Fantasy Football Start or Sit: Week 7

My wife and I have just settled on our Halloween costumes for this year.

It took a bit of thought and debate, but we looked at our options on the bench – like relaunching Fry and Leela or using some already acquired assets to go as Jim and Pam – and we also considered doing something new. After all, the only thing that limited us was the budget. We still have not broken the bank with our decision, but the fact is that the possibilities were essentially endless.

This is not the case for our fantasy football teams. We have a list and we have the waiver. We also have options for exchanges, but these are not taken into account in the weekly starting or sitting dilemmas – especially in the deeper leagues (more than 14 teams in which we usually start with those who are in good health, unless their alignment is loaded).

But these starting or pitching scenarios become difficult in smaller or standard leagues such as 8, 10 leagues and even some 12-team leagues, as only the best options are listed. In these leagues, I do not decide between Damion Ratley and Taylor Gabriel this week. These decisions look more like: Chris Godwin or Keelan ColeAlex Collins or Austin Ekeler, and even Drew Brees or Andy Dalton. While Brees and Michael Thomas traveling to face one of the toughest defenses of the league, are they both indispensable?

(Spoiler: no.)

For many reasons, I like to bring players together in groups to decide who to start or sit during a given week. For me, no player is ever forced to sit, but there are players you should want to Sit down if you have other options more viable. It's the goal here, as well as showing Why we should feel some ways about the players.

Thus, based on market shares, number of snapshots, stakes lines and defensive fights, I will regroup the players in three levels to facilitate start-up or seated decisions: players we should be sure to start, players that we can consider playing at any time. we do not have better alternatives, but that are not essential parts, and the players we should try to bench every time we make have better alternatives.

These players are ranked in order of confidence and preferably (higher on the list means easier to start, they are not rankings, but they are close), and the groups represent a single quarter league composed of 12 teams. , with the following hypothesis: in mind: if I had other viable options on my bench, should I start playing this player this week? Players not on the list must be presumed worthy of a match in a shallow league or standard size, and all fantasy point references and rankings reflect a half PPR score.

Strategist

Start with confidence

– Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes has been QB4, QB2, QB9, QB11, QB17 (against Jaguars) and QB3 this season. The Cincinnati Bengals forced only one quarter to finish worse than the QB12 (Ryan Tannehill was the QB29 at week 5).
– Cam Newton: Generally, we want to use Newton as a home favorite, but it's not a luxury that we get in long formats of the season. Quarterbacks against the Philadelphia Eagles were either held under 14.5 fancy points or scored over 31.0. However, Newton has at least 18 fantasy points in each game, thanks to the 58, 42, 36, 29 and 43-yard fast lines and Marcus Mariota. – the only mobile threat to face Philly – ran 10 times for 46 yards and a touchdown against the Eagles in Week 4.
– Jared Goff: Goff faces the San Francisco 49ers on a short week. In fact, he has been QB18 and QB26 in his last two games, which is still in his range of results. As an 11-point favorite at the opening, it's in the cards this week, but the match is too good to be ignored in a week down for the position.
– Matt Ryan: Ryan has an average of 32.1 fantasy points at home (4 games), compared with 12.1 on the road (2 games). They still have another home game this week against the New York Giants, which have been pretty much an average pass defense of the league by many measures. With a total that opened at 54 points, Ryan should pass again.
– Tom Brady: Brady faces a Chicago Bears team coming out of a disappointment loss. In his first three games, Brady has averaged 15.9 passing points, a number that has reached 20.7 in the last three games. Brady was pressed at the 7th lowest rate, via ProFooballFocus (PFF), which probably mitigates the usually fatal passing of passes.
– Carson Wentz: Wentz has been pretty much an average passer of the league by our PEN measures and is facing a Carolina Panthers pass defense that ranks outside the top 20 according to these same measures. Excluding his return to the game, Wentz produced at least 20 fantasy points in every game, while the Panthers scored 17.4 fantasy points per game of pass production over the past four weeks.
– Andy Dalton: Dalton faces a Kansas City Chiefs team that was about average in the league (16th by the number of fire metrics). Dalton has a stable floor (at least 13.9 fantasy points in every game with an average of 19.4.) Taking into account the rushed production (the Chiefs have left three floor scores this season) and a failure of Case Keenum.Passersby averaged 22.2 points against the Chiefs.
– Matthew Stafford: Miami started fighting against the pass, but they finished 21st in goal-adjusted yards in the last four weeks. Stafford arrives in a dead week and Stafford considers the Lions among the 12 best offensives after adjustment according to the opponent, according to the numberFire settings.

