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This is a smaller advantage than that of the party in the last CNN poll before the 2006 elections and similar to that of the 10-point Republicans just before the 2010 elections.
Democrats enjoy a considerable gender gap that has persisted throughout the fall (women are in favor of Democrats between 62% and 35%, while men are roughly evenly divided among women. independent politicians (53% for Democrats to 39% for Republicans), and the strong support of black and Latino voters (88% of black voters and 66% of Latino voters are in favor of Democrats).
The gender gap intersects between races and levels of education. Non-white women (79% are in favor of Democrats) and white women with a university degree (68% of Democrats), white men (57% Republicans). and especially white men without a university degree (65% of Republicans) are the most deeply behind the GOP.
About 7 out of 10 voters say that when they vote on Tuesday, they will send a message about President Donald Trump and that, more often than not, the message that voters want to send is an opposition message.
In total, 42% of likely voters say their vote will be to voice their opposition to the president, while 28% say it will be to support him.
Another 28% say their vote does not concern the president. This level of opposition is similar to what voters likely felt just before the 2006 elections when 41% of those polled said they would vote to oppose George W. Bush. Fewer voters that year, only 16%, said they ran to support the president.
Trump's approval rating in the survey is 39% overall, with 55% disapproval, slightly worse than in early October, when 41% of them approved its performance and 52% disapproved of it.
This is the worst vote of pre-election approval of a president who is approaching his first mid-term election in a ballot that goes back to Eisenhower.
Among likely voters, a majority, 52% strongly disagree with the way the president manages his work, 35% strongly approve of his job as president and only 11% of people likely to vote Tuesday say they do not. Do not have strong opinions about Trump.
A few days before the election, the enthusiasm was great among the voters of both parties, but the advantage of Democrats in the enthusiasm was reduced to just 4 points: 68% of the voters Democrats and independent Democrats were eager to vote. Republicans and Independents with Republican tendencies said the same thing.
A majority of likely voters (52%) say they view health care as extremely important for their vote for Congress Tuesday, with immigration and Trump coming close at 49% each. Just behind that, 47% each says that the economy, corruption and gun policy are extremely important to their vote.
However, voters' priorities for issues are heavily divided by party. Among Democrats, 71% believe that health care is extremely important. That's 37% of Republicans. Nearly two-thirds of Republicans (64%) say that immigration is extremely important for them, while this figure drops 20 points to 44% among Democrats. And if 60% of Republicans consider the economy to be extremely important, only 39% of Democrats agree.
Most Democrats consider that the survey on Russia is an essential part of their vote (53% say it is extremely important), but only 8% of Republicans say the same thing. The only question on which they both agree is: Trump. Majorities in both parties say that it is extremely important for their vote (55% of Republicans, 53% of Democrats).
About half of the likely voters say that if Democrats gained control of Congress, the country would be in a better situation (48%), while about a third of them said it would be worse (35%).
Most Americans (56%) think that it is likely that a foreign government will interfere in this fall's US elections, and 74% think that if that happens, it would be a crisis or a major problem. Concerns about foreign interference are more prevalent among Democrats. 74% of them think that this is likely to happen and 90% consider it a major problem.
Among Republicans, only 33% think such interference is likely and 57% see it as a major problem or more.
The survey also reveals that 8 out of 10 Americans think the country is more deeply divided than in previous years on major issues. That's slightly lower than the 85% who felt this just after the Trump election in 2016.
Up to 74% say that the recent tone of US policy encourages violence in some people. That's about the same as what was said in a poll done by CBS News shortly after a Republican congressman was shot down at a police station. Baseball training organized by the Congress in June 2017 for a charity event.
The CNN survey was conducted by SSRS from November 1-3, on a random national sample of 1,518 adults on landlines or mobile phones by an online interviewer. The results for the full sample have a sampling error margin of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, for the subset of 1 151 likely voters, the margin is over or minus 3.5 percentage points.
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