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Dave Tuley, a senior journalist at VSiN, joins the Postal Bookkeeper's Guide for the 2018 NFL season. His articles on disability feature in VSiN's online magazine, Point Spread Weekly.
Packers (+9) on RAMS: The Rams movement is filling up fast, but remember that they failed to cover their victories in Seattle and Denver. Admittedly, they were on the road, but their last home game was a victory in a seven-point victory over the Vikings (a team that pitted the Packers against a 29-29 draw), so the bettors have already caught up with them . Plus, when will we ever have Aaron Rodgers get more than one touchdown? Can you say "back door cover"?
On Monday
INVOICES (+14) on the patriots: This "inflected" line is the star of week 8 of the NFL, while odds-makers are trying to convince somebody to take the nasty Bills or make the popular Patriots disappear. We will be happy to take the extra points instead of Derek Anderson). Anyway, the NFL's double-digit home outsiders are a long-time profitable game despite these apparent disparities. In addition, the division's two-digit home dogs are at 13-4 against the spread since 2009, according to Marc Lawrence's statistics. The Bills have a 3-1 record against the last four times in this role (and 2-0 against the gap already this year as double-digit dogs on the road).
Last week: 1-1
Season: 5-8-1.
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