Democrats slide in the battle for the Senate

The battle for control of the Senate announces worse and worse for the Democrats, who, just a month ago, were on the way to the majority but were now more and more likely to lose more seats and to form a smaller minority next year.

Republicans have seen a wave in polls in several key races since Labor Day. They believe their party has gained momentum since the fight over the Supreme Court judge Brett KavanaughBrett Michael KavanaughPoll: Palin, unpopular in Alaska, following an attack on Chris Wallace of Murkowski Fox News: "A foreword," Dems said behind a caravan of migrants arrested in New York for threatening to kill senators who supported Kavanaugh PLUS polarized the electorate, hurting Democrats in the race for reelection in the states were President TrumpDonald John TrumpCorker: The United States Should Determine The Responsibility Of The Death Of A Saudi Journalist Five Conclusions To Be Withheld From The Heller-Rosen Hollywood Debate In Nevada A Senator Calls For US Action After An Explanation "absurd" in Arabia is popular.

Two states where the Democrats hoped to cause major upheavals – Texas and Tennessee – sided with the Republicans. The races in Nevada and Arizona, two other states where the Democrats had hoped to make gains, remain tight, but Republicans have more confidence in their candidates.

At the same time, the wave has shifted against the Democratic candidates in a few states that Trump had won double digits in 2016.

In North Dakota, Democratic Sen. Heidi HeitkampMary (Heidi) Kathryn HeitkampHealth Care at Night – Presented by Purdue Pharma – Senate Debates Highlight Struggle for Pre-Existing Conditions | Support Increases for Medicaid Expansion Measure in Utah | Arkansas Health Official Defends Labor Demands Election Counting: Small Donor Donations Explode | Russian woman accused of meddling mid-term | Remember the Senate debate in North Dakota | O & # 39; Rourke gives the "no definitive" to 2020 | Democrats hope Latino voters will turn blue in Arizona The Hill's 12:30 Report – Trump picks up the "caravan" of immigrants for the holidays in the mid course | WHCA criticizes Trump for praising lawmaker who assaulted journalist | Trump takes the hard line on the Saudis MORE has been delayed by two digits. And in Montana, Sen. Jon TesterJonathan (Jon) TesterOvernight Energy: Patagonia Outdoor Equipment Retailer Receives First Senate Visa | EPA removes the rule of concentration of Obama's uranium | A NASA official sees "no reason" to reject the UN climate report released by Trump: "I finally heard from a woman," Trump said, "I t & # Love "- Patagonia makes its first registration in the elections with two Western Democrats MORE (D), who looked set to win a month ago, saw his race tightened against the president's attacks.

There is good news for the Democrats in the polls.

Sen. Joe ManchinJoseph (Joe) Manchin Five conclusions of the controversial debate between Heller and Rosen in Nevada. Blankenship approves of the ex-WW.Va. His rival, Senator GOP, calls him a "liar". Conservative drug lobbyist funded and dominated Kavanaugh MORE's confirmation media campaign (D-W.Va.), The only Democrat to support Kavanaugh's confirmation, maintained a nice 9-point lead in the polls, despite a situation in which Trump won by a whopping 42 points in 2016.

And Sen. Joe DonnellyJoseph (Joe) Simon DonnellyThe Conservatives funded and dominated the confirmation media campaign Kavanaugh Donnelly Spoofs 'Veep'. in a new advertising campaign Countdown to the elections: the Florida Senate battle resumes after the hurricane | Cruz softens attacks ObamaCare | GOP worries that Trump will lose suburbs | Recent polls in the Senate | Rep. Dave Brat gets "total support" from Trump | Candidates for resignation broke a record (D-Ind.), Long considered vulnerable, retains on average 3 points ahead of his vote, despite the vote against Kavanaugh.

But Republicans have other chances to increase their majority from 51 to 49 years.

