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The 2018 NFL season will be almost a quarter of the end of week 4, but there is still a lot of uncertainty regarding several teams at this stage of the new campaign. Long-time competitors such as the New England Patriots, Green Bay Packers and Pittsburgh Steelers are not even 500 after three weeks, while the Kansas City Chiefs and Miami Dolphins, two organizations that went unnoticed during of the off season. It's a crazy start to say the least and it has the potential to become even more crazy this weekend.
The action of week 4 begins with one of the best Thursday night football the entire season, an event that will feature the Minnesota Vikings – now 1-1-1 after a defeat as home favorite of the Buffalo Bills – facing the Los Angeles Rams 3-0 in a match that will take probably playoff ramifications in the NFC. Things resume Sunday with a series of major clashes, including a Patriots-Dolphins showdown that could surprisingly play a key role in East AFC's decision, as well as a prime-time clash between rivals from the North AFC in the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers. The week ends on Monday as Kansas City leaders and record quarterback Patrick Mahomes clashed against the Denver Broncos, who had just lost for the first time last weekend.
Potential NFL bettors should be wary of some interesting trends in Week 4, including the career rookie quarterback. It was confirmed Monday that Josh Rosen of the Arizona Cardinals would play his first start against the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday. It is interesting to note that first-year callers have only 13-28 points since 2003 during their debut, although they are much more respectable 21-20 against the spread in this period. Baker Mayfield will also get the title for the first time after stepping off the bench to lead the Cleveland Browns to a return win last Thursday, but there are some very worrying trends related to the No. 1 overall pick that make the scary Browns proposal for the backers in their next game against the Oakland Raiders.
You'll find more details on this below because this is a part of the breakdown related to the first week 4 betting selection thanks to the pro interpreter Jon Price from SportsInformationTraders.com. The Vegas expert has a point of view on the Raiders-Browns clash that you will not want to miss, because he thinks a team is the best on the board this week. Before reaching this prediction, as well as the other two that he provided, check out the complete schedule, start times, viewing information and updated odds for each match of week 4 of the 2018 season.
NFL Week 4 Program and TV ratings
Time (ET) | Matchup (TV) | odds | Total |
Thursday september sept | |||
8:15 p.m. | Minnesota Vikings to Los Angeles Rams (FOX) | LAR -7 | 49.5 |
Sunday sept. | |||
13h | Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons (CBS) | ATL -5.5 | 51 |
13h | Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Chicago Bears (FOX) | CHI -3 | 46.5 |
13h | Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys (FOX) | DAL -3 | 43.5 |
13h | Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers (CBS) | GB -10 | 45.5 |
13h | Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans (FOX) | PHI -4 | 41.5 |
13h | Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (CBS) | IND -1.5 | 47 |
13h | Miami Dolphins at the New England Patriots (CBS) | NE -6.5 | 47.5 |
13h | New York Jets in Jacksonville Jaguars (FOX) | JAX -7 | 38.5 |
4:05 p.m. | Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders (FOX) | OAK -2.5 | 44.5 |
4:05 p.m. | Seattle Seahawks at the Arizona Cardinals (FOX) | SEA -3 | 38.5 |
4:25 p.m. | New Orleans Saints to New York Giants (FOX) | N ° 3 | 50 |
4:25 p.m. | San Francisco 49ers to Los Angeles Chargers (CBS) | LAKE -10.5 | 46.5 |
8:20 p.m. | Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (NBC) | PIT -3 | 51 |
Monday sept. | |||
8:15 p.m. | Kansas City Chiefs in Denver Broncos (ESPN) | KC -5.5 | 56 |
NFL Odds courtesy of BetDSI Sportsbook
The week 4Top Pick
Oakland Raiders vs. Browns Cleveland
Sunday marks the first time in six years that the Cleveland Browns will play at the Oakland Coliseum, a place where the Raiders will be happy to come back after suffering consecutive defeats on the road. It's also the first confrontation between these organizations in the last three years, with Oakland right in Cleveland's 2015 clash. Much has changed since then for both franchises and even two weeks ago in the United States. Browns case. The dominant story of this match is that it will be the first time that Cleveland Baker Mayfield quarterback will start, a job he deserved after leading his team to his first win since 2016, after leaving the bench. the third week. who was eliminated against the New York Jets when he suffered a concussion.
Browns head coach Hue Jackson admitted that Mayfield was not supposed to start week 4 (via ESPN):
It's earlier than I thought it would happen, because I thought we would have played much better earlier in attack. We do not have it. There was a marked difference in the way we performed when [Mayfield] went in there. That's the nature of this case. That's how it works. It's a winning affair. The young man entered and he earned the right to be the starter.
