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By Rick Kern / WireImage / Getty Images.
The most spectacular part of the Beto O'Rourke narrative – beyond the fact that it comes at hand Ted Cruz in one Texas The race in the Senate, or that he is a skateboarder Kennedy doppelgänger, or that it is perhaps the most exciting thing for the lazy Democratic Party today, is that he has managed to manifest all these qualities in his financial game. O'Rourke initially shocked the country when he constantly overvalued his well-financed rival, often surpassing twice the number of Cruz, mostly through small donations. Friday, O'Rourke announced a new outstanding sum for his last trip: $ 38.1 million, the all-time record for the first quarter. all Senate Candidate in History. "The people of Texas in the 254 countries prove that when we reject the CAP and we come together, not as Republicans or Democrats, but as Texans and Americans, nothing prevents us," he said. said in a statement. (Cruz, for comparison, raised $ 12 million.)
But as Bernie Sanders demonstrated in 2016, a massive and sustained influx of popular money does not guarantee victory, and the numbers prove it: if O Rourke certainly has the money and the press needed to raise his profile, he is still late compared to Cruz. considerable margin. In October, the average political situation bluntly gives Cruz a 7-point lead over O'Rourke, according to polls The New York Times (which makes him go up 8 points) and Quinnipiac (9 points), among others. Although Republicans generally do not boast of Texas, their room for maneuver is wide enough for election observers to place Texas in the "leaning red" category, that is, unless A last minute surprise quite possible.
O'Rourke's delay makes sense in the context of the Texas electorate itself: it is hardly recognized by the name of the fast-growing Hispanic population, whom it will have to unravel to secure victory. (Despite their strong animus against Donald Trump, whose policy of separation of children is still reflected along the southern border of Texas, Hispanics accounted for less than one in five voters in the 2016 elections). Cruz, on the other hand, has an enthusiastic base of conservative white evangelical Christians who regularly vote in the mid-term elections, and who engulfs Cruz's message that O 'Rourke is a Texan version of a liberal coastal elite. , citing his appearance on The Ellen DeGeneres Show, his sordid days of punk rock and the fact that Hollywood and the Democratic machine are raising money for him. At one point, Cruz tweeted a picture of the Hollywood sign changed to "Betowood", mocking a fundraiser organized by Bravo's ### Andy Cohen, and a neighbor hosted by Judd Apatow. (One could, of course, point out that Cruz also benefits from an extra-state black currency, but billionaires frackers are not as stigmatized in Texas as decadent entertainment personalities.)
O'Rourke's obstacles to winning Texas have prompted many experts to question whether Betomania Jack Schafer To put it simply, it is the product of a democratic aspiration of a handsome young man to win a red state. "Not since the press fell in love with Barack Obama during the 2008 presidential campaign, such a group of adorable candidates and commentators appeared in the national press, "he wrote, hinting that Mr. O. Rourke was" touted and congratulated by journalists for the simple reason that it was not Ted Cruz, the American politics. "
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