Democratic Senator Claire McCaskillClaire Conner McCaskill – Night Health Care – Presented by Purdue Pharma – Senate Debates Highlight Struggle for Pre-Existing Conditions | Support Increases for Medicaid Expansion Measure in Utah | Arkansas health official defends working conditions for McCaskill campaign: 'trainee' who filmed the campaign had access to voter data McConnell defends Trump's lawsuit against ObamaCare PLUSThe reelection race against Republican Josh Hawley remains a tense thread, while Sen. Bill NelsonClarence (Bill) William Nelson Countdown to the Elections: Donations from Small Donors Explode | Russian woman accused of meddling mid-term | Remember the Senate debate in North Dakota | O & # 39; Rourke gives the "no definitive" to 2020 | Dems hopes Latin American voters turn blue in Arizona Countdown to elections: fight for Florida Senate resumes after hurricane | Cruz softens attacks ObamaCare | GOP worries that Trump will lose suburbs | Recent polls in the Senate | Rep. Dave Brat gets "total support" from Trump | Candidates for resignation set a record B Florida extends early voting in counties affected by Hurricane PLUS (D-Fla.) Drew a tough challenger in Gov. Rick Scott (D).

In New Jersey, Sen. Bob MenendezRobert (Bob) MenendezTrump reduces the goal of refugees to 30,000, he must respect it. Blame the Senate, not the FBI, for the parody of Kavanaugh Dems urges tech companies to remove 3D shots of firearms. (D) is ahead in the polls, but Republicans still think they have a chance to get angry.

Democrats argue that they have an advantage over health care, the main concern of voters.

They are trying to capitalize on recent comments from the Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellMeghan McCain considers Russian attacks on his father as the "supreme compliment" for his family Schumer: the fight for the Senate is "neck and neck" Nikki Haley powerfully refutes Trump MORE (R-Ky.), Who blamed social security and Medicare for the country's deficit problems, and said Republicans could once again try to scrap ObamaCare next year.

"Last week, FOX News, CBS and Washington-Post-ABC polls all confirmed that the main issue in this election is health care. Then Mitch McConnell reminded voters he wanted to remove coverage for pre-existing conditions and target health insurance and social security, "said David Bergstein, spokesman for the Democratic Senators Campaign Committee.

"This is not what Republicans want to talk about and we appreciate his help in reminding voters exactly what's on the ballot," he added.

Despite the attention given by Democrats to health care, their main goal of the GOP, Nevada Sen. Dean HellerDean Arthur Heller Five debates on the controversial debate between Heller and Rosen in Nevada Heller complains of the debate in the Senate on the media: "You see how they treat Kanye West." Countdown to the elections: the donations of small donors explode | Russian woman accused of meddling mid-term | Remember the Senate debate in North Dakota | O & # 39; Rourke gives the "no definitive" to 2020 | Democrats hope Latino voters will turn blue in Arizona PLUS, remained stable in the polls despite its vote in favor of ObamaCare's repeal. FiveThirtyEight.com gives him a 56% chance of being reelected.

Sen. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward Cruz Countdown to the elections: donations from small donors explode | Russian woman accused of meddling mid-term | Remember the Senate debate in North Dakota | O & # 39; Rourke gives the "no definitive" to 2020 | Political voters hope Latino voters adopt Arizona's blue ballot: "The problem is fundamental" for Texas Dems, according to political analysts, the Houston Chronicle supports Beto O. Rourke in the race for Senate of Texas PLUS (D), who strengthened his lead over Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas), said the Kavanaugh debate helped him and other GOP candidates.

"Absolutely," said Cruz. "I think the democrats' behavior at the Kavanaugh hearing was appalling and I think a lot of Texans were deeply disturbed by the partisan games and the political circus where they were willing to mess with the judge. Kavanaugh and his family to score political points. "

The race between Cruz and O'Rourke was the tightest in early September when Cruz was only three points ahead of the average Real Clear Politics poll. But as the battle around Kavanaugh intensified, he saw his lead grow to five and now to seven points, according to an average of polls compiled by RealClearPolitics.com.

In Tennessee, Real Clear Politics trend lines of Democratic candidate Phil Bredesen and the Republican Representative. Marsha BlackburnMarsha BlackburnKaty Perry congratulates Taylor Swift for diving into politics. Celebrities are not manufacturers, but they can be decisive. Countdown to the elections: the fight for the Florida Senate resumes after the hurricane | Cruz softens attacks ObamaCare | GOP worries that Trump will lose suburbs | Recent polls in the Senate | Rep. Dave Brat gets "total support" from Trump | Candidates for resignation broke a record (Tenn.) Passed through at the end of September, as the vicious struggle of the Supreme Court caught the attention of the people.