Consider if necessary

– Drew Brees: Brees had a week off to understand the Baltimore RavensThe defense against the first-level pass (second by our adjusted measures) and has three games in the top three out of five outings. Baltimore, however, allowed only one top 14 per quarter. Brees falls outside the confident starting territory, as we saw playing outside on the ground (8.7 fantastic points in Meadowlands in Week 4), and Mark Ingram. is back to steal work.
– Philip Rivers: Rivers goes to London to face Tennessee TitansDefense goes low-half. They kept four consecutive passers at 7.0 yards per attempt or less (although Blake BortlesCarson WentzJosh Allenand Joe Flacco). Tennessee has not dropped more than two touchdowns in a game, mainly because its opponents are constantly ahead of them. At the end of a 20-game attempt, 207 yards, 2 touchdowns, Rivers is an elevated option, but the ceiling seems capped at what should be a blowout (the gap opened to 6 , 5 points in favor of the Los Angeles Chargers.)).
– Kirk Cousins: If it was not for a hasty score last week, Cousins ​​would have had his third match with less than 15 fantasy points over his last four outings. He faced tough defenses, of course, but the New York Jets Cousins ​​was kept clean with only 59.1% of their losses, ranking 32nd out of 37 qualified players. passersby, via PFF, so it's not the safest bet to come to this place.
– Deshaun Watson: The Jaguars of Jacksonville have lost an average of just 11.0 fanciful passes per game, and the only 17.8 whimsical quarterback against them was Dak Prescott, thanks to 82 yards and a touchdown. Watson had collected 40.2 yards per game before scoring 2 losses in Week 6, but he is defying to bet on Watson as an underdog on the road in a 12-team league.
– Jameis Winston: Winston racked up 32.9 fantasy points last week in a plus position, but is now facing a defense against the top-3 – Cleveland Browns. – This left only one of the 12 best passers and 1.5 pass score per game. This is not someone who would rebroadcast with confidence, even as a home favorite in a match with a total of 49.5 points in the beginning.
– Baker Mayfield: Mayfield's soil went well, with the exception of his debut (14.8, 19.0, 14.3 fantastic points), and he is now facing a buccaneer from Tampa Bay. The defense left 27.3 fantasy points per game, 10.7 yards per attempt and 0.68 fantasy points per attempt (the two worst scores in the league).

Bench if possible

– Andrew Luck: Chance tended to increase and improved the average depth of his target, but Buffalo Bills, ranked third in passing defense by the number of stats from Fire, has not left a week in the top 18 to quarter in four straight games.
– Mitchell Trubisky: Trubisky has increased his touchdowns from 2 in his first three games to 9 over his last two games, while maintaining an average of at least 10.2 yards per attempt in these last games. His CTP count per pass in both games is 0.66 (the league average this season is 0.12). The New England Patriots"Passing Defense (22nd by the number of Fire Metrics) allows Trubisky to enter the streaming conversation at home – but do not worry about targeting it."
– Joe Flacco: Flacco has not scored since more than 2 touchdowns since Week 1, yet it has a usable floor every week with at least 12.2 fantasy points in six outings. A match against the New Orleans Saints"The 29th ranked defense helps. New Orleans ranks 31st in the number of yards adjusted per attempt and the number of fancy points per attempt granted to passers-by. It's a low-end streamer – it's not something you should do your best to get started.
– Alex Smith: Smith has not finished better than QB13 and has not scored 20 points in a game. He does not run the ball much either, with a maximum of 20 yards per game. Dallas controlled passers-by and did not leave more than two touchdowns in a match.
– Blake Bortles: Bortles' offensive line has been reduced in recent weeks, which means a place against the low-level Houston Texans The defense of the pass is not a slam dunk for him, given the promising rush of the pass. Bortles averaged 31.3 rushing yards per game, but he hit several assists in just two or six outings.
– Eli Manning: Manning averages 277 yards per game in the air and now faces the Atlanta Falcons defense that left five performances in the top 10 (30.1 fantasy points per game). He's always someone to put on the bench first, but if you're desperate, then Manning could be at stake, given the confrontation and the total of 54 points at the opening.
– Sam Darnold: Darnold faces the Minnesota Vikings defense that ranks 25th against the pass and loses key contributors to the week. The novice smuggler has produced at least 18.2 fantasy points during his last two outings, without any hasty implication. Still, he is not on the standard league radar because of the lack of a cap (only two of the six games of more than 200 rushing yards).
– Keenum case: Keenum has a short week to face the Cardinals of Arizona on the road. Arizona has already left four quarter points to reach 18.0 points or more, a point that Keenum has hit in three out of six games. However, the Cards allowed passers-by to receive fewer passes than expected, which increased the fantastic production – and allowed four opponents to beat less than 7.0 yards per attempt. The offensive line is running out for Keenum and no team has won more net points than the Cardinals. Keenum should not be a streaming option unless you are desperate.
– Dak Prescott: Prescott could be a fantastic asset if he started to run more (8.5 attempts for 58 yards per game in the last two games), while averaging 11.6 points as a passer. For the context, the opponents against the Jaguars have an average of 11.0. Washington's center pass defense does not place Prescott, which has only one better result than QB18 in shallow and standard-size leagues.
– Josh Rosen: Rosen was solid when he was not under pressure, but he is constantly under pressure (41.6% of his unbalanced, via ProFootballFocus). The Denver Broncos"Pass Rush is not an elite, but it's a unit in the middle of the pack, who could keep Rosen, but go over 240 passing yards or 12.5 fancy points, bottled a week longer.
– Marcus Mariota: Mariota has scored for more than 129 yards once and has just finished an outing of 11 sacks and 10 completed. The Chargers rank 5th in the quarter match rate, via FantasyData, and Mariota even got the worst league score with a clear pocket, via PFF. You can not start it.

