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If Thursday night is an indication, the action of week 3 will be out of the cards. Tyrod Taylor suffers a concussion, Baker Mayfield scores a few points and leads the Browns to a comeback give them their first victory in 635 days. When people say that football is completely unpredictable, they are right at least one person called his shot on this).
More better paris
Which is a nice way to note this boy, I am unable to predict anything last week. In fact, I managed to make 0-5 in my best bets and although I have a litany of excuses, no one wants to hear them. In fact, the only excuse I can make here is that I did not listen; Faced with a series of problems as incredible as the scenario that Baker wrote Thursday night, I did not change course and tried to find different games.
I saw the train arrive and I did not bother going out of the lanes. I felt exactly how Sam Darnold watched, standing on the sidelines after intercepting his 21-17 team at the Fighting Mayfields and realized what was happening to him.
But like Darnold (and the Browns for two years before last night), I have to get off the mat and get some daggum winners. Let's go. Cry me on Twitter @WillBrinson and if you want all the information on the game, fantasy, DFS and football in general that your brain can handle daily, make sure to subscribe to the Pick Six Podcast.
What NFL choices can you confidently make in the third week? And which favorite breaks down? Visit SportsLine now to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50% of the simulations, all from the model that has beaten 98% of the experts in the last two years.
Seahawks -2 against Cowboys
This line has slightly moved in favor of the Seahawks, probably with money in the home team. It's a little surprising, as we have just seen these two teams play in prime time. The Cowboys seemed very dominant in a win over the Giants, and the most impressive part was their seventh on the defense. It was a bad formula for a Seahawks team that seemed very sloppy and was beaten against the Bears on Monday night, and Seattle allowed Russell Wilson to be sacked six times for the second consecutive game.
But what do you know? I do not write Seattle completely yet. First, they have the best quarterback in this game. Second, they faced two good defenses in Denver and Chicago to start the season. And finally, they play home for the first time this season. Do you know how many home games Pete Carroll lost in September since he landed the job with the Seahawks in 2010? Zero. Not one. Give me the local team here with less of a goal in the field.
Saints +3 at Falcons
Standard line game in the field Pete Prisco said on the podcast on Friday (register here!), he thinks this line "stinks", which, in my opinion, shows how much people appreciate these two teams. Most think the Falcons play a lot better, which is good, maybe. Atlanta battled the Eagles and beat a home defeated Carolina team last week. The Saints have lost a shootout against the Buccaneers and have almost lost against the Browns … but what if Tampa Bay and Cleveland are better than we think? It is very possible.
Playing outside of New Orleans could be a concern, but the Saints can play in a dome, so I do not sweat at all. This could be a "oh their defense East always good "match for New Orleans with an increased offensive line for Atlanta, and Alvin Kamara is expected to have a day on the field against a defensive missing Keanu Neal and Deion Jones.
Ravens -5.5 vs. Broncos
Baltimore lost Thursday night in a lousy match against Cincinnati, a game we probably should have seen because of the hype over a win over the Bills (unjustified). It's a pretty decent number of points, but I love some things about this game.
First, the Ravens have the best quarter (do not say it often). Two, John Harbaugh has 11-5 against the spread a double-digit loss. Third, Case Keenum is injured with a knee injury that, while not preventing him from playing, could limit him. And four, I'm not sure that the Broncos played anybody excellent either; they defeated the Seahawks and Raiders, who were both playing in Denver, by four points combined. Traveling on the east coast and facing a better opponent is a bad place for this team. Baltimore rolls very easily.
Redskins +2.5 vs. Packers
This is an overreaction to Sunday, and it would have been higher if not for you darn the children The referees let Minnesota escape with this Clay Matthews penalty. Washington did in fact seem very good against the Colts, I thought, except for most of the game. They could easily have won this game and I think it's too big a gap compared to a Green Bay team playing chicken with Aaron Rodgers' knee. The quaterback admitted this week It could be worse by continuing to play, and the Redskins have the ability to push the pocket and put pressure on passersby. This could be a problem for a fairly immobile Rodgers.
Sleeper to watch this week: Josh Doctson, who has not yet found the end zone this season, but who was targeted quite frequently and who should have had a good game last week, but for a difficult escape.
Colts +6.5 at Eagles
Little worried about this line as Carson Wentz returns and the Eagles coaches have a good knowledge of the Colts coaching group. Frank Reich was the CO under Doug Pederson last year and defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus was in Dallas before. – but I actually think that the benefit is even more important.
I also believe that the Colts are a better football team than we think. They showed a lot against the Redskins in Week 2, but people are telling it in Washington. This is not the case. The Colts turned, almost overnight, into a physical football team at the point of attack. Quenton Nelson is an avant-garde monster, a guy who likes to destroy defenders, and Andrew Luck enjoys additional protection and the opportunity to use Jordan Wilkins, Nyheim Hines and Marlon Mack from different ways in the racing game.
I will wait to choose this game: I really want to take Indy, but I am also concerned about the injuries of both teams. T.Y. Hilton did not practice from Friday morning and Anthony Castonzo either. Jack Doyle and Mack are also absent. If luck does not have weapons and less protection, I could stay out of the way. Unless the Eagles are just too short: Jay Ajayi, Darren Sproles, Jason Peters and Alshon Jeffery are all on the injury report. If these guys seem to play on Friday, I could stay away. But do not sleep on the Colts stealing this one.
Alternate: Chargers (+7) to (?) Rams
The "Battle of L.A." is down this weekend and I think the Chargers will be my only "alternative" choice for the SuperContest. injury report that I do not like, I can just zig and go with the chargers here.
The Rams are terribly scary: they have excellent defense with good turns and an uncomfortable defensive line. On the offensive, Todd Gurley has just started again last year after winning a new contract this season. Brandin Cooks is expected to have a monster year and Robert Woods remains underrated. Sean McVay is a genius with better memory than an elephant on Adderall.
But the Chargers should not be an underdog landing for someone in the same city where they play football. There are not enough Chargers fans in LA to present themselves at a home game, let alone a game away, but it's still a good football team. They were led by the leaders during week 1, but finally made a match. I was however impressed by the defeat of road play on the Bills. If they minimize mistakes and protect Philip Rivers, it will be a close match. The Bolts will probably find a way to spoil everything late (a horrible case figure or perhaps a missed field goal?) But they can stay close and potentially upset.
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