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In all of these ways, California Republicans serving in the Clinton-won districts voted more like they represented Alabama rather than rotating seats in a state that was becoming more and more democratic. (Walters even told an interviewer that she thought Trump would win her rich and diverse coastal district today and would welcome her participation in the campaign.)
These choices have clearly caught up with them during this month's sweep when the Democrats captured six of the Republican-held Clinton districts and remained within range on the seventh day, held by Valadao.
At present, most Californian Republicans are unlikely to win much, if any, of these seats, as long as Trump's signature on the party repels both minority voters and white suburbs educated at the university, major constituencies expanding throughout the state. They have been reduced to a handful of inner districts, almost entirely isolated from the metropolitan areas of racial diversity and economic dynamics of the state.
"The national party has become a cultural brand that is anathema to the growing demographics here," said Rob Stutzman, GOP consultant, former director of communication at Schwarzenegger.
While Republicans were so marginalized in the state, the Democrats reinstated majorities in both legislative chambers and baffled the GOP in every country, but simply raising enough money to defend their arguments may become increasingly difficult for Republicans, says Stutzman.
California may be an extreme case of the political risks the GOP faces in a changing country, while Trump centers more and more on the party's message and agenda on the priorities and cultural preferences of older whites. , blue-collar, rural and evangelical.
But Cain, Stanford's political scientist, notes that California is not unique, especially in the west. Arizona, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico and even Utah and Texas are being reorganized by forces similar to those that dyed California so deeply in blue .
Read: there is something going on in Texas
"There is currently a transformation in the West that is very similar to what California has gone through," says Cain. In one direction, he says, the region is being transformed by the "white-collar movement of high technology and related industries into urban areas. In California, it was Los Angeles, it was Silicon Valley.
The same thing is happening right now in Austin, Salt Lake City, Albuquerque, Santa Fe and all these places. "
On the other hand, he notes, these states, like California, are also reconfigured by immigration and increasing racial diversity,
especially among younger generations.
Cain and many other analysts rightly note that when the California GOP contracted, it generally positioned itself more openly against these growing populations, both by maintaining a resolutely conservative agenda on social issues and by accepting Trump's open hostility to immigration (including his call for democracy). strong cuts in legal immigration and promise to build a border wall).
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