Running Backs

Start with confidence

– Todd Gurley: Gurley's 26.5 chances (plus points) per game are the cause of all setbacks, and he is among the top 10 players each week, with at least 22.0 fantasy points in each game. Gurley has 26 inside 10, 11 more than any other player.
– Melvin Gordon: Gordon's worst result this season is RB14 and he is averaging north of 21 chances per game. The Titans are 22nd in Rushing Success The success rate is also allowed, and it's a game where the Chargers should lead (favorites at 6.5 points).
– Saquon Barkley: Barkley's workload (22.5 chances per game, fifth place among the rushers) keeps him as stellar RB1 in all matches, but he now faces a Falcons team that ranks 31st in the number of Fantasy points per target and allowed in the 23rd rank.
– Ezekiel Elliott: Elliott averaged 24.5 chances per game, second among all defensemen. Washington ranks 29th in the Rushing Success ranking. Similarly, Zeke is considered an excellent game even as a slight outsider on the road.
– Christian McCaffrey: McCaffrey finished in the top 25 in each game and has just completed a 100% instant game, his second of the season. The Eagles have been tough on the back this year (among the top 12 in fancy points per carry and target), but CMC is a RB1 stuck every week for its volume of work.
– Joe Mixon: Mixon played at least 68.9% of the snaps in his healthy games, placing in the top 12 in all three. The Chiefs rank 32nd in Rushing's success rate, as well as in this game.
– Kareem Hunt: Hunt's leaders have the highest implied total of the weekend and the Bengals are only 27th at Rushing's rate of success allowed. Hunt's lack of involvement in the passing games worsened in the 6th week (six goals for 105 yards and one touchdown, scoring just a second score) to dispel any concerns.
– Alvin Kamara: Kamara's success rate went from 77.3% or more in the first four games to 47.0% at Mark Ingramback to the action, but it was also not necessary to run Kamara in a super positive game script. At the end of last year, Kamara had dominated Ingram, which earned him the role of RB1 in a match against the strong defense against the Ravens race.
– Sony Michel: Michel's Patriots are favorites on the road to the Bears, a tough match on paper. Michel, however, has accumulated an average of 22.3 runs in the last three weeks, and the implied Pats total of 26.5 points should give him the advantage in touchdowns. It averages 4.0 out of 10 passes in this sequence, second in the league.
– James White: Whites have been among the top 22 in every game, and he has averaged 8.5 targets per game to start the year, making it the third highest total of all backs. The Bears are more beaten out of the backfield (ninth in the number of fantasy points per target) than on the field, so White could see heavy use of the reception.

