"Medium" risk of tropical cyclone as weather system approaches Gulf, warn forecasters | Weather / Traffic


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A disturbance in the Caribbean Sea had the chance to slightly improve tropical development as it headed for the Gulf of Mexico, forecasters said.

The vast area of ​​low pressure has an "average" chance – 40% – of developing over the next five days.

The low pressure zone, located near the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras on Thursday afternoon, is currently producing "a vast area of ​​disorganized clouds and thunderstorms" over the central and western Caribbean.

Conditions are currently not favorable for tropical training, but weather conditions could become less hostile at the weekend, which could lead to a tropical cyclone.

The chances of tropical development slowly improved during the week.

If the system develops into a tropical storm, its name would be Michael.

The hurricane season officially ends on November 30th.

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