Is the White House prepared for the blue wave?



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1. The pink glasses of the White House

Is the president ready for November? CNN National Political Correspondent Maeve Reston said she was hearing from Republican agents and concerned donors that President Trump and his key advisers do not realize how bad the November elections could be for them.

"It's really worrying that it's totally illusory about the chances of keeping the house," said Reston. "It's partly because there are not many people around him telling him the truth."

2. Trump can turn to foreign policy

With the president besieged at home, he could soon borrow a familiar tactic in the White House: focus on foreign affairs.

"Often, presidents, when they have problems at home, go abroad and find that it's a way to escape their problems," he said. New York Times White House reporter Michael Shear. Trump will address the United Nations General Assembly later this month and plan trips to Europe and South America after the elections.

"President Trump has not always been so successful using travel abroad to escape problems," said Shear, citing the Helsinki summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin. "But at least it's an opportunity to change the subject, and if the Democrats take over, he'll want to try to do it."

3. Trump speaks more about rights

Recent rallies of President Trump have included a new rallying cry: it is I who will save your social security and your health insurance.

"President says Democrats want to kill social security and Medicare, while Republicans will not do anything about it", Bloomberg correspondent at the White House, Toluse Olorunnipa I said. Trump makes this promise despite the fact that many of his Republican colleagues have vowed to limit eligibility expenses.

"Democrats are receding, saying that Republicans are not necessarily trying to save social security, their tax cuts make it more difficult to fund these programs," Olorunnipa said.

4. Congress considers new sanctions against Russia – later

After the Trump-Putin summit in Helsinki, there was a clamor in Congress to do more to punish Russia for the electoral interference that seems to continue until now. But Washington Post reporter Karoun Demirjian says nothing seems imminent.

"Essentially, the GOP said we will follow a step-by-step process," said Demirjian. "This process began in earnest last week, it is gaining momentum this week.The question is: are they really going to do anything before the midterm elections?" It's not necessarily obvious that They have the time or the desire to do it. "

5. GOP hopes all policies remain local

And of CNN National Chief Correspondent John King:

Last week, there were signs of a decline in President Trump's approval rating. This week, the focus was on the chaos of the White House and the questions of character and temperament raised by Bob Woodward's new book, and the New York Times' anonymous essay by a senior official.

No big developments for Republicans trying to protect the majority of GOP House, it's the least that can be said.

In the 60 days leading up to the mid-term, most Republicans with significant campaign experience concede that the chances of protecting the majority of the House are bleak – and concede that the week or both are not very useful .

But some strategists of the GOP always see the way. Their mantra: to make the election on the economy and the local problems; block as much as you can from President Trump and his Twitter feed and do whatever is necessary for organizing, participating and fundraising.

Even in this group, however, 60-day assessments have raised concerns.

First the calculation.

"I can still argue in favor of the 15-20 year olds," said a long-time GOP strategist involved in the 2018 races, which means Republicans are losing seats but Democrats are not getting this strategy. continued saying, "I can also see 20 to 30, but I think we're still at stake." Which still means at stake to keep the democratic gains below 23.

A second member of the GOP, with three decades of experience, said this weekend: "I have 17/18 net home".

But both officers reported signs of trouble beyond concerns about how the president behaves.

Powerful national economic news should help GOP candidates. But the second operator said there was more and more evidence that "tariffs are starting to have a real impact in the Midwest – Michigan, for example – and farming countries."

Both officers also praised Democrats for exploiting concerns about costs and access to health care. "Health care is now a thorny issue and the GOP has no answer," said the second strategist.

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