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That's why Jimmy Garoppolo earns $ 74 million in guaranteed money. That's why teams get frustrated and overdrafts are not ready every year. But the proof is in the pudding, as they say:
Of the 15 teams to win in Week 1, 14 were the best passing teams.
Efficiency of the passage measured here (Passes Net + 11 * TD + 9 * Pass1D -45) / (Pass Att + Sack) pic.twitter.com/W2NcBV2Cxq
– Football Perspective (@fbgchase) September 12, 2018
In addition to New Orleans, the teams that have done well have won. The range of results in the teams' respective floor games is obviously important and can make a special difference in the red zone. But you win in the air.
More specifically, you win by going in the air on the best crossing opportunities.
One of the most interesting pieces of the 2018 off-season came just before the start of the season: Josh Hermsmeyer's 538 NFL play became a league-bound … and was to become more from a passing league.
Despite … positive indicators, the teams are not willing to break their old habits and engage in many classic situations.
The biggest culprit is the first, the most traditional situation. This is where NFL coaches constantly miss an opportunity to pass, especially against defenses who have stacked the box or play at least seven defensemen near the line of scrimmage.
Let's see who actually went first and who did a good job:
First pass (2018 NFL Week 1)
Player | Att | Comp | yds | TD | Int | Sk | Evaluation | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Att | Comp | yds | TD | Int | Sk | Evaluation | Result |
Drew Brees | 25 | 19 | 239 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 118.6 | The |
Philip Rivers | 25 | 14 | 193 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 94.3 | The |
Andrew Luck | 23 | 16 | 92 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 91.2 | The |
Matthew Stafford | 22 | 15 | 164 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 86.2 | The |
Derek Carr | 20 | 14 | 160 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 72.9 | The |
Ben Roethlisberger | 20 | 9 | 154 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 32.1 | T |
Case Keenum | 19 | 14 | 157 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 75.9 | W |
Tom Brady | 17 | 11 | 105 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 121.0 | W |
Sam Bradford | 16 | 11 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 81.3 | The |
Eli Manning | 16 | 8 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 59.6 | The |
Matt Ryan | 16 | 7 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52.6 | The |
Tyrod Taylor | 16 | 5 | 78 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 43.2 | T |
Nick Foles | 16 | 8 | 41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30.2 | W |
Ryan Fitzpatrick | 15 | 13 | 304 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 158.3 | W |
Joe Flacco | 15 | 11 | 79 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 107.4 | W |
Jared Goff | 14 | 7 | 99 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 112.8 | W |
Mitch Trubisky | 14 | 12 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 92.6 | The |
Jimmy Garoppolo | 14 | 8 | 154 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 65.8 | The |
Russell Wilson | 13 | ten | 185 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 143.9 | The |
Patrick Mahomes | 13 | 8 | 119 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 131.1 | W |
Kirk Cousins | 13 | 9 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 86.1 | W |
Cam Newton | 13 | 8 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 77.4 | W |
Blake Bortles | 12 | 9 | 99 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 126.7 | W |
Aaron Rodgers | 12 | 9 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 118.1 | W |
Dak Prescott | 12 | 6 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 61.8 | The |
Deshaun Watson | 12 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 39.6 | The |
Ryan Tannehill | 11 | 9 | 125 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 153.6 | W |
Andy Dalton | 11 | 9 | 97 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133.7 | W |
Alex Smith | ten | 7 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 91.3 | W |
Blaine Gabbert | 9 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61.8 | The |
Sam Darnold | 7 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 35.1 | W |
Nathan Peterman | 6 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 59.0 | The |
Josh Allen | 6 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42.4 | The |
Marcus Mariota | 5 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18.3 | The |
It was not enough pass on the first laps, of course – he had to pass good. Andrew Luck's first 23 pass attempts yielded 92 passing yards, and six-quarters who started 20 or more passes in the first period went 0-5-1. The state of the game dictated that they pitch more; it was not necessarily part of the plan.
Eleven QB recorded a score of 100 or more on the first downs. They went from 9 to 2 and one of the two defeats (Drew Brees) came up against a QB at an even higher level (Ryan Fitzpatrick, who is currently at the rate of 6,600 yards and 64 touchdowns).
The range of potential successes is enormous. Meanwhile, 30 of the 32 teams averaged between 2.5 and 5.5 yards per game, passing the ball first. It's a huge difference, too, but it's pale compared to the game that goes on.
Whether running or, as you see above, going to the first place, he immediately looked to Dallas in second and second place. Dak Prescott attempted 23 passes in the second, third or fourth place, and on 19 of them, Dallas needed at least seven yards to move the chains.
