Dems heads to election day with the assurance of the resumption of the House

The Democrats entered the final weekend before election day with a beating in the fight for the House – emboldened by two long-time Republicans in a strong Conservative territory struggling to preserve their seats.

President Donald Trump, who had scheduled Saturday rallies in the states of Montana and Florida, has amplified his anti-immigration speech in states where Republicans could win important competitions in the Senate and the governorship. Still, the message worries House Republicans looking to reduce losses in the suburbs, and even the president has recognized the growing likelihood that Democrats will win the room.

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"It could happen, could happen," Trump said at a rally Friday in West Virginia. "We are doing very well and we are doing very well in the Senate, but it could happen. And you know what you do? All my life, do you know what I'm saying? "Do not worry about that, I'll just find out."

The enlightening democratic perspectives were confirmed by the latest movements in the Red Districts of Alaska and Iowa, where representatives Don Young and Steve King, respectively, faced surprising headwinds in the last days of their campaign. The US Congressional Leadership Fund, a super PAC aligned with Republican leadership, has launched a last-minute initiative aimed at getting the vote out of favor for Young, the oldest member of the House, and Democrats are rushed to seize an opportunity in Iowa against King. Immigrant rhetoric has provoked contempt from both sides.

The frantic calendar of Trump's campaign stops was announced after early voting in many states. More than 31 million Americans have already voted, according to Michael McDonald's US electoral project at the University of Florida.

Turnout surpassed the advance vote in the mid-term elections of 2014 in more than 25 states, although the benefits are still uncertain. Rumors of high turnout from young voters in Texas and California and black voters in the Southeast could improve the prospects for Democrats on Tuesday as Republicans prepare to increase their numbers in rural and red areas of the country.

The Nevada Democrats were encouraged Friday night by a crowd of voters lining up in advance polling centers in Las Vegas, a densely populated city of Democrats, in a scene reminiscent of the 2016 presidential election. Addressing supporters in Nevada on Friday, Rep. Jacky Rosen, who wants to overthrow Republican Senator Dean Heller in a fierce race for competition, said, "I'm going to give you very good news: we've added 4 000 Democrat votes at our here in Clark County, I think pushing us toward the 38,000 "firewall. This Friday, this number has exceeded 40,000.

The Republic Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) Rallied his party on Saturday morning, praising his "gangbusters" performance at the early vote in a hotly contested Arizona Senate race – a must-win for Democrats hoping to limit hopes of Trump gain. The state's advance voting data indicate that the Democrats have reduced, although not eliminated, the considerable historical advantage of the Republicans.

Sinema has also returned to the bread and butter of his party while Trump addresses immigration: health care. She repeatedly reminded voters that her GOP opponent, Rep. Martha McSally, had supported a bill to repeal House Obamacare for removing protections for people with pre-existing conditions.

"I fought so hard" to preserve the popular elements of Obamacare, Sinema told supporters at a Phoenix community center, "but they run a risk," considering the government's repeated attempts to China to eliminate the law on health care.

But Democratic and Republican strategists entered Saturday in uncertainty about the implications of early voting.

"Is there going to be a blue wave? Yes. Is there going to be a red wave? Yes. What does it mean? I do not know, "said Mike Madrid, a long-time Republican consultant in California.

Nevertheless, Madrid has recognized the possibility that Democrats will surpass expectations on Tuesday – winning seats in the Senate or obtaining a larger majority than expected in the House – with dramatic consequences for the long-term health of the GOP.

If Democrats can enforce in Housewares held by Republicans and subordinates who turned to Hillary Clinton in 2016, he said: "This is going to be a really tectonic shift in American politics, as this means hemorrhage in the Republican base. … If they know what's at stake and they answer, "Well, give Nancy Pelosi [the speaker’s] hammer is a huge break in the coalition. "

Pelosi (D-Calif.) Has already declared victory, declaring this week on "The Late Show" with Stephen Colbert: "We will win." But many Democrats remain worried, partly because of flawed projections that left them stunned after Trump's election. in 2016.

Tom Steyer, billionaire environmentalist and mega-democrat Democrat, on Friday urged Democratic activists to "sift", while Andrew Feldman, Democratic strategist in Washington, said the Democrats "can not stop the gas. "

Just days before the elections, the two parties sought to stand out in the critical races by increasing the number of third-party candidates. In Indiana, the Democratic Party of the state aired Facebook ads aimed at conservative voters, attacking Republican Senate candidate Mike Braun for his recorded democrat record and calling the libertarian candidate the "real conservative." anti-tax ". The party's candidate, Angela Green, to Senator Bernie Sanders, described the two as "too extreme" for Arizona in the hope of pushing some Liberal voters to her place rather than to Sinema. (Green abandoned the race on Tuesday and approved Sinema.)