Consider if necessary

– David Johnson: Johnson faces a Broncos team that has left two consecutive losses of 200 yards, but it's not a good bet to get the most out of it. Right-hand guard Justin Pugh broke his hand last week and left-hand goaltender Mike Iupati left with a back injury. They are both day-to-day and 55 of Johnson's 92 carries came straight from the center. In attack, the Cardinals back ranks 28th in the success rate rankings, and Arizona is actually a slender outsider at home.
– Tevin Coleman: Coleman averaged less than 50 yards per game in a 125-yard run over the second week. Nevertheless, the Falcons do not have Devonta Freeman.and the Falcons have a home game against the Giants in a match with a total of 50 points to the north.
– TheSean McCoy: McCoy has totaled 48 opportunities in his last two games while playing at least 70% of the shots in each of these competitions. He has not yet reached 86 yards rushing in a game, and he is now without Josh Allen (if it counts?) However, you are probably not in a position to put a player with 24 opportunities per game in the last two weeks, regardless of his lack of touchdown.
– Tarik Cohen: Cohen was consecutive in the first eight weeks of the season as he was playing nearly 50.0% of shots in each game of the season. Cohen has seen 17 targets in the last two games, and the Pats are 23rd in fantasy points by target backstroke. It should be in the game plan.
– Mark Ingram: Ingram turned 18 opportunities and a 54.5% success rate in 73 yards, not the most efficient day. He was saved by two touchdowns, however. The fact is that he is now facing a Ravens defense that left only one touchdown in total at the start of the season.
– Adrian Peterson: Peterson is a 1.5 point favorite at home, so we can guess a neutral or even positive scenario here. Under these circumstances, we can rely on AD, which has an average of 22.0 chances in his three games with at least half of the shots played.
– Carlos Hyde: Hyde averages 20.7 chances per game and is now in a game with a total of 49.5 points. Hyde's 10 spans inside the five-yard line rank him second in the NFL, and the Bucs have already dropped five touchdowns during the season.
– T.J. Yeldon: Yeldon produced at least 8.0 fantasy points in every game, the ranking was ranked among the top 34. Its shooting rate has actually decreased (92.8% at week 5 and 64.6% at week 6). Yeldon is struggling with ankle problems, but Texans are below average in fantasy points per target allocated to the position. If he supports for two-thirds of the shots, he should come back.
– Latavius ​​Murray: Murray will be heading to another out comeback in week 7. He has played 74.2% and 81.7% of the catches in the last two games, with a 13 and 16 opportunities record in those . The Vikes are the favorites of the road on a mid-range anti-rush defense in the Jets.
– Matt Breida: Breida has had double-digit opportunities in every healthy match and finished among the top 30 of Week 2. Since he's played 47.4% of the shots last week, he seems to be pretty good health for a negative scenario in week 7..
– Chris Thompson: Thompson scored 7.8 goals per game average (7, 14, 2 and 8), and he finished in the top 30 in three of four games. It can be eliminated early, but the defense against the Dallas race is difficult, so it is again at stake for a significant workload.
– Jordan Howard: Howard's clash rate has plummeted to 54.1% and 51.4% in the last two games, and we can start to panic after his RB52 and RB41 finals, but he has always had 12 and 15 opportunities in these matches, nothing to ignore when playing in a match with a total of almost 50 points. Normally, he would have a very flashy profile, but the situation is not as bad as the latest arrivals suggest, and he had the four red zones in those two games.
– Phillip Lindsay: The rate of grabbing at the 6th week of Lindsay was problematic (30.3%), while it was the RB24 on just 11 occasions, thanks to 6 catches for 46 yards. The Broncos have just lost left guard Ronald Leary for the season, but the Cardinals have already left five weeks in the top 12 and seven weeks in the top 24.
– Wendell Smallwood: Smallwood was the first option for the Eagles last week and ended up playing 62.0% of the catches and managing 20 opportunities. He has only rushed for 51 yards, but all indications are that he will be the benchmark player in a game where his team is favored by five points. He had six of nine races in the red zone in the sixth week.
– Drake from Kenya: It is hard to estimate Drake at this point, but he has averaged an average of 18.0 chances in the last two games and has played 60.0% of the snapshots in five of his six games. Detroit has a defense against a race below the number of points of attack allowed by Rushing.
– Kerryon Johnson: Johnson has not yet hit 50.0% of snapshots, but has averaged 14.3 times per game over his last four games. Miami, however, allowed six different rookies to rank among the top 12.
– Corey Clement: Clement returned to the game with 36.6% of the catch and managed 14 opportunities. He generated 69 yards and a hasty score on those looks. It has been treated as a secondary option behind Smallwood, so we should keep this in mind, but it is a flexible game with its potential to touch. Carolina left 1.36 fantasy points per target at the back (sixth in any team).
– Peyton Barber: Barber, who has just released a 41-snap game, 17-opportunity, is a flex candidate. He pushed Ronald Jones but has not yet marked on the ground (63 door). As a home favorite in a game with an over / under that has close to 50 points, you could do worse than Barber this week.
– Marlon Mack: Mack handled 14 of the Colts offensive offensive opportunities last week and played 34.8% of the shots. This is not usually a rate high enough to warrant a start, but Indy is a 7.5-point favorite on the Bills, suggesting that he will be on the line again for double-digit deferrals.
– Royce Freeman: Freeman led the Broncos battlefield in snaps (just 37.9%) last week, but had only one double-digit look in his last five games. Still, this week, the Broncos have an opportunity to create a lead and let Freeman handle the game against a backfield that has already allowed 10 different rushers to rank among the top 36 this season.
– Lamar Miller: Miller would normally be a player we could just write as sit because of the terrible confrontation (total implied 19 points, outsider on the road 5 points, offensive line exhausted against a team that ranks fifth in Rushing Success Rate allowed to roll back), but he still played 67.2% of the snapshots and dealt with 18 opportunities in week 6. He was the RB23, the RB35, the RB28, the RB38 and the RB30, scoring at least 8, 0 fantasy points in four out of five games.
– Bilal Powell: Despite a spectacular drop rate (63.6%, 54.8%, 45.1%), Powell finished like RB37 or better in every game, with total opportunities of 14, 11, 15, 15, 20 and 17 years old. actively target, but it is a game worthy of flex if necessary.
– Dion Lewis: The Chargers allowed 1.32 fantasy points per target, ranking 24th in the championship, and Lewis came out of a successful 72.7% game. He has been over 63.0% in three consecutive games, so he is a dart thrower if you have to go.