Prescott did in fact 11 against 16, which does not matter, all in all. But the 11 completions only gained 96 yards, and he also took three sacks. He did not have time to look down, and given the few opportunities he had, he generally missed his shot and made only 3-by-9 passing the 10-yard mark. The defense kept the Cowboys in the match, but the attack simply had nothing to offer.
Here is the complete list of Darnold's third and fourth assists in the Detroit Jets defeat on Monday:
- 3rd and 6th of the NYJ 30: full pass to Neal Sterling for 6 meters
- Third and fifth of DET 42: sacked for -8 yards
- Third and seventh of DET 14: Complete the entire race at Quincy Enunwa for 8 yards
- Third and second of DET 41: go for 6 yards
- Third and sixth of NYJ 49: Full pass to Enunwa for 11 yards
- Third and second in DET 41: Robby Anderson completes for 41 yards, TD
- Fourth and Second of DET 32: Completely move to T. Cannon for 6 yards
- Fourth and Third in DET 19: Complete pass to Terrell Pryor for 17 yards
Now there is a context here. First, the clearest path to success generates first declines before third down; In addition, the Jets were so busy scoring goals that they made Darnold's job quite easy.
Still, Darnold was asked to make a game and he played on seven of them. It's a pretty good start for a fucking rookie.
During the first week, 519 passes were attempted, against 415 the first week of last season. At all levels, there were 1,319 attempts against 1,159 last year.
This can be a sign that the offensive coordinators understand their tasks a bit more. But it also meant more interceptions.
There were 39 interceptions in the first week, the highest number of opening weeks since 2003.
– ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) September 11, 2018
From the volume point of view, you expect that. But the interceptions rates were also higher: 2.3% the first week of 2017, 3.0% the first week of 2018.
Just in case you were reviewing the validity of the NFL pre-season statistics (and I know you were), here's something to keep in mind:
- Buffalo Nathan Peterman in the regular season 2017: 24 out of 49, 252 yards, 2 TD, 5 INT, 1 bag
- Peterman in the 2018 preseason: 33 for 41, 332 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, 2 bags
- Peterman in the opening match of the 2018 regular season: 5 for 18, 24 yards, 0 TD, 2 INT, 3 bags
One of those things … not like the others.
He only completed five passes, but two of them were basically long. He was 3-for-5 on the passes at the scrum line or behind. It's bad. He was 2 in 13 on the passes beyond the line of scrimmage. It's worse.
The bags are often difficult to interpret from the point of view of blame – sometimes they are on the QB, who should have gotten rid of the balloon earlier, and sometimes they are online. I think it's prudent to draw definite conclusions about a particular bag on Sunday.
Among the categories recorded by the Net Gen Stats department of NFL.com is the speed of the bag. In Sunday's Pittsburgh-Cleveland match, Myles Garrett dismissed Ben Roethlisberger in 1.97 seconds. It was faster than any bag in 2017. Go ahead, launch "Thousand and One Thousand" in your head. Yeah, that one was probably online. It's also, of course, that Garrett is terrifying.
Remember that the old complaint "Cree Carter only marks touchdowns" that Buddy Ryan has filed (which could be an attempt to protect Carter)? It was a good thing to sound like a bad thing, which just sounded stupid.
Sunday night, I found myself thinking of something in the same vein when DeShone Kizer replaced Aaron Rodgers, temporarily injured, in the final Green Bay victory over Chicago: Kizer seems to be a real NFL quarterback. never make a simple mistake – he only suffer disasters.
In nine attempts, Kizer was 4-in-7 for 55 yards with two sacks. He made two big finishes in third place: one to Randall Cobb to create a scoring opportunity and one to Ty Montgomery to get the Packers near the midfield. Neither one nor the other of the two sacks were so much on him either; Khalil Mack was on him right away and brought him down, and on the other side, Mack was quickly on him to leave the pocket, where Roquan Smith pulled him to the ground.
And even…
- On the first bag, Mack also shot the ball from his hands at the Chicago 18 – it was not a trial and error but a robbery.
- During his last pass, after appearing perfectly competent in his first six shots, he was pushed and hit as he threw, and the ball floated into Mack's hands for an interception and final touchdown.
That was the story of Kizer's brief career. He lost six fumbles and five of them entered his own car or that of his opponent. He threw 23 interceptions and while Mack was the first to return for a touchdown, 11 others were trapped in the opponent's red zone. He was an incoherent, young, and semi-promising quarterback between the 1920s and one of the worst QBs in NFL history in the 1920s. Is that perhaps falling back to the average at at a given moment? Perhaps?
I do not know what to say about Aaron Rodgers who led Green Bay to a 20-point comeback in the second period, on a leg that has not been said yet. throw could have had it had two good legs
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