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By Anthony Salvanto, Jennifer De Pinto, Fred Backus and Kabir Khanna
Six weeks before the election, voters feel more favorable to the economy than in the country as a whole. Three out of four voters consider the national economy and their own local economy to be very or rather good, but less – 46% – are satisfied with the situation in the country. Those who feel good in the economy but unhappy with the leadership of the country are largely Democrats and plan to vote for Democrats this fall.
In the race for the House of Representatives, Democrats are supported by the support of women, young voters and minorities. Republicans have an advantage over men, whites and older ones.
Republicans are about as likely as Democrats to say they will definitely vote in November, and there is no enthusiasm gap in these districts. More than three out of four voters in key congressional districts are paying attention to the campaign, 43% of whom are very attentive to the campaign. But Democrats describe the election as important: Twice as many Democrats (30%) as Republicans (16%) believe that a vote in 2018 is more important than a presidential election.
Voters in these districts have been nationalized: more than eight in ten Democratic and Republican voters say their vote is to help their party win (or retain) congressional control.
Democratic voters may be more upset than Republicans if they do not get the desired result in November. Fifty-five percent of Democrats say that they will be angry if Republicans keep control of Congress, while fewer than 37 percent of Republicans say they will feel it if Democrats take control.
Voters are divided and in favor of what to expect in November. Thirty-three percent think Democrats will gain control of the House, while 37% think Republicans will retain control. Many – 29% – are not sure. Most Democrats think that their party will win, while most Republicans think their party will win.
President Trump will be a factor for most voters, with slightly stronger opposition (39%) than support (34%).
modification of tax laws made by the Republicans and Mr. Trump. Although these changes did not have an impact on many people, those who tend to say that the changes have helped them personally.
The CBS News 2018 Battleground Tracker is a panel study based on interviews with registered voters in 61 competitive and possibly competitive congressional districts in the United States. The survey was conducted by YouGov, an online survey company. This survey was conducted between September 17-21, 2018 with 4557 respondents. Respondents were selected from YouGov 's online panels to be representative of registered voters in these districts in terms of age, race, gender, and education. The sample was weighted by sex, age, race and education, according to the American Community Survey, conducted by the Census Bureau of the United States of America
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