"Kavanaugh Bump" stimulates GOP candidates in the Senate. But Trump is a different story.

"The result of the [Kavanaugh] The hearings, at least in the short term, have helped to awaken the Republican base, "said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College's Public Opinion Institute, on NPR.

According to a survey conducted this week by NPR and Marist, the enthusiasm of Republican voters would have jumped 8 points between July and October. Several other polls showed a similar increase in the number of GOP voters who said the November elections were "very important".

Voter enthusiasm translates almost directly into turnout. And it's hard to overestimate the importance of Republican turnout this year.

For most of the summer and fall, GOP strategists feared that a critical group of Trump supporters would stay home on election day, lulled by the vigor of the day. And by the president's frequent predictions that there would be a "red wave" of Republican Victories in November.

In fact, historical trends and available polls indicate that the opposite is true and that there will be a "blue wave" of Democratic victories, fueled by intense voter enthusiasm and a deep dislike for Trump, which will cost the majority of Republicans in the House. .

But the Kavanaugh's fight may have helped the Republicans fill this gap of enthusiasm.

In the red states where Senate races are tight, the Kavanaugh bump seems to be having an impact already. Voter polls this week in North Dakota, Tennessee and Texas have all shown that Republican Senate candidates are making significant gains.

This was clearly not lost for Trump, who told attendees at a rally on Friday night in Ohio that the Democrats had been attempting to "destroy" Kavanaugh.

As a result of the Supreme Court's fight, "we win [Senate seats] in the states we would not even argue. We beat people that we would not even argue, "Trump said.

In fact, there is no seat in the Senate that Republicans (or Democrats from elsewhere) have not intended to argue. Nevertheless, Trump clearly seemed to be referring to races like those of North Dakota and Tennessee, which swung right after the Kavanaugh fight.

"People realize how important the Supreme Court is," said Trump.