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Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees does a blockbuster business On Monday night The Mariners sent James Paxton to New York in exchange for three hopes: left-handed Justus Sheffield, goaltender Dom Thompson-Williams and right-handed Erik Swanson.
To make sense of the trade, we asked the former minor league editor of the Baseball Prospectus, Craig Goldstein, to clarify the outlook for us. You can follow Craig on Twitter (@cdgoldstein).
Do you think the sailors received a fair package for Paxton?
I think it's fair, but right. Paxton is a dynamic pitcher who is at the top of the rotation when he is in good health, but who still is not, and he has two years left before the end of free time. Sheffield is an electric arm that can touch the 96 with sink and has two side lights that both flash (slider, change). The problem is that despite its athleticism, it often lacks control and will sometimes lack control. This, coupled with its small size and lack of record-breaking starter throws, raises many questions as to whether he is a long-time starter.
I think he can do it, especially since we have been asking for fewer and fewer activists in recent times, but that calls into question the ultimate value received. Maybe it will end up being a Miller / Hader-esque multi-sleeve pickup, and it's not a bad result! But is it worth two years of a real asset?
Can Sheffield eventually replace Paxton at the top of the Seattle rotation?
He has the talent to be a No. 2 star if everything is heard. This corresponds to Paxton's range of results, given the time that he has missed over the years, but the most conservative thought current would place him at the center of the rotation. Six years of this kind compared to two of Paxton are not a bad compromise, but it is also difficult to create a real winner from this type of long-term compromise (although we have seen slight rotations around the clock). take home, that is, Kansas City Race).
What is the book about Thompson-Williams?
Shot to be a fourth type of outside field, with a probability of a guy up and down he can hit. He has athletics to go looking for him in the outfield, but he is still as tough with a bunch of back and forth likely to be exploited in the upper levels of the miners, where the pitchers will make less mistakes than it can take. advantage of while hitting him on the inside on the hands. Not a bad piece to have, but probably more than a fourth coin in these types of swaps than a third.
What about Swanson?
Potential beginner. Sits down in the mid 90s with his fastball and hits harder during a good day. He will throw a slider and a curve, as well as his change, giving him the arsenal to turn an alignment over and over. He has a frame to record the innings, but in the end, the content could play better, and inconsistencies might be less obvious, though he was coming out of the paddock. Swanson is another possibility of being a multi-sleeve lifter thanks to the multitude of terrains at its disposal. It's an intriguing guy, but I think pretty tame as a second piece of an arm that has as much impact as Paxton.
Where are these three ranks in the seamen's system?
Falsely high? My previous editing for the Seattle system was Janet from The Good Place. Sheffield is the best prospect of the system at the present time, and it is not particularly tight. Swanson is in the top ten, and probably comfortably. Thompson-Williams could have a case for the last rank of the top 10, but that says more about the state of the Mariners system than on Thompson-Williams. It should not really be close to any of these lists in a normal organization.
Can the Yankees still afford another big business?
Yes. Sheffield was their best prospect as the offseason approached, but they still have guys like Estevan Florial, Everson Pereira, Chance Adams, Jonathan Loaisiga, Roansy Contreras, Luis Gil, Antonio Cabello, and so on. These may not all be known names, but they all have value and are interesting around the league.
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