Bench if possible

– Alex Collins: Collins runs the risk of being out of this game if Baltimore is lagging behind. He has an average of less than 50 yards per game on the ground, and the Saints are the best defense against the race.
– Javorius Allen: Allen makes sense in theory, but he had four weak touches in the sixth week, while he played 37.3% of the shots. The Saints are in 20th place in fancy points per target allowed to return, so he could be in reserve for extra work.
– Austin Ekeler: Ekeler is a boundary bench candidate. It is a safe bet for about a third of the shots and about 10 keys in a powerful attack. It was the RB22, the RB22 and the RB35 even with only three total catches in this period. Still, it's not the type of game that we should hope to roll out in a positive scenario.
– Isaiah Crowell: Crowell alternated big games and failures. For all the Vikings' defensive struggles, they have limited big games (7th in Rushing CTP by report allowed), but have lost consistent gains (28th in Rushing Success Rate allowed). Crowell has played at least 15 times in four of his last five games. So it's in conversation with flex, but it's a bench if possible, given the Vikings' propensity to limit big shots.
– Nyheim Hines: The number of Hines' snapshots dropped to 43.5% last week with the return of the Mack, and he saw only six chances in total. As a home favorite and with a quarterback, Hines should have a limited role in capturing passes. Put it on the bench if you can.
– Duc Johnson: Johnson's property suggests that he is on a sufficient number of players for people to consider him, despite the fact that he has reached the maximum of chances on eight occasions in one game. Johnson played about half of the shots in two consecutive games and the Bucs left more fantasy points per target to back than any other team. It could happen this week. but do not count on it.
– Derrick Henry: Henry's Titans are 6.5 point outsiders in London, this is not a scenario in which we can deploy it, even if we are desperate. He has not scored more than six fantasy points, despite double digit odds in five of the six games.

Wide receivers

Start with confidence

– Adam Thielen: Thielen has scored more than 100 yards in each game and has a 32.8% target share and 44.2% of Viking offensive counters. He will face Buster Skrine in the slot this week too.
– Julio Jones: Jones has not scored this year yet, but has at least 8.7 fantasy points in every game and at least 12.1 points in four out of six games. Jones represented 47.7% of his league's top flight, and 31.1% of Matt Ryan's shots were targeted. Overall, Giants pass defense is considered a lower than average unit.
– A J. green: Green has a target share of 24.5% and a share of 34.4% in his last three games, but faces a high school that has been pretty tough this year, placing third in points fantastic by target and fourth in target hit rate allowed for recipients. Still, Green, who has 11 goals in the final zone, is a match blocked in a match with a total of 58.5 points.
– Odell Beckham: OBJ accounted for 29.8% of the team's goals and 41.1% of the airfields even at the start of the season. He has always had a high floor – at least 7.1 fantasy points in every game – and now faces a Falcon defense that yields 1.65 fantasy points per target to his receivers (the 25th maximum).
– DeAndre Hopkins: Hopkins had 16 and 13 targets against the Jags last year, but he captured only 11 of those 29 targets for a total of 135 yards. He scored in every game, however, to help. La part de 29,9% des objectifs de Nuk et la part de verges aériennes de 41,5% lui font jouer un rôle essentiel.
– Stefon Diggs: Diggs possède une part de cible solide de 24,6% et 32,6% des chantiers aériens dans son attaque, mais est enclin à baisser des semaines tandis que Thielen prend le relais dans la fente. Il se déplace suffisamment sur le terrain pour obtenir des écarts, et les Jets ont laissé cinq performances au top 25 au cours des trois dernières semaines.
– Tyreek Hill: Hill a offert des points fantaisie à deux chiffres en cinq matchs sur six cette année et a terminé deux fois en tant que WR1. Les Bengals n'ont pas encore laissé de place dans le top six, mais ils ont rendu trois top 12 et six top 24.
– Julian Edelman: Edelman a une part cible de 21,1% depuis son retour et Chicago a été vulnérable aux destinataires cette année. De plus, des passes courtes à Edelman ont du sens pour faire face à la ruée des passes des Bears.
– cuisiniers brandin: Les cuisiniers sont revenus en force au cours de la semaine 6, effectuant une descente sur 34 défaites sur 35 et voyant 121 verges aériennes sur 6 cibles. Il a réussi seulement deux de ces balles pour 53 verges, mais il peut éviter le joueur stationnaire Richard Sherman..
– Robert Woods: Woods peut également éviter la couverture de Richard Sherman assez souvent sur la base de son alignement pré-instantané. Woods a représenté 25,8% des cibles et 35,8% des chantiers aériens dans la deuxième meilleure infraction de la ligue cette saison. Il a été un receveur parmi les 16 premiers en quatre semaines consécutives et a inscrit au moins 15,6 points de fantaisie dans tous ces domaines.
– Alshon Jeffery: Jeffery a vu 9, 8 et 12 cibles dans ses trois matchs (une part cible de 24,8%), terminant en WR11, WR74 et WR8. Il a marqué trois fois et avait trois cibles de zone d'extrémité. La défense de la passe de la Caroline est à mi-chemin.
– Tate d'or: Tate a enregistré une moyenne de 10,2 cibles par match en moyenne par match sur l'ensemble de la saison, et Miami occupe le 23e rang en termes de points fantaisie par cible allouée au poste.