The excitement around Mayfield is at its peak after the Heisman winner has energized the Browns offensive in front of a national television audience, but potential Cleveland sponsors should be cautious. There are a multitude of trends that all go against Mayfield in this match, given his quarterback status which was the first overall pick in the event at his first career start. Here are the most important ones, thanks to GetMoreSports.com:
- No. 1 Overall The QBs of their first career start are winless on both the right-hander and the gap (0-10) since 2003. It should go back to David Carr's debut in 2002 for Houston Texans. find the last time the first choice was won and covered on his first start.
- Of the 22 quarterbacks selected with the best overall pick in the NFL draft, only four won their first start. They did not achieve a better ATS, from 3 to 15 since 1985, the first year the statistics were released.
- The top picks did not perform well as starters in all of their rookie campaigns, posting an overall record of 72-155 for pedestrians and a slightly better score at 83-97-4 against the gap. . Andrew Luck was the only leading choice to lead his team to a record of victories in his rookie season in 2012.
- Jared Goff, the last quarter to finish first overall, was 0-7 at a time during his rookie campaign in 2016 and his last season.
RJ Bell tweeted a counterpoint trend that could scare Raiders fans this week:
Extreme NFL Starts (last 30 years)
0-3 SU start – Next match: 66-68-5 ATS (49.2%)
(if 0-3 and favorite: 11-22-1 ATS [Raiders this week])3-0 SU: 73-65-5 ATS (52.9%)
3-0 Against the start Spread – next match: 40-34-2 (54.1%)
Rams
KC
Miami
Browns0-3 ATS: 32-35-3 (47.8%)
SF
Texans– RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) September 25, 2018
As you can see, it was not pretty for the callers who left the NFL Draft entry table. These statistics should not surprise anyone, as it makes sense for a first-year QB to have trouble playing for a team that has not made enough progress the previous season to finish in last place in the league standings. Cleveland seems to be in a much better position to succeed this year than some other teams that have selected the quarterbacks with the top pick, but still seems a bit far from doing anything resembling a playoff spurt. The Raiders also have plenty of time and ink to prepare Mayfield, a luxury the Jets did not get when they played against Taylor.
Vic Tafur believes that the Raiders must rush past the beatable offensive line of Browns:
The key to the game, in my opinion, will be to put pressure on Mayfield. #Browns tackles are not good. But #Raiders are the last in NFL in the bags (3). Browns allowed 14, third more
– Vic Tafur (@VicTafur) September 25, 2018
The Browns are an area in which the Browns could make the most of the Raiders, because these teams are exactly at the back of the spectrum compared to them. Cleveland leads the league in a nine-point differential, racking up five interceptions and six fumbles for an 11-point gain, three more than the nearest team, while making only two interceptions via Tyrod Taylor's interceptions. It will be interesting to see if Mayfield can continue to exercise caution or if the confident young signalman will make more mistakes than his predecessor. Oakland, by contrast, is at the bottom of the NFL thanks to a differential of minus four. The club has forced only one interception and zero fumble this year, while caller Derek Carr has had difficulty with his accuracy and has already been selected five times.
Raiders head coach Jon Gruden discussed Carr's problems early in the season, including a critical draw with three minutes to go when the team had a chance to take the lead against the Dolphins at the start of the season. the third week (via ESPN):
I think sometimes he tries too hard. But we will talk a lot here in the next few hours. But I thought that he was playing really well in some very difficult circumstances. I think sometimes he needs to learn a little more patience and I think that he will do it. But I'm really excited about how he played, improved and mastered this offense. We are getting closer. It was a painful roll. We will address that, and we will make the corrections.
Stephen Michaels think Oakland should trade everyone if the franchise can not beat the Browns during week 4:
Yes #Raiders can not beat Browns in Oakland … so this team should swap the entire team. Exchange them all. This is not even a coaching problem at this point, it's a simple execution. WR drops the EASY passes, the INT pitch in the end zone is not a coaching, it is on the player.
– Stephen Michaels (@TheRaidersDaily) September 24, 2018
As long as the Raiders can avoid a series of devastating turnarounds against the most opportunistic team in the league, they can win a home win this week. Oakland has held a half time lead over its three competitions this year and should be able to close one this time. There is not much success for a team that starts its first pick under center and this trend will continue on Sunday when the Raiders get their first "W" in 2018 and cover the gap.
