Merkel on the point that the Minister of the Interior signals his intention to resign

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Seehofer offered to resign from his post as Interior Minister and Head of the Christian Social Union (CSU), the Bavarian Brother Democrats Christian Party (CDU), when he was elected president of the Christian Democrats. a marathon meeting Sunday, but was later persuaded by his colleagues "In the interest of the country and the coalition's ability to act, we want to try to find a way to unify this central issue: the border with Merkel and an attempt to resolve the conflict – control and refusal, only on this issue, "said Seehofer early Monday. "And I hope we can handle it, it's an act of goodwill on my part and another attempt to reach an agreement, otherwise it would have been the case today."

Merkel met with CDU leaders Monday morning The head of the CSU, who repeatedly called for tighter refugee policies, gave Merkel two weeks to reach an agreement with others European Union leaders that would allow the German police to reject asylum seekers at the border who are already registered in another EU country. According to EU law, these people must be welcomed and arrangements must be made on a case-by-case basis to return them to the first country of entry.

Seehofer threatened to implement this policy unilaterally if Merkel could not reach a satisfactory agreement. Sunday. Instead, he would have offered to resign, which could give Merkel a temporary respite, but that could spell the end of the decades-old CDU / CSU alliance and the coalition government.

Leopold Traugott, political analyst at think tank Open Europe, sees little hope of a compromise between the parties at their next meeting on Monday. "It is unlikely that Merkel will grant more concessions to the UHC," he told CNN. "They pushed this question too hard and too fast."

The Chancellor is in the strongest position, says Traugott. "Her own party is really behind her Now that the CSU is behaving more aggressively towards Merkel and the CDU, those who are normally critical have come to its support."

Horst Seehofer speaks to reporters Monday morning after nocturnal discussions with

How did we get here?

The political crisis is one more sign of Europe between those who want to work together to reduce the number of migrants and refugees entering the bloc, and those who are tired of unsuccessful attempts to achieve block-level agreements and take unilateral action.

Last week, Merkel – a fierce advocate of solutions at the EU-wide – said that migration could be a matter of "doing or breaking" for the union.
European leaders emerged from talks with a bloc-wide agreement that it was best to deal with the issue collectively rather than indirectly. The wording was vague and countries would only participate in relocation and resettlement programs on a voluntary basis
The agreement of the European summit concluded after Italy's intervention on the migration crisis [19659013]] </noscript> </div> </p></div> </p></div> <div class= Speaking at the annual meeting of his party Sunday, Matteo Salvini, Italian Minister of the Interior and leader of the anti-immigrant League has said he wanted to create a pan-European association of According to Merke Reuters, a new indication that nationalist forces are gaining strength.

Merkel insisted that the European agreement reached on Friday was a victory, but the Seehofer party was not so sure. The CSU is fighting the regional elections in Bavaria in October and, under pressure from the far-right Anti-immigrant Alternative for Germany (AfD), seeks to reinforce its own anti-refugee credentials in an attempt to win back voters. [19659002] But Traugott thinks that CSU's attempts will fail and that Seehofer's apparent hesitation will alienate dissatisfied voters. "They have really miscalculated what helps them and what hurts them," he said.

Merkel and Seehofer have long struggled on the right approach to migration, but seemed to reach an agreement after last year's federal election when the Chancellor agreed to limit to 200,000 the number of refugees arriving every year in Germany. Seehofer had repeatedly demanded and Merkel had always rejected.

The last push was triggered when Seehofer announced a 63 point "migration master plan" last month, which Merkel refused to support because of the asylum seeker's rejection proposal. recorded elsewhere. Merkel agrees that the current rules – known as the Dublin Regulation – need to be reformed, but insists that this must be done at European level.

What could happen next?

There are three possible outcomes, according to Traugott. During discussions on Monday afternoon, the CDU and the CSU could reach a compromise that would allow Mr Seehofer to remain in power, both as a leader of the CSU and as Minister of the Interior. .

Traugott thinks this is unlikely. "I can not see what Merkel could realistically give her today," he said.

Europe holds its breath while Merkel's chancellery is at stake

If Seehofer resigns, his position as Minister of the Interior could be taken by another legislator of the CSU. Although Merkel could breathe a sigh of relief, little would change in the long run. "The conflict between the CSU and the CDU will continue," said Traugott. Some CSU politicians are "even more radical on this issue" than Seehofer

In the third option – and least likely – Seehofer would resign and the CSU would leave the government, "the nuclear option," according to Traugott. The ruling coalition – which would then only include the CDU and the Social Democrats (SPD) – would run out of a majority and Merkel would either have to govern with a minority government or seek official support from the Green Party or the pro party. This would be extremely difficult because both parties have "very different ideas on migration policy" towards the CDU and the SPD

If the government collapses completely, it could pave the way for new elections, a option that Merkel previously said that she prefers to reign in a minority government.

Nadine Schmidt reported from Berlin and Judith Vonberg wrote in London.

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