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A tropical storm could escape this week due to bad weather off the Caribbean. But do not panic.
Winter weather crossing South Carolina and pushing rain from the southwest will move the Atlantic storm away at sea, forecasters said Monday. This is a climatic sign that the 2018 hurricane season could be on the end, at least for this state.
The colder temperatures, the blowing wind and the fast cooling waters cut the jets. The temperature in Charleston harbor on Monday was in the 60's.
Whether the weather system becomes tropical storm Patty or not, it "will head north late this week, well to the east of the US coast, and will have no impact on the southeast", said the meteorologist Jeff Masters, of the private company Weather Underground.
"We are moving to a more wintery setup, and (the storm) will probably be the last system we will see become a tropical depression in the Atlantic this year," Masters said. A tropical depression is a weaker tropical storm.
At the same time, rains from the southwest should be abundant and forecasters from the National Meteorological Service in Colombia have called for flooding on the Congaree River by Thursday. But that will probably not have much impact in Charleston.
The Edisto River flows 5 feet below the flood level. The Santee River could be flooded somewhere near Jamestown with the dam discharge on Marion Lake, where the Congaree is emptying.
But the biggest chance could be a small local flood in downtown Charleston on Thursday morning, the day the rain will be the strongest, said meteorologist James Carpenter of the Charleston Weather Office.
The National Hurricane Center on Monday gave the weather a 90% chance of a tropical depression over the next few days and warned the Puerto Rican islands in southeast Bahamas to monitor it.
Masters said Friday that the storm should head north and that heavy rains could fall on Bermuda.
The hurricane season in the Atlantic is officially not over until November 30th. But less than 10 storms formed after November 10 in the entire ocean, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, and for more than a century since the center began to keep track.
Once the winter wind conditions set in, meteorologists said there was virtually no chance of a storm hitting the United States from the Atlantic and only a small chance to be Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico.
Contact Bo Petersen Reporter on Facebook, @bopete on Twitter or at 1-843-937-5744.
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