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Thanksgiving is here, and we all have things to do and people to see, so let's joke around and get straight to things.
NFL Week 12 is up and Mike Cole, Andre Khatchaturian and Ricky Doyle of NESN.com are ready to serve their choice against the NFL.
First, here is how they behaved last week.
Mike Cole: 9-3 (80-75-3 in general)
Ricky Doyle: 5-7 (78-77-3)
Andre Khatchaturian: 6-6 (84-71-3)
Here are their choices from week 12 with courtesy lines from OddsShark.
THURSDAY, NOV. 22
(-3) Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions, 12:30 ET
Mike: Lions. Many work against Chicago here, including the fact that they played Sunday night. This means that their two games will start at 88 hours apart. This sounds bad for attack football. It is almost certain that Chase Daniel will be at the center of the race, while the Lions, whether they are disappointed or not, are still stealthy in the playoffs.
Ricky: Lions. You feel it? No, it's not the turkey that burns. It's a disappointing pie offered by the Bears, who have won four straight wins, including a 34-22 win over the same Lions just 11 days ago. Detroit has covered five of its last six matches on Turkey Day. It will create a low surprise this week thanks to an understandable inconsistency in the Chicago offense following Mitchell Trubisky's injury.
Andre: Bears. Chicago leads the NFL in rushing yards, so it could be a high-volume match for Matt Stafford. The Lions are 0-4 when he throws the ball more than 40 times this season.
Washington Redskins at (-7.5) Dallas Cowboys, 4:30 pm
Mike: Redskins. I love it from OddsShark: The Cowboys are 9-1 in their last 10 favored games of 7.5 or more, but are just 1-9 against the spread. In addition, three of Dallas' victories this season went against the last-ditch defense, while Washington has the second-best defense on the road in the league.
Ricky: Redskins. It's really bad the Redskins have lost Alex Smith for the season. But do not do as he was separating the defenses. The 34-year-old ranked 26th in yards per game (218) and 25th as a passer (85.7) with only 10 touchdowns in five steals. I'm not saying that Colt McCoy will trigger the Washington attack, but I also do not think the decline will be visible as long as the Redskins implement a conservative game plan and rely on their defense to maintain this confrontation. divisional. In addition, the Cowboys are 0-7 ATS in their last seven Thanksgiving matches, regardless of their value.
Andre: Cowboys. Washington has the third-worst per-game rushing differential in the NFL since Week 5, but they are 4-3 with a differential of more than 10 losses in that period. Alex Smith's greatest strength was not returning the ball and now he's gone. Washington has also allowed 100 yards or more in the last three games.
Atlanta Falcons at (-13) New Orleans Saints, 8:20 pm.
Mike: The hawks. I know that the Falcons have won their last two games with an average of 39.5 points (!), But it still gives too many points for a division game against a team with as many weapons as that of the team. ; Atlanta.
Ricky: Saints. The Falcons allowed 93 of the NFL's worst passes for 815 yards afterwards by opposing half-offs. According to Pro Football Focus, they rank 31st. In appearance, it seems to be far too many points, but I really do not know how Atlanta plans to slow down the high-powered attack in New Orleans. Saints punter Thomas Morstead might as well stay at home for the turkey with his family.
Andre: The hawks. Atlanta allows the highest number of yards per game in the NFL since the fifth week. Something tells me it's not a good recipe for success against Drew Brees. But the defense against the Saints is not particularly good and Matt Ryan has quietly started an excellent season with 22 touchdowns and three interceptions in his last nine games. He will be able to follow this shooting.
SUNDAY, NOV. 25
Cleveland Browns at (-3) Cincinnati Bengals, 1pm.
Mike: Bengals. The Browns' three wins came when they forced at least two turnovers. It may be difficult this week against a Cincinnati team that has returned five times in their last seven games. Get A.J. The green back will also help Cincy.
Ricky: Browns. This season was a step in the right direction for the Browns, who actually won a match – three games, in fact, plus a tie! – and has been competitive in most contests. The only thing they did not do? Win on the road. (Cleveland has lost 25 consecutive away games since the fifth week of the 2015 season.) It ends this Sunday when Nick Chubb and Duke Johnson decide and dice the porous and exhausted Bengal defense.
Andre: Browns. None of these teams are particularly successful, but the Browns have the second best turnover differential in football. Andy Dalton has the highest interception rate among quarterbacks with at least 300 pass attempts.
