Investors in Brazil are watching the action, not the words of the leader Bolsonaro


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                By Rodrigo Campos
NEW YORK, Oct 10 (Reuters) - A rally of Brazilian assets
could be extended if market star Jair Bolsonaro wins the award
the presidential election on 28 October and put the reforms
the pension system and the privatization process, said investors.
Markets seem to ignore the lack of details of Bolsonaro
about the policies throughout the campaign, as well as his misogynistic,
your homophobic and racist. They also seem to be rejecting
the concern of some brazilians about what his speech might
trigger, in a country mired in violence and deeply polarized.
"No investor has said to me ... I will not go into the
History of Brazil because it is too polarized, "said Alberto Bernal,
Emerging Markets Leader and Global Strategist at XP Investments in
Miami.
"The reality is that the polarization that exists in Brazil
"It's no different than the United Kingdom, Germany, United States," he said.
I said. "The world has become much more polarized."
Bolsonaro exceeded expectations by receiving 46 percent of
almost 17 points more than Fernando Haddad
Left Labor Party (PT) ranked second in the first round
elections last Sunday. He needed more than 50 percent in the
first round for a total victory.
Investors still fear that PT's victory means a return to a
state-run economy that would derail ongoing reforms and
very unpopular president Michel Temer of the Brazilian
The Democratic Movement Party (PMDB) partially pushed through
Congress. Bolsonaro's party gains on the PT last
the weekend elections helped lift Brazilian assets.
"The issue was a return to the interventionist policy of
the PT. It's now less likely, but not impossible, "said
Alberto Ramos, director of economics for Latin America at Goldman Sachs
research.
"If the market (stock market) becomes more comfortable with
implementation, there is much more potential, "he said.
Pension reform is the most important element for investors
minds, said Jim Craige, head of emerging markets at Stone Harbor
Investment partners.
"It will require political skill on his part and we do not do it
know enough about him yet to say with a high degree of
belief that this will be done, "said Craige.
"It will be played as he goes up his team."

ORTHODOX PACIFIER
Bolsonaro has postponed its likely economic policy
Minister of Finance, economist trained at the University of Chicago
Paulo Guedes. The institution is known for its conservatives or
Orthodox views on economic policies. He approached a number
other businessmen, mainly bankers, to take a stand
his cabinet.
"The market gives the benefit of the doubt that
Bolsonaro will be able to deliver some of the things that
Guedes has spoken and is much more realistic about
What's going on? Privatize everything is not right
to arrive, "said Bernal.
On Wednesday, Brazilian asset prices declined in part after
reports that prosecutors are targeting Guedes for allegedly
participating in a fraud related to large pension funds
state enterprises.
Yet the general consensus among financial market analysts
Brazil's strengths have more room for improvement.
After a strong recovery in equities, debt and currency
Bolsonaro took a strong lead in opinion polls in mid-September,
The Brazilian stock market has reached unprecedented highs,
while its currency, the real, appreciated by more than 10% at the
US dollar in the last three weeks.
However, at around 3.75 for a dollar, the real
is far from the average of 3.52 in the last year
or the annual average of 3.19 in 2017. The iShares exchange in Brazil
negotiated fund, which follows Brazilian companies via the United States
15% from the peak of 2018 and 60%
percent of his life high.
External factors contain the rally, said Kathryn
Rooney Vera, Head of Research and Emerging Markets Strategy at
Bulltick LLC in Miami.
If the current trade war between the United States and China
climbing Brazil would become a "sale", although
not the basic case of Rooney Vera. The commercial niche between the two
The world's largest economies have weighed on emerging markets
assets globally.
"Evaluations have finally been pretty cheap," she said, pointing out that
she went to Brazil in mid-September.
"Imagine what it would be today if the feeling of emergence
the markets was higher. "


(Report by Rodrigo Campos, edited by Daniel Bases)
  
Our standards:The principles of Thomson Reuters Trust.
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