What's new with regard to tropical disturbances in the Caribbean?



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Tropical disturbances off the coast of Honduras are showing signs or organizing to take a more serious turn as she continues her route north toward the Gulf of Mexico, meteorologists said Saturday morning.

In the 8 am update, the National Hurricane Center increased the system's chances of turning into a cyclone by 80% in the next two days, a leap from the 40% expected by Friday. A cyclone is either a tropical depression or a tropical storm.

Forecasters are 90% convinced that the system will turn into a cyclone over the next five days, probably in the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southern Gulf of Mexico.

It is moving slowly – about 5 mph – and is expected to bring "torrential" amounts of rain to parts of Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula and western Cuba from next week.

Brian McNoldy, Senior Research Associate at the University of Miami Rosenstiel School, said landings on Twitter would occur around Wednesday, somewhere between central Louisiana and northern Florida.

In October, hurricanes form more often in the Caribbean and head for Florida and the Gulf.

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