Blackburn now has a six-and-a-half point lead over the average Real Clear Politics polls, a substantial improvement over most of the late spring and summer, as she followed close behind. five points on average.

"You can probably thank Brett Kavanaugh for that. Everyone I talked to was in the bubble or maybe even for Bredesen – and I'm talking about Republicans – I have not talked to one of them since Kavanaugh which does not say that I will vote for Marsha, "said Chip Saltsman, a Tennessee-based GOP strategist.

Bredesen attempted to mitigate the impact of the Kavanaugh debate earlier this month by announcing his support for the candidate, resulting in the departure of some of his volunteers.

The Democrats did not cancel the contest at all.

A Democratic Senate strategist based in Washington argued that recent polls show that Bredesen is at a stalemate with Blackburn. A survey of Vanderbilt University, released Thursday, showed him a lead of 44% to 43%. And a poll released Wednesday by Reuters indicates that Blackburn is ahead of only 3 points, within the margin of error of the poll. But a survey by the New York Times and Siena College at about the same time gave Blackburn a 14-point lead.

The McCaskill-Howley race is tight, but Republicans also believe that the Kavanaugh's fight helped them in this state.

Trend lines from the Real Clear Politics polls crossed, with McCaskill staying ahead until mid-August, but slightly off the recent poll average. A survey done last month by CNN showed it ahead of three points and a FOX News survey showed it even with Hawley.

In Montana, a June Gravis poll revealed to Test an eight-point lead, while another Gravis poll conducted in late September showed that he had fallen to four points.

Montana is also a priority target of President Trump, who made his third trip to that state Thursday to hold a rally for Tester's opponent, Matt Rosendale.

Rosendale attempted to take advantage of the voters' anger at Kavanaugh by making comparisons with how he was treated by Democrats in the Senate Judiciary Committee and how Tester dealt with the choice of Trump at the head of the Veterans Affairs Department, Ronny Jackson, who retired after Tester led the opposition to him.

In North Dakota, Heitkamp has seen its number of polls decrease since Labor Day.

A Fox News poll in early September revealed that his Republican remained on the run. Kevin CramerKevin John CramerOvernight Health Care – Presented by Purdue Pharma – Senate Debates Highlight Struggle for Pre-Existing Conditions | Support Increases for Medicaid Expansion Measure in Utah | Arkansas Health Official Defends Labor Demands Election Counting: Small Donor Donations Explode | Russian woman accused of meddling mid-term | Remember the Senate debate in North Dakota | O & # 39; Rourke gives the "no definitive" to 2020 | Democrats hope Latino voters will turn blue in Arizona The Hill's 12:30 Report – Trump picks up the "caravan" of immigrants for the holidays in the mid course | WHCA criticizes Trump for praising lawmaker who assaulted journalist | Trump takes the hard line on the Saudis MORE (N.D.) by four points, but a NBC poll later in the month said Cramer was 10 points ahead and a subsequent Fox News poll released Oct. 3 gave Kramer a 12-point lead.

President of the Republican Senate Conference John ThuneJohn Randolph Thune Through a national commitment to youth sport, we can break the cycle of obesity. Florida's politics play a role in the disaster relief debate. GOP President: FEMA has enough money for Hurricane Michael MORE (D), who comes from neighboring South Dakota, says it feels good to overthrow Heitkamp, ​​even though he acknowledges that she is a good retail activist. .

"She's a good retail activist," he said, adding that the race was a defeat for Cramer because "it's sort of nationalized."

A Republican Senate strategist based in Washington said that Kavanaugh had polarized the electorate and that, therefore, moderate voters (GOP) and independent voters were less likely to overthrow and vote for incumbent Democrats.

"This has improved Republican prospects in all areas," said the strategist. "This has polarized voters in the red states and it's the worst thing for Democrats who rely on a handful of Republican voters crossing the aisle and supporting them to go beyond the limits.

In Arizona, Democratic Representative Kyrsten Sinema tried to stand out from the way his fellow Democrats treated Kavanaugh in the Senate.

"I was incredibly disappointed with the way the Senate behaved during this confirmation hearing. It was a circus, "she said during a debate on Monday. "I was disappointed with the method used by the Senate. It was as if that really denigrated the work that the Senate should do. "