Saudi actions plunge into fear of sanctions against Khashoggi


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The main stock index in Riyadh fell 7% Sunday and billions of dollars have been wiped out of the value of the major Saudi companies. The index found a bit of ground later to close at 3.5%.

Inventories have fallen by up to 9% since Khashoggi disappeared on Oct. 2, after entering the Saudi Arabian consulate in Istanbul. The losses offset all market gains in 2018, although it is still up 8% from a year ago.
For more than two years, the kingdom has been engaged in an ambitious plan to modernize and diversify its economy away from oil. The plan, known as Vision 2030 and led by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, aims to increase foreign investment, boost tourism and develop the private sector.

According to a UN report released earlier this year, foreign direct investment in Saudi Arabia fell to 1.4 billion dollars in 2017, the lowest level in 14 years.

Nevertheless, the Saudi economy was recovering from a recession and investors were encouraged earlier this year when the MSCI index compiler gave the country the status of emerging market. This means that shares traded in Saudi Arabia can now be included in larger funds, allowing investors around the world to more easily place their money in the kingdom's economy.

But the unexplained disappearance of Khashoggi, a former Saudi government advisor who has become critical, has already prompted some of the world's leading business partners to sever ties with projects essential to the Saudi project to build a modern, technology-based economy.

Corporate retaliation against Khashoggi threatens economic dreams of Saudi Arabia
The Turkish authorities claimed to have evidence of the murder of Khashoggi, a US journalist and journalist at the Washington Post, in the consulate. It is an accusation that the kingdom denies with vigor.
British billionaire Richard Branson has withdrawn from two projects aimed at developing tourism in the Red Sea and has suspended talks with the Saudi government regarding a $ 1 billion investment in its space companies.

"What would have happened in Turkey (…) if it turned out, would clearly change the ability of each of us to do business with the Saudi government," he said in a statement.

And a huge investment conference titled "Davos in the Desert," scheduled for later this month, saw some of the keynote speakers and attendees step down. Most international media partners have withdrawn their sponsorships.
Most media sponsors are pulling out of the Saudi conference after the disappearance of a journalist
President Donald Trump promised that the United States would go deep into what happened to Khashoggi and warned of a "severe punishment" if it was proven that he had been killed at the consulate.
In a statement released on Sunday, the kingdom said it rejected any threat of economic sanctions or political pressure and that it would take retaliatory measures accordingly.

"The markets are starting to incorporate a fundamental shift in the nature of the relationship between the United States and Saudi Arabia," said Jaap Meijer, general manager and head of equity research at Arqaam Capital. "We think this is not justified given the long-term relations between the two countries, and Saudi is the swing oil producer."

Saudi Arabia is injecting more oil into world markets to offset the deficit created by Trump's decision to reimpose sanctions on Iran.

The Saudi Stock Exchange fell sharply Sunday after the threat of President Donald Trump

There are now doubts about the participation of US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin at the Riyadh conference. At the closing press conference of the International Monetary Fund meeting in Bali, Indonesia on Saturday, he declared that he was still planning to continue.

But speaking later in the day at the Oval Office, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo did not confirm that Mnuchin would participate in the Future Investment Initiative.

"I think we need to continue to evaluate the facts and we will make that decision," he said.

When the mystery of Khashoggi is solved, the story does not end.

The BBC reported Sunday morning that the British Secretary of Commerce, Liam Fox, could also withdraw.

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