Considérer si nécessaire

– Michael Thomas: Le match de Thomas contre les Corbeaux est un excellent exemple du dilemme départ / assis dans le football fantastique. Les Corbeaux sont les premiers au taux de réussite cible autorisé pour les receveurs et ont maintenant Jimmy Smith retour. Cette année, ils n’ont autorisé que deux des 12 meilleurs destinataires. Le volume de l'élite de Thomas s'est réduit rapidement (17, 13, 10, 4, 5 cibles) et il n'a pas été marqué en deux matchs consécutifs. Il a perdu 17,8% de parts de triage lors de ses deux derniers matchs. Il a plus de concurrence que jamais avec Mark Ingram et Tre'Quan Smith. Mais vous n’allez toujours pas le mettre sur un banc sauf si vous êtes chargé au receveur ou si vous êtes dans une ligue peu profonde, car le total est toujours de 50 points et il a 11 cibles combinées à partir de la zone des 10 et de la fin.
– Mike Evans: Evans a récolté deux coups francs (8,9 et 7,8 points fantaisie), et les Browns sont un match difficile, se classant au sixième rang des points fantasy par cible alloués aux receveurs. Sa part cible est tombée à 17,6% au cours des trois derniers matchs et il n’est que troisième dans la part cible de Winston cette saison.
– Emmanuel Sanders: Sanders affronte une équipe secondaire des Cardinals qui se classe au premier rang du nombre de points fantaisie par cible allouée, principalement en raison du nombre limité de touchés (seulement deux par an). Ces deux marqueurs sont venus au cours des deux dernières semaines pour les receveurs de machines à sous Trent Taylor et Adam Thielen. La part cible de Sanders se situe à 26,7% au cours des trois derniers matchs.
– Jarvis Landry: Landry a perdu son statut de joueur à commencer, malgré 10, 10 et 9 cibles lors de ses trois derniers matchs. Il a attrapé seulement deux des neuf buts la semaine dernière pour 11 verges et n’a touché qu’un touché cette saison. Cependant, il a parcouru tous les itinéraires disponibles des deux dernières semaines, et Tampa est 31e en termes de taux de réussite cible et de points fantaisie par cible alloués aux destinataires.
– Kenny Golladay: Golladay entre dans celui-ci après une partie à 7 cibles (30,4% des tentatives de l'équipe), et a été l'un des 25 meilleurs receveurs dans quatre de ses cinq matchs, grâce à un plancher de 53 verges et quatre attrapés.
– Keenan Allen: Allen a été le WR44, le WR76, le WR41, le WR22 et le WR27 lors de ses cinq derniers matchs et a toujours une part cible de 29,8% au cours de ses trois derniers matchs. Allen évitera Adoree 'Jackson, mais le Logan Ryan Le jumelage de machines à sous n'est pas nécessairement d'élite non plus. Il est toujours dans la conversation WR2, compte tenu des parts de marché.
– Tyler Boyd: Boyd obtient un coup de pouce dans un match avec un total énorme, mais les Chiefs ont une défense de receveur faussement bonne. Boyd a 24,5% des cibles des Bengals au cours des trois derniers matchs.
– Sammy Watkins: Le raté de Watkins la semaine dernière n'avait pas beaucoup de sens. Il a parcouru tous les itinéraires possibles mais n'a vu que 11,1% des objectifs de l'équipe et 6,7% des chantiers aériens. Malgré tout, son plancher projeté augmente dans un match avec un total de 58,5 points, donc Watkins – malgré un match nul et un match difficile – continue de se présenter comme une personne à intégrer dans nos alignements cette semaine.
– Josh Gordon: Les prises de vue de Gordon se sont améliorées au cours de la semaine 6 (63 après avoir disputé 18 de ses deux premiers matches avec les Pats), et la part de son parcours a grimpé de près de 70%. Le total est presque de 50 points, et Gordon a déjà deux objectifs de zone d'extrémité avec les Patriots.
– Allen Robinson: La part cible de Robinson est tombée à 18,9% et sa part des yards aériens n’est que de 25,0% au cours des trois derniers matchs, mais il a toujours au moins 50 yards ou un score à chaque match, et les Patriots ne sont qu’une défense anti-passe à mi-distance. Dans un jeu avec un total élevé, cela le maintient dans la conversation WR3.
– Devin Funchess: Funchess a une part cible de 23,4% au cours de ses trois derniers matchs – plus 36,1% des dépôts aériens de l'équipe. Il a eu au moins 3 attrapés et 41 verges à chaque match, il a donc un plancher assez haut pour le flex dans la plupart des formations de 12 et 14 équipes. Dans Greg Olsen's return, Funchess finished as the WR15 (15.9 fantasy points), and the Eagles are 22nd in Target Success Rate allowed to receivers.
– Marvin Jones: Jones has 11 end zone targets but just a single finish better than WR30 and nothing better than WR19 to show for it. His yardage upside is gone, as he's been under 70 yards in every contest. He now will face Xavien Howard on a significant portion of his routes. Knock him down the list, but he's still had a 7.0-point fantasy floor, keeping him out of "bench if possible" territory.
– John Brown: Brown was phased out last week, seeing just 3 targets after having 10, 9, 7, and 14 in the four weeks leading up to it. He's been held to fewer than 60 yards in two straight games, but it's a bounce-back spot against a Saints pas defense that ranks 30th in Target Success Rate to receivers.
– Sterling Shepard: Shepard is still playable because of the matchup with Atlanta, but he had a 14.8% target share in the first two weeks with Evan Engram healthy and finished with 7.3 and 3.9 fantasy points. Engram should be back, meaning he falls down the pecking order.
– Michael Crabtree: Crabtree notched his first top-30 week this year a week ago (WR13 and 18.3 fantasy points) despite running just 26 routes. He's up to a 29.1% air yards share over his past two games, though, and a matchup with the Saints keeps him in play this week.
– Corey Davis: Davis has finished better than WR44 once because his offense has thrown for more than 130 yards once. His usage (31.1% target share and 40.3% air yards share) is elite, and the Chargers are 27th in fantasy points per target allowed to receivers. If there's a week for a solid game, it's this one.

