Tropical storm Kirk approaches the Lesser Antilles; Tropical Storm Watches, Warnings issued for the Windward Islands


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Tropical storm Kirk will bring rain to the Caribbean islands
  • Kirk made his big comeback as a tropical storm to the east of the Lesser Antilles.
  • Watches and tropical storm warnings were issued.
  • Kirk will arrive in the Windward Islands on Thursday.
  • Floods and landslides that are life threatening are the biggest danger.
  • Kirk should then be torn by a strong wind shear in the Caribbean Sea this weekend.

Tropical Storm Kirk is fast approaching the Lesser Antilles and will threaten floods, mudslides and tropical storm winds in parts of the Windward Islands from Thursday.

The National Hurricane Center said the convection was better organized, which prompted it to start issuing reviews of tropical storm Kirk. Kirk had lost his circulation center Monday in the eastern Atlantic Ocean after starting to develop Saturday morning south of the Cabo Verde Islands.

Data provided by hurricane hunters from the US Air Force Reserve indicated that Kirk's further weakened by a moderate tropical storm.

Kirk is now located just over 150 miles east of Barbados, moving fairly quickly to the west-northwest.

Tropical storm warnings have been reported for Barbados, St. Lucia, Dominica, Martinique and Guadeloupe, which means that tropical storm winds (over 40 km / h) are expected in these areas within 36 km. hours.

Tropical storm observations are in effect for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, meaning that tropical storm force winds are possible within 36 hours.

Watches and warnings

(A watch is usually issued when tropical storm or hurricane conditions are possible within 48 hours.A warning is issued when these conditions are expected within 36 hours.)

Provide

Driven by strong pressure to the north, Kirk will arrive in the Windward Islands Thursday, first in Barbados, then in the rest of the Windward Islands, under the warning. Little force change is expected before hitting the Lesser Antilles.

(INTERACTIVE: Status of Kirk, Forecast Path)

Current status of the storm and projected trajectory

(The shaded area in red indicates the potential trajectory of the center of the tropical cyclone.) It is important to note that impacts (especially heavy rains, high waves, coastal floods, winds)

Kirk's most serious threat, however, will be due to precipitation.

Total rainfall of 4 to 6 inches, with isolated totals of up to 10 inches, is possible until Friday from Barbados and St. Lucia to Martinique, Dominica and Guadeloupe.

Puerto Rico can expect 2 to 4 inches of rain while all that remains of Kirk is moving south.

These heavy rains on these mountainous islands are likely to cause life-threatening floods and mudslides.

Precipitation forecast

(This should be interpreted as a broad perspective of the situation where the heaviest rains may fall and may change depending on the predicted course of the tropical cyclone, and larger amounts may occur when the rains stagnate in a few hours.)

Fortunately, Kirk should encounter a tremendous wall of wind shear – the change of wind speed and / or direction with height – in the Caribbean Sea this weekend.

(MORE: Weird Aspects to the Atlantic Hurricane Season 2018))

Current satellite and wind shear

(The cloud areas are shown in white, the areas of strong wind shear, the difference in wind speed and direction with the height are indicated in purple, the high shear is hostile to tropical cyclones and those trying to to develop oneself.)

This should finally rip Kirk before he can threaten other parts of the Caribbean, as he did at the Tropical Depression Eleven last weekend in the east of the Lesser Antilles .

A little over three years ago, Tropical Storm Erika According to the National Hurricane Center's final report, the National Hurricane Center said the National Hurricane Center's final report indicates that 30 floods and mudslides have caused catastrophic floods and mudslides..

The Prime Minister of Dominica, Roosevelt Skerrit, said that the damage caused by Erika had slowed the progress of the nation over 20 years.

A river overflows, affecting some houses along its shores, due to Tropical Storm Erika in Roseau, Dominica, on Thursday, August 27, 2015. The streets of Dominica have turned into fast-flowing rivers that have swept cars. .

(AP Photo / Carlisle Jno Baptist)

The destruction left by Erika was enough to prompt a committee of the World Meteorological Organization to remove Erika's name from future tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic.

Erika was only the second name removed from a tropical cyclone in the Atlantic that has never reached hurricane status since the first retreat of the names in 1954. Allison in 2001 – a multi-billion dollar flood in the Houston subway – was the only other tropical storm whose name had been removed.

Like Kirk, Erika has fought the wind shear throughout its life cycle, but the rainfall potential of any tropical cyclone is not dependent on the intensity of the storm. Kirk's threat of flooding should be taken seriously.

Return with us on weather.com for the latest news on Kirk and the tropics during the 2018 hurricane season.

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