Democrats have a narrow lead in the best competitions in Florida



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Democrats are ahead in competitive Senate and governor competitions in Florida, according to a new NBC News / Marist poll of this key battleground, although their tracks are in the margin of error.

Democratic nominee Bill Nelson receives support from 48 percent of potential voters, while Republican ruler Rick Scott receives 45 percent of the vote. Six percent say that they are undecided.

Among the largest number of registered voters, Nelson leads with 5 points, or 48% to 43%, which is essentially the same as his four point lead in the June NBC / Marist poll.

And in the race for governorship – we can say that the first national contest for the governor – the democrat Andrew Gillum – ahead Republican Ron DeSantis by 5 points, 48% to 43%.

Among registered voters, Gillum's advantage is 8 points, or 49% to 41%.

"The political environment in Florida, on the whole, is good for the Democrats," said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, who conducted the survey for NBC News.

As part of the Senate challenge to likely voters, Nelson leads African-Americans (78% to 15%), young voters aged 18 to 29 (65% to 30%), Latinos (57% to 37%) and women (53% to 40%).

Scott, meanwhile, is ahead with whites (52% to 40%), men (50% to 42%) and likely voters aged 45 and over (48% to 45%).

In the governorship race, Gillum is alongside African Americans (86% to 9%), 18-29 year olds (61% to 30%), women (54% to 37%) and Latinos ( 52% to 38%). and the self-employed (51% to 38%).

DeSantis holds the advantage with whites (51% to 41%), men (50% to 42%) and 45 years and over (47% to 45%).

Nelson and Gillum also enjoy higher favorable ratings than their GOP opponents.

Forty-four percent of potential voters favor Nelson, compared to 36% of negative voters (+8). This is compared to Scott's rating (46 to 45%) (+1).

And for Gillum, 46% of potential voters gave him a boost, against 27% who gave him a boost (+19). In contrast, the fav / unfav rating of DeSantis is 42% to 37% (+5).

Trump's approval in Florida dates back to the mid-1940s

The NBC / Marist poll also reveals that 46% of likely voters in Florida approve President Donald Trump's professional performance, while 48% disapprove.

Of registered voters, 44% approve, 48% disapprove – essentially unchanged from June, while 45% of members approved, 46% disapprove.

In addition, the poll shows that Democrats are leading three-point Republicans in congressional preference: Forty-eight percent of likely voters say they prefer a Democrat-controlled convention, while 45 percent want Republicans.

Among registered voters, the advantage of Democrats reached 6 points, or 49% to 43%, against 3 points in June.

And by a margin of 52% to 40%, likely voters in Florida say their vote in November will be a message for more Democrats to check and balance Trump, rather than other Republicans who will help Trump pass his agenda .

The main issues of the state: health care and the economy

Finally, according to the survey, the main problems in Florida are health and the economy.

Twenty-four percent of potential voters view health care as the number one who will decide their vote for Congress in November – followed by the economy and employment (23%), immigration (17%) and weapons (10%).

Among the Democrats, the main problems are health care (35% of Democrats say so) and firearms (17%), while the main Republican voters are the economy (29%) and immigration (22%). %).

The Florida NBC / Marist poll was conducted from September 16 to 20 on 829 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points. And the margin of error for the 600 likely voters is plus-minus 4.7 percentage points.

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