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Like some other traditional measures of baseball performance, a launcher's win / loss record is only really useful at the margins. If a moundsman wins 24 games, then, yes, he was probably very good. At the other end of the continuum, if a thrower goes, for example, to 3-17, then you can rightly assume that he did not do a good job of keeping the throws of the board.
In the vast intermediate territory, however, the victories and defeats of the pitchers do not tell us much in terms of comparison between pitchers. The victories are partly the product of the performance of the launcher, certainly, but are just as much the product of the support of the execution and the support of the corrector. Victories and defeats at the team level are the most important statistics. At the pitcher, however, they darken more than they illuminate. That is, they belong to the ranking and not to the discussions about the value of the pitcher.
All this brings us to Jacob deGrom. The rightful of the Mets Wednesday was named the winner of the Cy Young National League Award for 2018. DeGrom also took 29 of the 30 votes from first place. That goes without saying, while deGrom has gotten an average of EUR 1.70m in 217 innings (a mother by 2018) and eliminating nearly a third of the hitters that he has faced. It was really one of the most dominant launch seasons of his era. There is also that …
Yes, deGrom won 10 miseries against nine losses. Never has a starting pitcher won so few games and still claimed the Cy Young Award. Of course, Cy Young's voters placed paramount importance on wins and losses, and less than a generation ago, DeGrom would not have finished in the top five, despite the painful EER.
Times have changed, however. Now, voters are watching for the terrible support DeGrom has received (the Mets scored only 3.5 points in nine starts). They observe that deGrom has allowed three points or less in 31 of his 32 starts this season. two points or less in 23 starts; and one or zero races out of 18 starts. They may have even noticed that their defeat was marked despite a good start on nine different occasions last season. We could continue. The fact is that voters have recognized that DeGrom excelled in the areas he was most familiar with. His teammates, however, do not have …
Brutal but factual. So deGrom – although he was 22nd tied in NL (tied with, among others, Chris Stratton and Luis Castillo) and had fewer wins this season than Max Scherzer and Aaron Nola during the stars – was one of the votes to be the 13th unanimous winner of Cy Young in the history of NL. Progress is what it is.
Voters simply do not pay much attention to victory. The complete marginalization of the pitcher's victory will occur when we have a starting pitcher who wins the Cy Young despite a losing record. DeGrom started his last two starts of the regular season at 8-9, so he could have been the test case. Alas and alack, he has awarded a total of points over the last two starts, and even the Mets offensive has not been able to spoil that.
So, is the victory dead? Nah. As long as we continue to count the victories and defeats of the pitchers and to feast baseball cards and TV shows with them, it's not dead. The DeGrom routing of all participants in the AL Cy Young poll in 2018, however, proves that the victory of the pitcher is more unimportant than ever.
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