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Tesla started sales of the Model 3 in Canada in May and sold 456 cars after a series of deliveries at the end of the month, according to the vehicle registration data compiled by IHS Auto
The Evidence indicates that Tesla has boosted Model 3 shipments to Canada for two reasons. First, sending vehicles to Canada could have helped postpone the 200,000th Tesla delivery to the United States until the third quarter. The sale of 200,000 triggers the withdrawal of the $ 7,500 federal tax credit in the United States, and its extension until the third quarter could delay the withdrawal of Tesla buyers by three months.
June elections in Ontario, during which the main candidate, Doug Ford, said he planned to cut the province's generous tax credits for electric cars, which could reach 10,645 $ ($ 14,000 Canadian). Ford continued to win the elections on June 4, although the credits are still in place at the moment.
READ THIS: Tesla is approaching the limit of 7,500 federal tax credits, which will raise the effective prices this fall Model 3 sales were only the fourth highest among electric cars in May , but still represented the top 10 sales for a single electric car model in a single month in Canada.
2% Crossover
Tesla's Model 3 relies on the sales force of the other electric cars of the month, including the Nissan Leaf, the Chevrolet Bolt EV and the Volt, the Mitsubishi Outlander and the Toyota Prius Prime, as reported in Green Car Reports & # 39; s
With strong sales of PHEV Hyundai Ioniq, Chrysler Pacifica PHEV and Ford Fusion Energi (with about 200 sales each), sales of electric vehicles May rechargeable batteries amounted to 5,000 units. by far their most successful mount In Canada, sales of rechargeable electric cars in Canada in May 2018: rewrite records
The plug-in market share rose to 2.3% in May, just eight months after having reached 1% for the first time (in September 2017)
June sales seem even stronger
Connected vehicle sales and share of market in Canada, June 2018
Enlarge the picture
"Shining" at 3% in June?
Tesla's secret makes it difficult to guess the delivery volumes before the publication of the vehicle registration data. Buyers who collected information from Tesla store representatives gave the impression that delivery targets across Canada would be between 1,500 and 2,500 in June, even if they included 456 in May and Model S and Model X deliveries.
Tesla Model 3 Owners Club Troy reader (Twitter: @TroyTeslike) analyzed member report data and Tesla presentation to guess Canada would see 296 deliveries in May and 1,023 in June. If one extrapolates from the 456 actual May sales, this would imply Canadian model 3 shipments in June of about 1,600, a monthly increase of nearly 1,000 cars
Tesla said 18,440 total model 3 shipments in the second quarter, with InsideEVs estimating 3,875 US deliveries in April, 6,250 in May and 6,050 in June. That leaves 2,265 deliveries in Canada in May and June. The subtraction of 456 in May would leave 1,809 Model 3 shipments to Canada in June, which corresponds to Troy's analysis adjustment
Never Wanting to Underestimate Tesla, Green Car Reports estimates that Tesla sold 1,850 3s above the 49th parallel in June, being both a round number and one of importance for hockey.
Provisional June sales estimates were also made for the S and X models (295 and 382 respectively) quarterly results, and web chatter, and more important for hockey. (The first reader of Green Car Reports to identify the importance of the three characters in the world of hockey in the comments will have the right to boast and may be mentioned in the article of the month next.)
If Tesla can increase model 3 shipments from one month to another of 1,500 units, and if automakers are eager to land sales in Ontario before the Repeal of provincial rebates, the Canadian market for plug-in electric vehicles could exceed 6,000 units in June. This would put the sector on the verge of achieving a 3% market share – a remarkable achievement. Doubling because if the Ontario government disconnects support for the electric vehicle policy, it may take years for the Canadian market to return to June's high-water mark.
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