A mysterious "Undervote" could eventually settle the race in the Senate of Florida

The number of votes in the Florida Senate race continues to shrink. Governor Rick Scott has just 15,000 votes as Democratic outgoing President Bill Nelson, and it is likely that the number of temporary and late votes abroad will decline.

At the end of the initial recount, the final result will be at the center of the debate: a significant inferiority in Broward County, the most democratic county in the country, and the possibility that the design of the poll, which could have made the choice more difficult of the Senate, will end up costing the Democrats a seat in the Senate.

Disgrace when a voter votes but do not vote in any of the contests listed on the ballot. At the present time, there are many under-voting in the Senate race at Broward.

If Mr. Scott eventually wins with a margin of 10,000 votes or less, it is the sub-votes of Broward County that cost Mr. Nelson the run.

Broward County reported about 25,000 fewer votes for the Senate than for the governor, a difference of about 3.7%. That means voters left their Senate choice blank, or the choice was not counted because of a tabulation error, such as a problem with equipment. This is very unusual and nothing resembles this difference elsewhere in the state. Immediately in front of Miami-Dade County, about the same number of people voting in the Senate race and the governor's race.

There are two distinct types of under-voting in Broward County.

Undervotes in the 24th Congressional District

A particularly large number of underrated people came from the part of Broward County that belongs to the 24th congressional district, a discrepancy first identified by Matthew Isbell, a Democratic consultant. There, the under-voting is about 9%. In other parts of this congressional district – in Miami-Dade County – there is no significant under-vote.

One possibility is that there is some kind of tabulation error, because the extent of the sub-assignment is very important. If this is true, the votes could be recovered in a recount.

If the under-voted ballots were similar to those of other electors in each office and were found, they would add a net total of 1,500 votes to Mr. Nelson's total.

The rest of Broward County

In other parts of Broward County, the under-voting rate was approximately 3.3%. If you re-allocated the underestimated votes to MM. Scott and Nelson by polling station, depending on how each polling station voted, would give Mr. Nelson 8,300 additional votes.

Together, these 8,300 votes and 1,500 votes would mean about 9,800 additional votes for Mr. Nelson.

With a margin of 15,000 and likely to decrease further, we are close to being within the Broward sub-command margin, which means it could be essential.

If there was no tabulation error and the votersthey did not vote in the Senate.this, the votes would not be recovered in a recount.

One possible culprit: the design of the ballot

In Broward County, Senate competition appeared in the lower left of the first page, under a series of instructions translated into several languages. This conception could explain the destitution if even a small fraction of the electors, thinking that this was part of the instructions, neglected the race in the Senate.

The only other race that appeared on the lower left of the ballot was the congressional race. There seems to have been a similar under-vote in these contests. In the 22nd and 23rd districts of Florida, the only two disputed congressional districts inside Broward, the undervalue was just as big as in the Senate race. There has been virtually no disavowal in congressional contests in the eighth and eighteenth districts, located in counties north of Broward.

There is another possible explanation to why there were so many sub-votes in the 24th district. The 24th District House race has not been contested and Florida is one of the few states where votes have not been counted in unchallenged races. We have not yet acquired a picture of the ballot in the 24th arrondissement, but it is possible that the race in the Senate was held in the lower left corner, making it even easier to miss.

Mr. Scott filed a lawsuit against Broward County election officials, who have also been criticized by President Trump and other Republicans. Broward's vote count was particularly slow, and his late vote count reduced Scott's lead. But if the slow vote count seems to help the Democrats, it seems possible that Broward's vote ultimately costs the Democrats a seat in the Senate.