Bench If Possible

– Will Fuller: Fuller doesn't need volume in most matchups, but in Jacksonville, we can't bank on his current volume (three targets in each of his past two games — despite playing his usual snaps and running routes) against a defense that has let up just 1.17 fantasy points per target to the position (second-fewest).
– Demaryius Thomas: Thomas plays from the slot enough to avoid Patrick Peterson on a significant portion of his routes, but his target share has fallen to 14.3% over the past three games, and he's run 52.7% and 77.3% of routes the past two games. He's banking on touchdowns, something the Cardinals have limited this season, letting up just two — both to interior receivers.
– DeSean Jackson: Jackson has run a route on fewer than 70% of drop backs in every game this year but has seen 12 targets from Jameis Winston, more than any other Buc. In a game with a total near 50 points, he's worth a dart in deeper leagues, but that's it, given how low the floor can be.
– Taylor Gabriel: Gabriel is trending the right way with a 34.4% air yards share and 23.3% of the Bears' targets over the past three games, so he's in play in deeper leagues in a game with a high total and a New England defense that ranks a respectable 11th in Passing NEP per attempt on deep throws.
– Antonio Callaway: Callaway sounds like a "start" if we're just looking at matchups, and he's got a 32.0% air yards share and 21.1% target share over the past three games, yet he hasn't hit double-digit fantasy points in four straight games. He's a deep-league start and a desperation start, but he's not a slam dunk as much as we'd want him to be in this spot.
– Marquise Goodwin: Goodwin's route rate jumped to 96.4% last week, up from 63.9% and 64.3% in his two most recent healthy games, but we have to expect the 49ers to throw in a game against the Rams. San Fran is a 10-point underdog, and the Rams are beatable deep, ranking 30th in Passing NEP per attempt on deep throws.
– Chris Godwin: Godwin has been the WR35, WR29, WR26, WR87, and WR20 this year, finishing as a flex-worthy option in every game he's scored. He's maxed out at 74 yards, but out of the bye, he saw 9 targets (22.5% of the looks) and scored again.
– Robby Anderson: Anderson gets a boost from the absence of Quincy Enunwa's 27.6% target share through Week 5. Anderson is up to a 19.5% target share and 33.3% of the air yards over his past three games, but you can't be overly eager to target him in a game where his Jets have an implied total of 22 points.
– Keelan Cole, Donte Moncrief, and Dede Westbrook: The top finish for these receivers by week are WR48, WR7, WR51, WR13, WR30, and WR34, so the weekly gamble hasn't even been worth the payoff. Houston — for all of its struggles — ranks 10th in fantasy points per target to tight ends.
– Jamison Crowder, Paul Richardson, and Josh Doctson: The Cowboys have let up just two top-12 receivers this year and keep pass volume in check. None of them have a target share above 15.0% this season, so the volume isn't there to project any of them for a usable week in standard sized-leagues.
– Larry Fitzgerald: Fitz is running nearly 80% of his routes from the slot, and that means a matchup with Chris Harris, one of the toughest matchups possible. He has yet to finish better than WR37 in a week and hasn't topped 6.4 fantasy points since Week 1.
– Pierre Garcon: The Rams have let up 10 touchdowns, 9.0 yards per target, and 1.79 fantasy points per target to receivers, yet Garcon hasn't gotten to 60 yards or the end zone yet this season. He owns a 23.6% target share and 28.8% of the air yards over the past three games, so he's a sit based on his ceiling rather than his floor.
– Nelson Agholor: Agholor busted out some big gains in Week 6 but still returned just 10.6 fantasy points (WR39). He's down to an 11.9% target share over his past two games.
– Mike Williams: Williams has been better than the WR40 just once this year and has actually been the WR98, WR65, and WR92 the past three weeks while boasting a lowly 13.1% target share.
– Christian Kirk: Kirk is trending up, with a 22.0% target share outside of Week 1, yet the Cardinals' low volume combined with a tough overall matchup with Denver on a short week keeps him out of the 12-team league conversation.

