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As for sports betting, no sport is more tempting than the NFL. It's no coincidence that no sport is harder to win than the NFL.
The lines are sharper in the NFL than they are elsewhere, given the attention and public action the league attracts. And as the week progresses, the lines become sharper as they are set and everyone starts to get a better idea of the game.
For example, the New England Patriots opened as 2-point favorites in Week 2 against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Some bettors caught the Jaguars at this number, bringing it down to one point before finally settling at 1.5. Of course, that did not make a big difference, as Jacksonville not only covered but won. But it's an illustration of how things can change throughout the week.
So, if you are looking to make money next Sunday, your work should already have started for the week ahead, as you may be able to get a number that you can not find on Sunday.
Here is an overview of some of the most tempting lines of week 3 – before they change.
New England Patriots (-6.5) to Detroit Lions
The Patriots, who suffered an unbalanced loss in Jacksonville, opened the scoring with 6.5 points ahead of a handful of online sports betting. If you like New England to bounce, you'll want to get that number while you can, with 75% of the bets already being made on the Patriots. It's a bit intimidating to put as many points on the road for a team that will play two consecutive road games, but that figure of 6.5 looks much better than seven.
All the trends indicate the patriots here too.
– They are 6-1 against the gap in their last seven games as favorites on the road from 3.5 to 10 points
– They are 14-3 CÉP in their last 17 road games
– Tom Brady is 38-16 against the gap after a loss, but he only has 5-10 against the gap when a favorite at 7 points or more, making this half-point even more important.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers (over 54.5 points)
If you are one of the many lovers of Patrick Mahomes, you may want to jump on this line while you can because you are probably not alone. The opposing quarterbacks have a score of 99 through two games against the 49ers, and we just saw Matthew Stafford and the Lions attack San Francisco. Stafford averaged 10 yards per completion Sunday; Mahomes averages 15 yards per completion in two games.
Defensively, the leaders had major problems, however. Only New Orleans are allowing more yards per game than the Chiefs' 6.9 yards per game, and their two games averaged 72.5 points per game.
Los Angeles Chargers (+7) at the Los Angeles Rams
Disclaimer: You can wait for this and see how the line changes. If you believe in chargers, this is a potential line movement to watch for. At the moment, the Rams, who have won their first two games by a combined total of 54 points, are getting 57% of the bets. If the money continues to flow on the Rams, maybe we see a slight movement here, which is the one where you want to be with Philip Rivers. The Chargers quarterback has a 13-5 record against the 6.5 point gap or so, so this 7 point figure looks good now, but a 7.5 point gap would seem even better.
Information from SportsInsights.com, DonBest.com and WalterFootball.com were used for this story
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