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WASHINGTON – The United States could see a high death rate for more than a decade as the economic fallout from the coronavirus lasts, underscoring the long-term health impact of the deep recession.
The nation’s death rate is expected to increase by 3% while life expectancy drops 0.5% over the next 15 years, representing 890,000 more US deaths, according to a working paper by researchers at Duke Universities , Harvard and Johns Hopkins. Over a 20-year period, this represents an additional 1.37 million deaths.
This will disproportionately hit black Americans and women in the short term, although it could have long term consequences for white men as well. For every 100,000 citizens, an additional 33 African Americans and 25 whites could die as a direct result of the economic impacts of COVID-19, data shows.
The new data highlights the scope of the recession, with lasting effects, even after a vaccine is widely available and short-term help from the federal government supports people’s incomes. Recessions are closely linked to health and mortality, with higher unemployment worsening the results for Americans.
In the early days of the coronavirus pandemic, the unemployment rate soared to nearly 15% and peaked at even higher levels for black Americans and Hispanic workers. The fallout continues: about 800,000 Americans declare themselves unemployed every week while the ranks of the long-term unemployed rise.
“Significant, sustained and swift government maneuvers to support the currently unemployed workforce and to reduce unemployment will be just as important as massive efforts to limit and eventually eradicate transmission” of COVID-19, wrote researchers in the document distributed by the National Bureau of Economic Research.
Deaths from desperation, or deaths from suicide and overdose, have also jumped 60% in the United States amid the pandemic and recession, according to another research paper by Casey Mulligan, professor at the University of Chicago. and former chief economist to President Donald Trump. Council of Economic Advisers.
Opioid overdose deaths, which were already high at the end of 2019, have increased further in the first months of the pandemic, research shows.
Story of Julia Fanzeres.
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