(-3) Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills, 1 pm
Mike: Invoices. The Jags should not score points on the road against anyone, especially against a rather decent Bills defense. Buffalo should be the subject of all sorts of surprises and firefighters to show up with Josh Allen at the quarterback – you think the Bills have forgotten the comments of Jalen Ramsey?
Ricky: Jaguars. Remember when the Jaguars were full of courage and just minutes from the Super Bowl? Yes, me neither. That said, I refuse to believe that they are this wrong.
André: Invoices. There were more touchdowns during the Monday night game (14) compared to the Bills all season (13). But Buffalo is at home, they get points, they give the least amount of yards per game, Blake Bortles stinks on the road and his percentage of completion decreases more it's cold.
The New York Giants at (-6) Philadelphia Eagles, at 1 pm
Mike: The giants. Both teams are not good at scoring points, an essential part of the football puzzle. I will seize the points and hope for a final at 24-19.
Ricky: Eagles. In the same sense as the Jaguars, remember when the Eagles won the Super Bowl? The season has been terrible for the City of Brotherly Love, but I'm still going to be here because I'm not sure that the Giants 'passing offense is enough to expose the Eagles' high school on the road. .
Andre: Eagles. The Eagles have to win to keep their season alive and, although the Giants have looked great these last two weeks, they have done it against a very bad competition. Carson Wentz has a good season and he will have time to play this match since New York is the last to have the best bag rate.
(-9.5) The New England Patriots in New York Jets, at 1 pm
Mike: Jets. The Jets, inexplicably, remain a good home bet, with an 8-3 record against the gap in their last 11 home games as underdogs. I will forget the 90% of you who take the Patriots here.
Ricky: Patriots. New England still does not seem well, and a clash with the Jets often proves disheartening for the Patriots. But the Pats are 15-4 against the gap after a loss in the last five years and a 13-4 record after a draw in the Tom Brady / Bill Belichick era. Rob Gronkowski and goaltender Shaq Mason will not be hurt, suggesting that the New England offense should be feasting on the Jets, who have just dropped 41 points to Matt Barkley (!) And to the Bills.
André: Patriots. Opponent quarterbacks make only 60% of their passes against the Patriots and Sam Darnold is in the penultimate percentage.
Oakland Raiders at (-10.5) Baltimore Ravens, 1pm
Mike: Ravens. The eight defeats of the Raiders averaged 16 points. It's the best defense they've faced all season, so I think they're going to lose. Therefore, ask the points.
Ricky: Ravens. I am still turning my head around Lamar Jackson, who ran the ball 27 (!) Last week, a quarter record in the Super Bowl era. But hey, it worked! And it could work again this week, although this choice is mainly based on Baltimore's defense and Oakland's difficulty in getting offensive results.
André: Ravens. Baltimore allows the least yards per game in football and Oakland the most. Lamar Jackson said he wanted to start throwing the ball more often and that the Raiders are the right team to do it. They are the last in the league in sacks and allow nearly nine yards per pass.
San Francisco 49ers to (-3.5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1 pm
Mike: 49ers. Another nugget that I fly to OddsShark. While the 49ers lost five straight games on the road, they lost those games with an average of 5.4 points per game. They may lose, but they lose close, and although the figure of 5.4 is not in the range, Tampa Bay does not inspire much confidence.
Ricky: Bucs. It could look more like a pong game, with the ball bouncing between the two teams. This is because Tampa Bay (minus 23) and San Francisco (minus 15) rank last and last penultimate respectively in the turnover differential. Yuck. Give me the Bucs and vodka.
Andre: Bucs. The Bucs devour their fields but always shoot in the foot. Maybe that's the week when they play a no-nonsense game against the Niners, who are the last to take away this year.
Seattle Seahawks at -3.5) Carolina Panthers, 1 pm
Mike: Panthers. Carolina is so much better at home with 11 points on average and 53 points less per game than home. If they make Seattle a dimension, they should roll.
Ricky: Seahawks. Cam Newton fought against Seattle in the past and was recently eliminated. Caroline has collected eight sacks in her last two games, after conceding 12 in the first eight games. The Seahawks are not fighting themselves, as shown by their margin of more than seven (5th in the NFL), and that will be huge against the Panthers. The opponents have returned the ball more than 14 times in six wins in Carolina but only once in four defeats of the Panthers.
