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You may not have realized that with all the rest, but if Congress does not adopt a budget by the end of the month, we will have another decision from the government. The Senate went to work on Tuesday and passed a bill on temporary expenses. And guess what it did not understand:
The Senate on Tuesday passed a bill on short-term spending that would keep the government in place until December 7, with the aim of delaying the fight for funding President Trump's wall after the mid-term elections.
The short-term bill was attached to a broad budget program containing 2019 funding for the Pentagon, as well as for the departments of Labor, Health and Social Services and the United States. education. GOP leaders designed the package to combine key Republican and Democratic priorities in an attempt to garner overwhelming bipartisan support. The package also aims to satisfy Trump's wish to increase military spending.
Which leads me to wonder how Trump will explain to his supporters in 2020 how he failed to keep the central promise of his 2016 campaign?
The border wall was the central promise, make no mistake. This was what distinguished him the most from his main opponents, and he carried a tremendous symbolic weight for what he called "men and women forgotten" as they went to the polls. November. It's not just about stopping illegal immigration. It was about stopping cultural change and relieving the feeling of diminishment that many people felt. Perhaps most important was the sense of agency and power. When Trump told them that not only would we build a wall, but we would force Mexico to pay for it, they applauded.
The United States, Trump said, constantly mocked, mocked and took advantage of the rest of the world. Well, now, we would kneel Mexico in front of us and suffer the humiliation of opening his wallet to pay the wall that he would hate. If life made you feel small and weak, we all had a chance to feel big and strong.
It is now two years later, and it turns out that not only will Mexico never pay a wall, but even Republicans in Congress do not want it. It's not that they hate this idea, they just think it's more of a political problem than it is, especially since polls show that nearly 60% of Americans oppose it. So they continue to push him away, telling Trump that they will get there – but not now.
And Trump himself does not seem to want to force the problem either. He has threat several times to close the government if he does not have funding for his wall but, each time, he recoils. And what if the Democrats take control of the House after mid-November, because just about everyone assumes they will? Future budgets will have to be bipartite, which means no wall.
So what will Trump do? One option would be to simply proclaim that the wall is well advanced. He does it regularly, every time he participates in one of his gatherings. "Many people do not know it but we have already started the wall," he said last month in Tampa. "We have started a large part of the wall, but we will need, even in the way we are negotiating, other needs and we may have to make considerable efforts. things, but we will get it. "
These "radical things" would probably include a forced stop, which, of course, will not happen. As for the claim that Trump has already begun to build the wall, it is false. Some money has been spent to protect existing fences at various points along the border, but nothing like Trump's vision of a wall stretching from the Pacific Ocean to the Gulf of Mexico.
If he can deceive anyone to believe that the wall really exists, the other option is to blame the Democrats for his absence and continue to say that we must build it, which he is likely to do. But imagine 2020, and you are one of those who liked this idea so much in 2016. When the song "Build this wall!
You could. Or you could say, "Hey, wait a minute. Trump was four years old and there is no wall. Why should I believe that he will do it in the next four years?
This is one of the fundamental weaknesses of Trump's re-election campaign. When he ran scams like Trump University, he could continue because the world provided an inexhaustible amount of suckers. By the time a group realized that he was nuts, he could simply move on to another group, who only knew he was that rich guy on television. But when you're president, you have to go back to the same constituents you made those promises that were made four years ago. And if you fail, they will remember.
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