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The great hope for the Texas Democrats involves O & # 39; Rourke. And his path to victory involves broadening the Democratic Party's basic vote, while calling Republicans dissatisfied with Cruz or President Donald Trump.
But O 'Rourke is struggling to get support from Republicans. The poll indicates that Republicans support Cruz by a margin of 94-6%. Democrats support O & Rourke 94-4 percent. Of the independents, 51% preferred O & # Rourke, while 47% liked Cruz. According to the survey, O & # 39; Rourke's preference was 43%, favorably, and 42% unfavorable.
Because Cruz enjoys a structural advantage in the Republican-minded electorate, his path to success in November is simply to make sure that conservative voters go to the polls and vote for him. Its approval rate was 53 to 44% and the favorability among voters was 52 to 43%.
The Cruz-O 'Rourke showdown is the country's most expensive Senate contest, and O' Rourke has defied expectations by overwhelming the incumbent at fundraisers. In the second quarter of 2018, he raised $ 10.4 million, against $ 4 million for Cruz. And he raised $ 10 million more than Cruz.
Ads playing a role
The survey was conducted at a time when television advertising campaigns for both candidates were underway. O & # 39; Rourke directed a site that focuses on its outreach in all 254 counties of the state and on the need to bring together Texans.
Cruz issued an announcement criticizing O 'Rourke's support for NFL players kneeling in the national anthem to protest the shooting of unarmed black Americans by white policemen.
Polls revealed that immigration is the most important issue for Senate voters, with 21%. This controversial theme was followed by health care at 21%, the US Supreme Court at 16% and the economy at 15%. Cruz and O & Rourke have very different positions on these and other issues.
Cruz won his seat in 2012 with a margin of 16 points. In 2014, Senator John Cornyn won a third term of 27 points, but both faced opponents much weaker than O 'Rourke. Trump beat Hillary Clinton in Texas by nine points.
The survey also revealed that likely Texas voters were also split on Trump's job approval rating, with 49 percent of approvals and 49 percent disapproval. Republicans have approved 86-12% and 93-6% disapproved among Democrats.
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