[ad_1]
Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill stands out between Josh Hawley and 47 percent of 44 percent of potential Missouri voters, while Republican Dean Heller is four points behind Democratic challenger Jacky Rosen in Nevada (47 percent to 43 percent for Heller) ), which has broken for the Democrats in each of the last three presidential elections and has been a battleground of the Senate over the last ten years.
In both states, the political balance has moved away from the outgoing senator's party to be re-elected this year. Missouri is one of many states where Democratic Senators are on defense in dark red territory, a playground that could be an asset to the GOP, even though control of the House of Representatives is at stake. is widely regarded as the best opportunity for gathering Democratic Senators.
The rate of approval of President Donald Trump among potential voters is a mirror image in these two states, illustrating the political challenge that every senator faces. While 51 percent of Missouri voters are likely to approve of Trump's performance, 51 percent of Nevada voters are disapproved of how the president manages his work.
In Missouri, McCaskill and Hawley have distinctly positive favourability scores among those likely to vote, albeit only marginally: 49% favorable to 46% unfavorable for McCaskill and 43% favorable to 38% unfavorable to Hawley. About 19% of likely voters still have an opinion about Hawley. Among the wider group of registered voters, opinions on McCaskill are split almost equally: 46% are down to 45% favorable, while Hawley's numbers remain positive, 40% favorable to 34% unfavorable.
Heller is under water in favorability in Nevada, with 44% of registered voters considering it unfavorably, versus 40% favoring it. Rosen's numbers are positive, 39% favorable to 36% unfavorable, but about a quarter (26%) do not really know how they feel about him.
About one in five electors who chose a candidate in each state states that he / she could change their mind about the race in the Senate before polling day.
Women break for the Democrat by double-digit margins in both states (55% to 38% in Missouri, 52% to 38% in Nevada), while men are in favor of the Republican candidate in both (13 points in Missouri and 7 in Nevada).
Independents support the incumbent in both states, but McCaskill has more support than Heller. The Independents of Missouri are in favor of McCaskill, supporting 50% of her and 36% with Hawley. Another 8% supports one of the two third party candidates who will appear on the ballot in November, 6% of libertarian Japheth Campbell and 2% of Green Jo Crain. . Nevada independents opt for Heller (43% to 35%) while being more likely than Missouri voters to stay away from the two main parties and choose the libertarian candidate (10% in favor of Tim Hagan or the "none of these candidates" option from Nevada. includes on his ballot (11%).
Health care is key
Health care is at the top of the list of priorities for voters in both states: 31 percent of Missouri voters consider it the most important issue for voting and 26 percent declare it in Nevada. The economy ranks second in both states, with 21% choosing in Missouri and 23% in Nevada. Voters in Nevada are more likely to prioritize immigration than Missouri voters (17 percent in Nevada versus 12 percent in Missouri).
Las Vegas, Nevada, is one of the worst massacres in US history a year ago. 10% of voters say that firearms policy is the most important issue in deciding who to support in the Senate, in much the same way in other states where CNN has asked this question. Younger voters (21% of those under 35 see it as their main problem versus 10% or less of older voters) are more likely than others to call it their biggest problem.
Probable voters who consider health care to be their main stake for the Democrat in both states (McCaskill holds a 69% to 27% lead in this group, while Rosen is 74% to 16% ahead Nevada health sector). Voters more focused on the economy or immigration are more likely to return to the Republican in both competitions.
In the Nevada Governors' Contest, Democrat Steve Sisolak beat Republican Adam Laxalt by 45% to 41%, of whom 5% said they supported Libertarian Jared Lord and 7% none of these candidates, an option included in the Nevada ballot.
Source link
