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Derrick Lewis will face the biggest opportunity of his career this Saturday (November 4, 2018), after less than a month of preparation, defying Daniel Cormier for the Light Heavyweight title of the Main Event à la carte. UFC 230. At middleweight, Chris Weidman faces "Jacare" Souza in a long-awaited clash of elite wrestlers and Jared Cannonier comes on short notice to face veteran long-time David Branch.
We have four sub-card fights with FOX Sports 1's preliminary games to preview and predict (check out the Fight Pass game here). So do not delay.
145 lbs: Jason Knight against. Jordan Rinaldi
Jason Knight (20-5) – the man known as "The Kid" or "Hick Diaz", depending on the formality of the situation, has won three post-fight bonuses in four straight wins for his Assert as a competitor. He has since lost three times in succession, succumbing to Ricardo Lamas' punches before suffering a decisive defeat against Gabriel Benitez and Makwan Amirkhani.
He submitted 13 professional opponents, 10 per type of throttling.
Jordan Rinaldi (13-6), who had a run of five consecutive victories, made his debut in the shortest time against the dangerous brawler Abel Trujillo, losing a fun decision. Álvaro Herrera introduced himself with Von Flue, but gave five months later to Gregor Gillespie.
This will be his first fight at Featherweight since 2015.
Honestly, I do not know if Knight's struggles are the result of this defeat against Lamas or if he has just been discovered. He still has this killer submission game and that sneaky typing power, but he's just missing something. He must finish Rinaldi if he wants to prove that he remains a force to be reckoned with.
On paper, at least, Knight seems to have all the cards in hand, boasting superior grip qualities and a powerful body attack to control things on the feet. As long as he is fighting for at least some of his considerable potential, he drops and quickly taps on Rinaldi.
Prediction: Knight via the first round bid
125 lbs: Sijara Eubanks against. Roxanne Modafferi
Sijara Eubanks (3-2) did not leave a low rating on The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 26 to prevent her from heading to the Finale in a dominant way. Unfortunately, a weight reduction cost him a chance to win the new title, which allowed him to make his debut against Lauren Murphy earlier this year.
"Sarj" is three inches shorter than Roxanne Modafferi (22-14) at 5'4. "
Modafferi's experience and the strong performance of her Invicta FC earned her first place in the TUF 26 standings, where she reached the semi-finals before falling to the Eubanks. She replaced Eubanks against Nicco Montano in the final. Despite her defeat, she won her first UFC victory by stopping Barb Honchak seven months later.
"The Happy Warrior" finished five opponents by submission and four others with shots.
I'm not quite sure what the UFC was planning to do with this revenge. There is no reason to think that it will be different from the last time. Eubanks is bigger and stronger than Modafferi in addition to having more power in his strikes and a superior Brazilian jiu-jitsu pedigree. Modafferi needs to be able to establish a leading position and get an effective passing game, which she can not do here.
Eubanks is still worried about losing weight, but if she enters the cage in a place that does not look much like a fighting form, she should dominate the fighting. The durability of Modafferi saves him from being on the other end of the line, but the power and prolonged control of the top allows Eubank to win another victory.
Prediction: Eubanks via unanimous decision
145 lbs: Julio Arce against. Sheymon Moraes
Brian Kelleher's consecutive defeats slowed Julio Arce's 15-2 comeback, but four more wins earned him a place in the Tuesday Night Contender Series, where he dominated Lloyd Irvin, Peter's product. Petties, to land a contract. His career in the octagon has allowed him to dominate Dan Ige and submit Daniel Teymur since the beginning of the year.
Five of his eight professional stops were won in the form of a stranglehold.
Sheymon Moraes (10-2) plunged into the heart of the UFC against the best hopeful Zabit Magomedsharipov during his promotional debut and escaped against a third round anaconda stranglehold. He had more success against another young player of quality, Matt Sayles, to whom the Brazilian took two turns at the UFC 227.
He will be one inch tall and two inches tall on Arce.
We have a pretty interesting match here! Moraes seems to be the best striker because he will be against anyone at 145 pounds willing to trade with him, but Arce's fight game has the potential to be very effective. This fight will be decided according to the ability of Arce to mix his strikes and his knockouts.
Moraes has exceeded my expectations of Sayles, which could explain why my instinct tells me to take it. I say that he cashed the first two rounds with precise punches and ended up making a contentious decision.
Prediction: Moraes by shared decision
170 lbs: Lyman Bon against. Ben Saunders
Lyman Good (19-4) – the first welterweight champion of Bellator MMA – kicked off a stellar start at UFC with a knockout knockout by Andrew Craig, then failed a drug test before a scheduled fight with Belal Muhammad. He returned after two years of absence to face Elizeu Zaleski in July 2017, losing a split decision but leaving with "Fight of the Night".
"Cyborg" will yield two inches in height and three inches of reach to Ben Saunders (22-10-2).
"Killa B" crushed two days of fighting by crushing Jake Ellenberger with a knee to the body, earning her the title "Performance of the Night". He could not do as much to Sergio Moraes, who showed the difference between the levels of jiu-jitsu by giving Saunders his first defeat in submission.
He replaces Sultan Aliyev with two weeks' notice.
Although Good does not always make the most of his considerable physical gifts, he is strongly favored here and for good reason. "Cyborg" has never been stopped, under the weight of big hitters like Andrey Koreshkov and Elizeu Zalaeski, and Saunders no longer has the durability to survive 15 minutes against powerful hitters. Unless this layoff has seriously hindered Good, even a considerable advantage in terms of reach is not enough to prevent Saunders from eating a thicker leather than he can bear.
Saunders can still score a goal out of nowhere, but the most likely result sees him succumb to Good's power, late in the first, or early in the second.
Prediction: good via the round of 16 in the first round
The main event of UFC 230 will be something special, although I can not predict how exactly it will fill that adjective. See you on Saturday, Maniacs.
Do not forget that MMAmania.com will provide, turn-based, full coverage of the entire UFC 230 fight card, starting with the Fight Pass online matches "Prelims", which must begin at 6:15 pm AND, the remaining balance of the sub-card on FOX Sports 1 to 20 hours. HE, before the start time of the main PPV card at 22 o'clock. AND.
Current record of "preliminary" prediction of the UFC for 2018: 146-70
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