Trump broke Sinema's immigration record in a tweet on Saturday, endorsing McSally, shortly after the two candidates rallied to their fans in the Arizona State University home game. Trump claimed that Sinema "does not even care about" border security, in order to defeat his appeal by resuming a case that brings it closer to the center.

Republicans received a Friday election watch gift with the release of a report showing 250,000 jobs created in October. But Trump, ignoring the Republicans' call to focus on the economy in his mid-term message, said at a rally on Friday that "sometimes it's not so exciting to talk about the economy …" because we have a lot of topics to discuss. "

Instead, in an attempt to convince grassroots voters, Trump has maintained his final argument focused on immigration, warning Friday that "illegal aliens are trying to flood our country with your country. dollar".

The Trump administration this week approved the dispatch of more than 5,000 US troops to the US-Mexico border to arrest a caravan of Central American asylum seekers heading for the United States. And Trump said he wants to eliminate citizenship, which most jurists consider impossible without a constitutional amendment, but Trump says it is possible with an executive order.

At a Saturday rally in Montana's Republican Senate candidate, Matt Rosendale, Trump touted the recent economic news while attacking Democratic Senator Jon Tester for his opposition to the confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

"This election will decide whether we are relying on the extraordinary prosperity we have obtained or whether we allow radical Democrats to take control of Congress and give a huge kick to our economy and the future of our country. country, "said Trump, before pivoting to immigration later in the onset.

The Democrats' long-standing chance of conquering the Senate has been reflected in New Jersey, where incumbent Democratic Senator Robert Menendez is engaged in a tighter-than-expected race with Republican Bob Hugin.

In a brief speech to a hundred Republicans in front of the Burlington County GOP headquarters in Mount Holly, Hugin assailed Menendez for the outgoing president's bribery lawsuit last year – which resulted in a No lawsuit – but never mentioned Trump, unpopular in the state.

Menendez "must leave," said Hugin, who lent $ 36 million to his campaign and called the race "dead heat". "It's time he leaves."

The Democrats, while talking about Trump on immigration, are heavily focused on health care – and especially on the Republicans' efforts to cancel Obamacare and hence the provisions of the law protecting people with pre-existing diseases.

Senator Kamala Harris, a California Democrat who is likely to run for the board of directors in 2020, said: "As far as I'm concerned, whoever wants to vote to get rid of our health care should be elected and later In the day in Georgia, where Democrat Stacey Abrams and Republican Brian Kemp are engaged in a close race to the governor, former President Barack Obama takes it to the Republic.

"Not only will they not recognize what they did," Obama said. "Suddenly, they say that they are the ones who protect people with pre-existing illnesses, I want everyone to pay attention to that.They literally did the opposite.It's like calling blacks, White people, it takes a bit of a headache. "

At the same time, Saturday in Kentucky's 6th electoral district, one of the tightest and most watched in the country, Democrat Amy McGrath has launched a series of mini-rallies gathering solicitors. Sending 20 volunteers to a small field office in Georgetown, McGrath, a retired fighter pilot, spoke about his services in their own context.

"You are here serving the country," she said. "By hitting 30, 40 or 50 gates, you serve the country – and I would say you are saving the country."

Some 20 miles to the south, in Lexington, the Republicans did their own work. At the local headquarters of the Congressional Leadership Fund, the powerful outside group aligning with the House's GOP leadership, waves of knockers were sent to coverage areas in the 6th district. Meanwhile, a team of 10 volunteers – high school students and students – worked on the phone, dialing voters and asking if they were voting for McGrath or Republican President Andy Barr.

In congressional polls, the Democrats 'advantage has remained relatively stable, at around 7.5%, according to RealClearPolitics' average.

But Paul Maslin, one of the major Democratic pollsters, said Trump's inability to "sell the economy", combined with his anti-immigration statements and his reaction to the postal panic and at the Pittsburgh Synagogue "seems to have at least some points in our direction."

"Is it possible that Elector Trump, still so enthusiastic, always comes to counterbalance the extremely negative anti-Trump voter?" Yes, it's possible, "said Maslin. But it is more likely that he never recovered from the damage he suffered. "

"You can have a swing of 2 or 3%," said Maslin. "And if that happens at the end in enough places, among the independents, women and suburban voters who are content to say," Enough, that's enough "… If that happens in in many places it could be a very good political night. "

Still, Maslin said: "I still think we are in a mess on November 7th," with a fractured political climate that "will not be prettier".

"We may have a very good night next Tuesday, so what?" He said. "That does not answer any real questions other than Trump's, which has failed dramatically in his first two years, and we'll see what he's doing as a result."

Siders from Nevada and California, Schor from Arizona, Shepard from New Jersey, Alberta from Kentucky, Strauss from Georgia, Marinucci from California and Washington Arkin, D.C.