Pick: Raiders -2.5
Premium Cappers Cup / Super Contest Rooms
Atlanta Falcons vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
Choice: Bengals +5.5
Los Angeles Chargers vs San Francisco 49ers
Pick: Chargers +10.5
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The 2018 NFL season will be almost a quarter of the end of week 4, but there is still a lot of uncertainty regarding several teams at this stage of the new campaign. Long-time competitors such as the New England Patriots, Green Bay Packers and Pittsburgh Steelers are not even 500 after three weeks, while the Kansas City Chiefs and Miami Dolphins, two organizations that went unnoticed during of the off season. It's a crazy start to say the least and it has the potential to become even more crazy this weekend.
The action of week 4 begins with one of the best Thursday night football the entire season, an event that will feature the Minnesota Vikings – now 1-1-1 after a defeat as home favorite of the Buffalo Bills – facing the Los Angeles Rams 3-0 in a match that will take probably playoff ramifications in the NFC. Things resume Sunday with a series of major clashes, including a Patriots-Dolphins showdown that could surprisingly play a key role in East AFC's decision, as well as a prime-time clash between rivals from the North AFC in the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers. The week ends on Monday as Kansas City leaders and record quarterback Patrick Mahomes clashed against the Denver Broncos, who had just lost for the first time last weekend.
Potential NFL bettors should be wary of some interesting trends in Week 4, including the career rookie quarterback. It was confirmed Monday that Josh Rosen of the Arizona Cardinals would play his first start against the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday. It is interesting to note that first-year callers have only 13-28 points since 2003 during their debut, although they are much more respectable 21-20 against the spread in this period. Baker Mayfield will also get the title for the first time after stepping off the bench to lead the Cleveland Browns to a return win last Thursday, but there are some very worrying trends related to the No. 1 overall pick that make the scary Browns proposal for the backers in their next game against the Oakland Raiders.
You'll find more details on this below because this is a part of the breakdown related to the first week 4 betting selection thanks to the pro interpreter Jon Price from SportsInformationTraders.com. The Vegas expert has a point of view on the Raiders-Browns clash that you will not want to miss, because he thinks a team is the best on the board this week. Before reaching this prediction, as well as the other two that he provided, check out the complete schedule, start times, viewing information and updated odds for each match of week 4 of the 2018 season.
NFL Week 4 Program and TV ratings
Time (ET) | Matchup (TV) | odds | Total |
Thursday september sept | |||
8:15 p.m. | Minnesota Vikings to Los Angeles Rams (FOX) | LAR -7 | 49.5 |
Sunday sept. | |||
13h | Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons (CBS) | ATL -5.5 | 51 |
13h | Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Chicago Bears (FOX) | CHI -3 | 46.5 |
13h | Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys (FOX) | DAL -3 | 43.5 |
13h | Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers (CBS) | GB -10 | 45.5 |
13h | Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans (FOX) | PHI -4 | 41.5 |
13h | Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (CBS) | IND -1.5 | 47 |
13h | Miami Dolphins at the New England Patriots (CBS) | NE -6.5 | 47.5 |
13h | New York Jets in Jacksonville Jaguars (FOX) | JAX -7 | 38.5 |
4:05 p.m. | Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders (FOX) | OAK -2.5 | 44.5 |
4:05 p.m. | Seattle Seahawks at the Arizona Cardinals (FOX) | SEA -3 | 38.5 |
4:25 p.m. | New Orleans Saints to New York Giants (FOX) | N ° 3 | 50 |
4:25 p.m. | San Francisco 49ers to Los Angeles Chargers (CBS) | LAKE -10.5 | 46.5 |
8:20 p.m. | Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (NBC) | PIT -3 | 51 |
Monday sept. | |||
8:15 p.m. | Kansas City Chiefs in Denver Broncos (ESPN) | KC -5.5 | 56 |
NFL Odds courtesy of BetDSI Sportsbook
The week 4Top Pick
Oakland Raiders vs. Browns Cleveland
Sunday marks the first time in six years that the Cleveland Browns will play at the Oakland Coliseum, a place where the Raiders will be happy to come back after suffering consecutive defeats on the road. It's also the first confrontation between these organizations in the last three years, with Oakland right in Cleveland's 2015 clash. Much has changed since then for both franchises and even two weeks ago in the United States. Browns case. The dominant story of this match is that it will be the first time that Cleveland Baker Mayfield quarterback will start, a job he deserved after leading his team to his first win since 2016, after leaving the bench. the third week. who was eliminated against the New York Jets when he suffered a concussion.
Browns head coach Hue Jackson admitted that Mayfield was not supposed to start week 4 (via ESPN):
It's earlier than I thought it would happen, because I thought we would have played much better earlier in attack. We do not have it. There was a marked difference in the way we performed when [Mayfield] went in there. That's the nature of this case. That's how it works. It's a winning affair. The young man entered and he earned the right to be the starter.
