quote from Putin. And again a thesis, however, I do not remember exactly who said exactly … But the fact is that it is Russia that protects the West and Europe from the threat of fascism. "Brid" and the complaint, inherent to the Kremlin propaganda …

Regarding the international reaction as a whole, I will say it. At first it was clear that the world community is expecting more and more information on the situation in the Kerch Strait. But some countries immediately responded rigorously, others called on both sides to show restraint (Italy, Hungary, Bulgaria). Subsequently, we found that in the decisions of the EU and NATO, the position was clearly stated: it is about the aggression of Russia and the l '39; attack of Ukrainian ships has no justification. And with respect to the United States: Trump abandoned the meeting with Putin and it was made clear that the obligation to release Ukrainian seamen and ships had to be met.

In general, I think that in the West too, they feared that these events would be delayed. presidential election campaign. I think there was a concern and, apparently, there was talk of Poroshenko with representatives of the West, especially with Merkel. This is the result of the reduction of the military state to 30 days from the 60th

When one asks the Western representatives: "Was it necessary to enter a state military, has Ukraine responded adequately? " The position is: yes, there has been an aggressive act of Russia, and then Ukraine itself chooses how to react. In particular, Kurt Volker expressed this position.

Read also: Because of what is happening today in Azov, Kuchma should have been in prison – an expert

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