André: Panthers. Both teams run well, but Seattle allows nearly five yards per run (including five yards per quarter) and Carolina is slightly better at holding the game. Both teams also pass the ball well, but Cam Newton has much better protection.
Arizona Cardinals to (-12) Los Angeles Chargers, 4:05 pm.
Mike: Cardinals. The Chargers have failed to cover in three of their last four games when they were favored by 10 points or more, and although they are obviously able to win this game at 50, they have too many problems in solve with this type of propagation.
Ricky: chargers. According to Pro Football Focus, Arizona is experiencing the worst blocking of the passes, which could be the week in which Joey Bosa will officially reintroduce into the league. The bolts roll.
Andre: Loaders. Los Angeles has the best yardage differential in league play and Arizona is 31st. Arizona also has a minus 10% differential over its last four games. Their greatest strength is their pass, but the Chargers protect Philip Rivers very well this season (16 sacks, 4 times less).
Miami Dolphins at (-8) Colts of Indianapolis, 4:25 pm.
Mike: Colts. Mentioned this last week, but Andrew Luck is out of this world since Oct. 4, the last time he's been sacked. He has been particularly good in the last four games, all won, with a passer rating of 135.2. From a certain point of view, Drew Brees' passer at the same time is 137.1.
Ricky: The dolphins. Ryan Tannehill is back for the Dolphins this week, which should boost Miami to cover a big gap against an over-performing Colts team.
Andre: Colts. Indy is the most discreet football team of the moment. Andrew Luck gets protection and has 13 touchdowns and a selection in the last four games. The Miami pass is non-existent, so expect the same from Luck. Indianapolis is also fifth in the league to go.
(-3) Pittsburgh Steelers at the Denver Broncos, 4:25 pm.
Mike: Steelers. Despite their victory last week, the Broncos struggled to stop the Chargers in the third run, and nothing will be easier against Pittsburgh, which ranks sixth in third place. Big games and stunts will make the Steelers work.
Ricky: Steelers. Pittsburgh protects quarterback (Pro Football Focus 3 blocking), which should soften Denver's greatest strength and allow Ben Roethlisberger to win the game against Broncos high school, who could do without half -back Bradley Roby (concussion). On the other hand, the Pittsburgh defense will cause problems to Denver's inconsistent offensive due to his ability to stop the race and disrupt the quarter in critical situations.
Andre: Steelers. Denver leads the league in yards per run, but Pittsburgh allows a fifth-less yards per game. Their defense has limited their opponents to less than 100 rushing yards in seven of their last eight games. Sine 2009, Ben Roethlisberger has 8 touchdowns and 2 interceptions after three games of choice (six times).
Green Bay Packers at (-3.5) Minnesota Vikings at 8:20 pm
Mike: Vikings. In good health, the Packers may have a chance. But with Mike Daniels missing and Kenny Clark stuck on the line of defense, Green Bay's best chances of generating pressure are compromised. And is there anything that led you to believe that the Packers can play a 60-minute match in attack against a constantly improving Vikings defense?
Ricky: Vikings. Sunday's loss to the Bears was a huge disappointment for the Vikings, but their defense still played well, building on the improvements over the last few weeks. The unit was particularly strong in the red zone, and this turn, not to break the mentality, will force the Packers inclined to make mistakes to leave points on the board in a hostile environment.
André The Vikings. When Minnesota fights to run the ball, Kirk Cousins is forced to throw the ball a lot and it hurts the team. When the Vikings run the ball for more than 85 meters, they have 4-0 and 1 to 4-1 while they do not. The defensive against the Green Bay defense is not the strongest, it's the game that Dalvin Cook could finally unveil. The Packers are also winless away from Lambeau.
MONDAY, NOV. 26
Tennessee Titans at (-5.5) Houston Texans, 8:15 pm.
Mike: Titans. Where do the points for Tennessee come from? They scored 20 goals or less in six games out of nine, and this Patriots game was certainly a special case a week later in Indianapolis.
Ricky: Texans. Tryptophan will come into play well before Monday's game. But for the sake of these choices, give me the Texans, who have won five duel confrontations against the Titans in Houston (5-1 against the gap).
Andre: Texans. You never know what you get with Tennessee. They dominated the Patriots, lost to the Bills, allowed 11 sacks in a game, then looked like Super Bowl contenders in prime time against Dallas and then opened their doors at Indy. I will go with the most consistent team because I have no idea what the Titans are.
Photo thumbnail via Tim Fuller / USA TODAY Sports Images
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