Who is most likely to beat Theresa May?


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<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "The prospect of an election to the leadership of the conservative party continues swirling after a murderous week for Theresa May, which saw the draft agreement on Brexit, she agrees with the EU, it has almost completely failed. " Theresa May, which saw the draft agreement on Brexit, she agreed with the EU.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "25 conservative MPs have publicly stated to have written letters requesting a vote of censure in the PM, which has today defended its agreement at a conference of business leaders. "data-reactid =" 23 "> 25 Conservative MPs have publicly stated that they had written letters requesting a vote of censure in the PM, who today defended his agreement at a conference of business leaders.

There is much speculation that a considerable number of letters have been submitted anonymously.

A vote of no confidence is triggered when 48 letters are submitted to Graham Brady, chair of the 1922 committee. Many predict that the threshold will be reached this week.

However, there is no obvious supporter to take over from Ms. May, which leaves a strong chance to win a vote of confidence. If this happens, another leadership election can not take place in the next 12 months.

Theresa May could face a leadership challenge this week (PA Images)

<p class = "canvas-atom-text-canvas Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "If it loses and an election is triggered , aA member wishing to be a candidate needs the support of two other members to be included on the ballot."data-reactid =" 38 "> If it loses and that an election is triggered, aA member wishing to be a candidate needs the support of two other members to be included on the ballot.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Conservative MPs then vote using the first-past-the-post system. If more than three candidates are nominated, the one with the lowest proportion of votes is eliminated and another ballot is held. This process continues until there are only two candidates left."data-reactid =" 39 ">Conservative MPs then vote using the first-past-the-post system. If more than three candidates are nominated, the one with the lowest proportion of votes is eliminated and another ballot is held. This process continues until there are only two candidates left.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "The Conservative Party members then vote for both nominees and the winner becomes the new leader."data-reactid =" 40 ">The Conservative Party members then vote for both nominees and the winner becomes the new leader.

These are the prospective candidates to take over – and their realistic chances of doing so.

Dominic Raab

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "The former secretary of Brexit, who resigned last week to protest Theresa May's agreement on Brexit, is currently the favorite of bookmakers to beat the prime minister in an election to the party leadership, odds hovering around 7/1 for major betting companies. "data-reactid =" 43 "> The former Secretary of Brexit, who resigned last week to protest Theresa May's agreement on Brexit, is currently the favorite of bookmakers to beat the prime minister in a leadership election, with odds hovering around 7 out of 1 among major betting companies.

His decision to abandon the deal, which is hated by hard Brexite specialists, could allow him to benefit from the support of the faction that wants to install a Eurosceptic to renegotiate a Brexit deal with the country. EU.

However, it is also perceived by many as a loss of responsibility for a Brexit deal that he himself has been tasked with negotiating. This failure as a minister is considered to suggest that the minister's position is not appropriate.

Here are the ratings on the next conservative leader proposed by the main British betting sites (Oddschecker).

Sajid Javid

The Secretary of State for the Interior is the second highest bookmaker to occupy the first place in the Conservative Party, with odds ranging from 11/2 to 8/1.

It has been widely supported by its performance in its current role, condemning the hostile environment policy and helping the government to turn around visas for highly skilled migrants.

Javid may have damaged his reputation with the Brexiteers by campaigning for Rest during the EU's referendum campaign, but he has since become more or less become a staunch supporter of Brexit.

Boris Johnson

The former Foreign Secretary left the government in July because of Theresa May's treatment of Brexit. Since then, he has regularly criticized his approach, leading the Brexiteer's calls to "chuck checkers".

The bookmakers make him crack the heels of Javid and Raab, with a chance as short as 6/1 to take over.

According to a poll by the popular ConservativeHome organization, Mr. Johnson would be the favorite among party members to take the helm.

However, he is an unpopular figure among conservative MPs and his stays in the Foreign Office have been considered unsuccessful, even disastrous by his colleagues. He is unlikely to get enough support from Conservative MPs – although that is not impossible.

Michael Gove

Michael Gove is clearly going for the top job, facing Ms. May in the last leadership race.

The odds for him as next leader range from 6/1 to 9/1.

He is popular among Eurosceptics and has been cautious about the Prime Minister's position on Brexit.

His position as Environment Secretary has earned him public favor, and his war on plastic has been a huge hit with voters.

However, Gove allegedly stabbed Boris Johnson in the back in the last presidential election, drawing support from his colleague to launch his own candidacy. The memory of this means that a number of MPs still regard him as untrustworthy.

Jeremy Hunt

Former Remainer member and cheerleader of Brexit, Jeremy Hunt is considered a safe pair of hands among an assortment of cowardly coworkers.

However, he recently irritated the remains – and the European Union – by comparing the European Union to the Soviet Union, which damaged his reputation.

He has publicly supported Thérèse May on several occasions, promising her "full support", but he could still throw himself into the ranks in the event of an election.

The betting companies put it between 7/1 and 12/1 to take over.

Jacob Rees-Mogg

Jacob Rees-Mogg repeatedly insisted that he did not want to run his party. But the committed Brexiteer has a solid base of disgusting fans to the EU who would like him to do it.

The member has not yet held a ministerial post and, realistically, is too dissociative to have a lot of chances to appear on the ballot.

However, bookmakers offer odds as low as 11/2 so that they can win a leadership race.

What about the Prime Minister himself?

There is no single candidate supported by the Conservative Party, which means that the likely winner of a no-confidence vote will be Ms. May herself.

If more than half of her party supports her, she can stay in office and can not be challenged for another year.

Someone else?

Another former secretary at Brexit, David Davis, would still have his eyes on the hot seat after the failure of his candidacy for leadership in 2005.

Penny Mourdant, another Brexiteer, might have a chance. However, she was reluctant to resign as a result of Theresa May's Brexit deal, and her decision not to do so could hurt her popularity with Brexit fans.

Andrea Leadsom, who played against Ms. May last time, also has a shot. She is thought to be the leader of cabinet ministers trying to change the Prime Minister's Brexit strategy from within.

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