Tight Ends

Start With Confidence

– Travis Kelce: Kelce owns a 26.8% target share on the season and 26.5% of the air yards in the league's top passing offense, per numberFire's metrics. As a home favorite in a game with a total near 60 points, you can't ask for anything else.
– Zach Ertz: Ertz has a 29.1% target share since the return of Alshon Jeffery and has run a route on at least 86.5% of drop backs in every game this year. His nine targets last week marked the first single-digit target game for him this season. Carolina has let up 1.62 fantasy points per target to tight ends, 24th-most in the league.
– Rob Gronkowski: You're taking what you can get from Gronk, who has been staying in to block a bit more of late (he ran a route on 92.7%, 86.8%, and 96.4% of drop backs through Week 3 before 71.4%, 77.3%, and 73.7% the past three games). He hasn't scored since Week 1 and has just 2 end zone targets but has at least averaged 86.0 receiving yards per game over the past two weeks.
– David Njoku: Njoku's targets have gotten even heavier over the past two weeks (11 and 12 after an average of 5.8 through Week 4). The Bucs are 32nd in fantasy points per target and 29th in Target Success Rate allowed to tight ends.
– George Kittle: Kittle has been a super efficient option this year and has accounted for 23.3% of the 49ers' targets. The Rams haven't let up a touchdown to the position yet, but they're 19th in Target Success Rate allowed to tight ends.
– Kyle Rudolph: He's been scoreless in three straight games but has had at least four catches in every week since Week 2, which can't be understated given the volatility at the tight end position. The Jets are 21st in fantasy points per target allowed to tight ends.
– Jordan Reed: Reed's 9 targets led to just 36 yards last week, and he hasn't scored since Week 1. He also hasn't topped 65 yards yet, so the ceiling has been capped. A matchup with Dallas, who has let up just two top-12 tight end weeks, keeps Reed as just a fringe TE1 option this week.

Consider If Needed

– Eric Ebron: Ebron's 19.9% target share over the past three games and heavy goal-line usage keeps him in the conversation, despite playing a really tough pass defense. Buffalo has let up just 6.0 yards per target to tight ends, yet the Colts' pass-heavy approach keeps Ebron in the TE1 conversation.
– Evan Engram: Engram owned a 16.0% target share in his two healthy games and gets a dome matchup with a bottom-five tight end defense. We just can't know how healthy he is or if he'll be limited.
– Greg Olsen: Olsen's matchup is borderline dreadful, as the Eagles are 1st in Target Success Rate allowed to tight ends (and 11th in fantasy points per target). However, he returned in Week 6 to play 98.3% of snaps and ran a route on 81.4% of the Panthers' drop backs. Overall, he had 7 targets in his return, an 18.9% target share. That keeps him as a floor play despite the matchup.
– Trey Burton: Burton has had at least four catches in three of his past four games and a touchdown in three of those four, too. He's cleared 55 yards just once, so a touchdown threat in a game with a total that's nearly 50 points is playable, even if the floor could fall out.
– Austin Hooper: Hooper's target share has spiked to 26.2% over the past two games (it's 16.7% on the full season), and he's accounted for 19.4% of the team's air yards in those two contests. He's now a home favorite in a dome with an over/under of 54 points.
– O.J. Howard: Howard was back in action last week, playing 51.5% of snaps (compared to an average snap rate of 70.2% through Week 3). He had just 4 targets but netted 62 yards a 1 touchdown. The high total keeps him in play this week.
– C.J. Uzomah: Uzomah's route rate spiked to 84.4% last week, and he saw 7 targets for 54 yards last week. The Chiefs are a bottom-half tight end defense, so Uzomah is in contention as a streamer this week in a game that should feature the most points.
– Ricky Seals-Jones: RSJ's snap count has dipped of late (92.5%, 97.8%, 84.0%, 65.0%, 66.7%, 67.2%), but he still has 16 targets in his past three games and a 32.4% air yards share. Denver's 29th in fantasy points per target allowed to tight ends. The matchup suggests to sit him, but let's be realistic with our tight end selection. The deep balls keep him in desperation play

Bench If Possible

– Benjamin Watson: Watson's route rate has fallen each week (76.1%, 68.4%, 60.8%, 40.0%, and 37.5%), and he's yet to score this season. He now has more competition for goal-line looks and targets.
– Cameron Brate: Brate was outsnapped by Antony Auclair last week and got bailed out with a touchdown on his lone target.
– Antonio Gates: Gates has run more than half of the Chargers' pass routes just once this year and has averaged 3.0 targets per game. The Titans are first in fantasy points per target to the position.