[ad_1]
Streaming your starting QB, TE, or D / ST is not the goal in fantasy football. Aim, if you're weak at a position where you can pick up up usable fantasy weeks from the waiver wire can be a beneficial process. In typical start-one quarterback, tight end, and D / ST 12-team formats, most of your leagues should not – and should not – carry a QB or D / ST backup. Positional scarcity leaves with the plausible weekly starting options based on their matchup and expected game-flow.
Simply put, because they are able to predict their success, and they are easier to predict their bottom line, if they can stream their "onesie" positions (usually their defense) better than their opponent.
There are six more teams on this weekend (Buffalo, Cleveland, Miami, New England, New York Jets, and San Francisco), but, unfortunately – it's a fairly thin slate for streamers:
quarterbacks
Floor and Ceiling: Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee vs. Titans. Indianapolis Colts
The Titans are out of the doldrums of their schedule, and Marcus Mariota is back to performing near his ceiling. With two top-eight weekly QB finishes in Weeks 9-10, Mariota now faces a Colts' defense that was just whacked by Blake Bortles (320 yards, 2 TDs, 112 pass rating) in Week 11. Mariota is also averaging a career- high 29.8 yards rush yards, buoying his floor if he struggles to pass. Simply put: Mariota is doing a good job on a competitive odds ratio (43 percent).
Floor: Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas vs. Cowboys. Atlanta Falcons
Between two passing TDs, Dak Prescott now has multiple scores in four-straight games. He enters Week 11 in a prime spot, in theory, against a Falcons side permitting the fifth-most passing fantasy points by dropback and third-most QB rushing yards per game. Alex Smith and Nick Foles are the only two quarterbacks that have failed to finish a top-10 fantasy signal-callers against Atlanta. Meanwhile, Prescott has finished a top-10 fantasy pass in three of his last four.
Note: If Joe Flacco is out in Week 11, Lamar Jackson will become a trendy streamer ahead of the Ravens date against the crumbling Bengals. Obviously, Jackson is known for his legacy and explosive ability, giving him plenty of rushing upside for fantasy. If forced to start Jackson, the Ravens will be very difficult to use Jackson's dual-threat ability. Baltimore is presently the most pass-happy team in the NFL when the scoreboard is neutral (66 percent), which can not happen with this early in his development. Still, Jackson struggled mightily passing by PFF's charts this preseason (77.3 pass rating, 6.0 YPA, 50 percent completions, 8 sacks absorbed). He's a ridiculous runner, but Jackson's low passing floor should be cautiously optimistic ahead of his debut. The Bengals are allowing the ninth-most passing fantasy points for a drop-back and a fifth-worst success.
Tight Ends
Floor: Jeff Heuerman, TE, Denver vs. Broncos. LA Chargers
In Demaryius Thomas' Week 9 absence after he was dealt to Houston, Jeff Heuerman made the best of the Broncos open opportunity. Before the bye, Heuerman dropped a quiet 10/83/1 on the Texans and actually led the Broncos in targets (11) in the game. Keenum's security blanket, Heuerman sneakily leads Denver in red-zone passing looks for this season (1.3), too. Perhaps Demaryius' departure sparks just enough to give Heuerman streaming appeal. Remember, Case Keenum made Kyle Rudolph the PPR TE10 last season. The Chargers have been one of the tighter defenses against TEs – they are allowing the ninth-fewest fantasy points per target – we have to follow the small-sample volume in a terrible season at the position.
Deep: Ricky Seals-Jones, TE, Arizona vs. Cardinals. Oakland Raiders
Seals-Jones has yet to find a place in the Cardinals pass attack. His last five games have been knocked out (0/0, 5/69, 2/12, 2/12, 5/51) with Josh Rosen. Week 11, however, could be positively spiked for Seals-Jones. The Raiders are hilariously permitting 2.51 PPR points per target to enemy tight ends, by far the worst clip in the NFL. The Chargers rarely use their tight ends and only managed 3/48 to Antonio Gates and Virgil Green last week, but Oakland was demolished by George Kittle (4/108/1) and Colts TEs (10/133/3) in their two prior contests. RSJ is a matchup "play and pray" option for desperate managers in need of a tight end.
Deep: Jonnu Smith, TE, vs. Tennessee Titans. Indianapolis Colts
Smith has averaged 2.7 targets and 29.7 yards per game over the last three weeks, but the second-year tight end is just enough red-zone opportunity to be able to maintain a reasonable floor. Smith posted a five-week high 92 percent snap rate in Week 10 against the Patriots. 9.6 PPR points (5/46 on six targets) to Jags' little-used TE James O'Shaughnessy. Over the full year, the Colts are allowing 8.77 yards per target to tight ends (seventh-most).
Defenses
Floor and Ceiling: Arizona Cardinals D / ST Vs. Oakland Raiders
Derek Carr has absorbed 4.0 sacks per contest in this span. Per Next Gen Stats, Arizona leads the NFL in blitz rate (42 percent) while it's all over the world. Carr's 4.3 air yards for the last five weeks by far the lowest clip in the NFL. Load up on Cards' D.
Ceiling: Pittsburgh Steelers D / ST Vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Pittsburgh's defense has been tightened up by just 7 months, allowing just 5.7 Pass YPA (second-fewest) on their last three games. The Steelers have limited enemy aerial attacks to a lowly 42 percent success rate (fifth-best) in this span because of their relentless, blitz-heavy scheme. In this mini-hot-streak, the Steelers have a double penetration rate of 46 percent of pass plays, spelling potential disaster for Blake Bortles in Week 11. Per Next Gen, Bortles Owns a 6.0 completion rate below expectation when blitzed this season, the eighth-worst clip.
Deep: New York Giants D vs. ST Tampa Bay Buccaneers
'Fitzmagic' giveth and taketh away.
Look, the Giants defense is not very good – they're bottom-10 in yards, points, turnovers, and sacks per drive – the Bucs' consistently sloppy offense at least keep the G-Men in play on a weak streaming slate. Even though Tampa is 11th in points scored per game, they're giving up an absurd 2.8 turnovers per game (most) while Ryan Fitzpatrick has been under pressure on 35 percent of his dropbacks over the last two weeks (eighth-worst). The Cardinals and Steelers D / ST's are the preferred favorite Week 11 plays, though.
– Graham Barfield is the managing editor of fantasy football content at NFL.com. Follow him on Twitter @GrahamBarfield.
[ad_2]
Source link