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the mid-term elections are around the corner, and Democrats are fighting for control of Congress. But many factors will determine whether Democrats can really take control. here is three things you should look for before the night of the elections 2018.
The suburbs
Democrats must get 23 seats to take control of the House, and the majority race in the House will be decided mainly in outlying areas.
Large metropolitan areas are generally Democrats, but some places in the suburbs are occupied by Republicans, such as in Orange County, California, and the suburbs outside New York, Philadelphia, Denver, and Minneapolis. A big question for Democrats is whether or not they can overthrow Republican seats in these suburbs.
A suburban run to watch is the 7th Congress of New Jersey, a predominantly white district located in north-central states. This district has been represented since 2008 by the current representative, Leonard Lance, Republican. Lance is opposed to Tom Malinowski, former deputy secretary of state under the Obama administration. At the moment, CBS News believes that this race is a real headache.
In Colorado's 6th district, which includes the suburbs of Aurora and Denver, the acting GOP party representative, Mike Coffman, confronts Jason Crow, who presents himself on a platform focusing on prevention armed violence. CBS News has this democratic leaning race.
Minority voters
The participation of minority voters in the mid-term elections has generally been low. However, in districts with a large minority population, the big question is whether minorities will come to the ballot box fairly broadly to change seats from red to blue.
The Democrats thought the race in the 39th district of California, a suburb that had won Hillary Clinton in 2016, would be an easy victory. But the US-Korean candidate Young Kim, Republican, has garnered support from the large US-Asian population of the district. CBS News believes that this race has been successful.
In addition, some states have been accused of carrying out electoral repression in order to prevent minorities from voting. This is particularly the case in Georgia, where Republican Secretary of State Brian Kemp is running against Democrat Stacey Abrams, the first black woman in US history to win a major nomination for governorship. In Georgia, 53,000 requests to vote have been suspendedand 70% of these applications belong to black voters.
Enthusiasm of voters
Right now, Democrats are at the forefront of enthusiasm and the need to get voters to vote, and voters have already gone to the polls in record numbers.
Advance polls began in 27 states and, to date, the number of advance polls has exceeded the total number of advance votes in 2014 at the mid-term. In Texas, the number of anticipated votes has already exceeded the total number of votes cast in 2014, including both advance and polling day votes.
This is a big problem for Texas, where a tight race in the Senate could determine whether Republicans hold the majority or not. Republican Senator Ted Cruz defends his seat from Democratic challenger Beto O. Rourke. CBS News describes this race as a Republican leaning, but O & # 39; Rourke particularly appealed to young voters, who went to the polls earlier than ever.
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