Poll: Senate candidates separated by less than 3 points in Florida, Arizona and Indiana



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Several critical Senate races are virtually tied with the midterms a little over a week away, according to CBS polls released Sunday.

In Florida’s Senate race, Sen. Bill NelsonClarence (Bill) William NelsonElection Countdown: Latest glimpse at fundraising highlights Dem edge | Cook moves Menendez race to toss up | Heated Missouri Senate debate | O’Rourke scrambling to win Latino voters | Bloomberg spending big for Dem candidates | DNC talks 2020 debates Kamala Harris to campaign for Bill Nelson in Florida White House worried about GOP chances in key Florida races: report MORE (D-Fla.) and Gov. Rick Scott (R) are tied at 46 percent.

In Arizona’s Senate race, Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) leads Rep. Martha McSallyMartha Elizabeth McSallyEx-Kasich aide: Republicans lying about healthcare stance ‘do not deserve your vote’ The Hill’s Morning Report — Presented by PhRMA — Tensions boil over in Washington after bomb scares State troopers pull endorsement of Sinema in Arizona Senate race MORE (R-Ariz.) by 3 points, at 47 percent to 44 percent. The difference is within the poll’s margin of error.

In Indiana, Mike Braun (R) leads the incumbent Sen. Joe DonnellyJoseph (Joe) Simon DonnellyElection Countdown: Latest glimpse at fundraising highlights Dem edge | Cook moves Menendez race to toss up | Heated Missouri Senate debate | O’Rourke scrambling to win Latino voters | Bloomberg spending big for Dem candidates | DNC talks 2020 debates Election Countdown: Candidates clash in fiery Florida gov debate | Trump fights uphill midterm battle on health care | Vulnerable Republicans follow Trump on immigration | Takeaways from only NJ Senate debate | Dallas Morning News endorses O’Rourke Election Countdown: Two weeks to midterms | Hollywood donors flood Dems with cash | Trump camp to spend over M on midterms | Biden rallies Florida Dems | What to watch in Georgia gov debate MORE (D) also by only 3 points, at 46 percent to 43 percent. The narrow gap is also within the poll’s margin of error.

Democrats need a net gain of two seats to retake the Senate. Republicans are currently predicted to hold their majority. FiveThirtyEight gives them a 5 in 6 chance of maintaining their majority.

However, the same prediction expects Democrats to flip the House. FiveThirtyEight gives them a 6 in 7 shot at doing so.

Sunday’s poll also showed a widening divide between Democrats and Republicans in the midst of a heated political climate.

Among Republican voters polled, 70 percent said that the Democratic Party is composed of people with different values and only 30 percent said the left was advocating for policies with which they disagreed.

Likewise, 66 percent of Democrats told pollsters that the GOP stood for different values than they did, while 34 percent said it advocated for policies with which they disagreed.

In Arizona, pollsters spoke to 972 likely voters from Oct. 23-26 and the results have a margin of error of 4.1 points.

In Indiana, pollsters spoke to 975 likely voters from Oct. 23-26 and the survey has a margin of error of 3.7 points.

The Florida poll has a margin of error of 4 points. Pollsters interviewed 991 likely voters from Oct. 23-26.

— Updated 12:47 p.m.



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