The excitement around Mayfield is at its peak after the Heisman winner has energized the Browns offensive in front of a national television audience, but potential Cleveland sponsors should be cautious. There are a multitude of trends that all go against Mayfield in this match, given his quarterback status which was the first overall pick in the event at his first career start. Here are the most important ones, thanks to GetMoreSports.com:
- No. 1 Overall The QBs of their first career start are winless on both the right-hander and the gap (0-10) since 2003. It should go back to David Carr's debut in 2002 for Houston Texans. find the last time the first choice was won and covered on his first start.
- Of the 22 quarterbacks selected with the best overall pick in the NFL draft, only four won their first start. They did not achieve a better ATS, from 3 to 15 since 1985, the first year the statistics were released.
- The top picks did not perform well as starters in all of their rookie campaigns, posting an overall record of 72-155 for pedestrians and a slightly better score at 83-97-4 against the gap. . Andrew Luck was the only leading choice to lead his team to a record of victories in his rookie season in 2012.
- Jared Goff, the last quarter to finish first overall, was 0-7 at a time during his rookie campaign in 2016 and his last season.
RJ Bell tweeted a counterpoint trend that could scare Raiders fans this week:
Extreme NFL Starts (last 30 years)
0-3 SU start – Next match: 66-68-5 ATS (49.2%)
(if 0-3 and favorite: 11-22-1 ATS [Raiders this week])3-0 SU: 73-65-5 ATS (52.9%)
3-0 Against the start Spread – next match: 40-34-2 (54.1%)
Rams
KC
Miami
Browns0-3 ATS: 32-35-3 (47.8%)
SF
Texans– RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) September 25, 2018
As you can see, it was not pretty for the callers who left the NFL Draft entry table. These statistics should not surprise anyone, as it makes sense for a first-year QB to have trouble playing for a team that has not made enough progress the previous season to finish in last place in the league standings. Cleveland seems to be in a much better position to succeed this year than some other teams that have selected the quarterbacks with the top pick, but still seems a bit far from doing anything resembling a playoff spurt. The Raiders also have plenty of time and ink to prepare Mayfield, a luxury the Jets did not get when they played against Taylor.
Vic Tafur believes that the Raiders must rush past the beatable offensive line of Browns:
The key to the game, in my opinion, will be to put pressure on Mayfield. #Browns tackles are not good. But #Raiders are the last in NFL in the bags (3). Browns allowed 14, third more
– Vic Tafur (@VicTafur) September 25, 2018
The Browns are an area in which the Browns could make the most of the Raiders, because these teams are exactly at the back of the spectrum compared to them. Cleveland leads the league in a nine-point differential, racking up five interceptions and six fumbles for an 11-point gain, three more than the nearest team, while making only two interceptions via Tyrod Taylor's interceptions. It will be interesting to see if Mayfield can continue to exercise caution or if the confident young signalman will make more mistakes than his predecessor. Oakland, by contrast, is at the bottom of the NFL thanks to a differential of minus four. The club has forced only one interception and zero fumble this year, while caller Derek Carr has had difficulty with his accuracy and has already been selected five times.
Raiders head coach Jon Gruden discussed Carr's problems early in the season, including a critical draw with three minutes to go when the team had a chance to take the lead against the Dolphins at the start of the season. the third week (via ESPN):
I think sometimes he tries too hard. But we will talk a lot here in the next few hours. But I thought that he was playing really well in some very difficult circumstances. I think sometimes he needs to learn a little more patience and I think that he will do it. But I'm really excited about how he played, improved and mastered this offense. We are getting closer. It was a painful roll. We will address that, and we will make the corrections.
Stephen Michaels think Oakland should trade everyone if the franchise can not beat the Browns during week 4:
Yes #Raiders can not beat Browns in Oakland … so this team should swap the entire team. Exchange them all. This is not even a coaching problem at this point, it's a simple execution. WR drops the EASY passes, the INT pitch in the end zone is not a coaching, it is on the player.
– Stephen Michaels (@TheRaidersDaily) September 24, 2018
As long as the Raiders can avoid a series of devastating turnarounds against the most opportunistic team in the league, they can win a home win this week. Oakland has held a half time lead over its three competitions this year and should be able to close one this time. There is not much success for a team that starts its first pick under center and this trend will continue on Sunday when the Raiders get their first "W" in 2018 and cover the gap.
Pick: Raiders -2.5
Premium Cappers Cup / Super Contest Rooms
Atlanta Falcons vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
Choice: Bengals +5.5
Los Angeles Chargers vs San Francisco 49ers
Pick: Chargers +10.5