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The Brewers triumphed the Dodgers in the sixth game of the NLCS by a score of 7-2 (Watch the highlights at CBS Sports' head office), and that means the two teams will meet at Miller Park on Saturday night for Game 7. That means this match will determine who will win the 2018 pennant and take on the Red Sox in the world series. To set the stage, let's look at some things to know about this decisive win-win win in Milwaukee.
NLCS Game 7 will air on FS1, which can be streamed on fuboTV (Free Trial). To view the full program, click here.
The Brewers are pretty well installed in the bullpen
This mainly means that Josh Hader is installed in the office. Thanks to the relatively comfortable victory margin in the sixth game, the Milwaukee coach Craig Counsell has never been forced to use his ace of relief. This means that Hader will play in the seventh match on Saturday without having played the match since Tuesday. It will be three days of rest. Counsell has already explained how better Hader is when he is resting. During his brief career, Hader made 17 appearances in rest for three days. In these matches, he allowed an opponent to count only 377 (!).
Expect Counsell to use it aggressively and for several innings. Hader participated in three shutouts in the first game against the Dodgers and four times in the 2017 and 2018 regular seasons he played three innings in a game. Maybe Counsell will try more than nine outs in the seventh game? This is in the range of possibilities. Talking about that …
Elsewhere, Jeremy Jeffress has only thrown 13 shots in the sixth game. So he is probably available for the seventh game. Corey Knebel worked 1 inning and 2/3 and launched 25 shots. Only once in the regular season did he take a break after participating in more than one round of the day before, after 17 shots.
But the Dodgers too
Recently, Dave Roberts's replacements have moved closer to Kenley Jansen (of course) and right-handers Pedro Baez and Ryan Madson. He did not use any in the sixth match, and the sixth of course followed a day of travel. They are rested and ready. It should also be mentioned that Clayton Kershaw will have two days off since the start of his fifth game. He has a long history of short play appearances in the playoffs, so it could be a relief option for Roberts. Do not forget his excellent backup work during the seventh game of the World Series last year, which also lasted two days of rest.
Jhoulys Chacin did not allow a heat in this playoff series
The right-handed veteran is aiming Milwaukee in the seventh game. He started against the Rockies in the second game of the NHLL and shot five times without scoring with three strikeouts and as many goals. Against the Dodgers in Game 3, he worked 5-1 / 3 without scoring and was better from a command and control point of view (six strikeouts against two goals scored). To return to the regular season, Chacin has not awarded more than one point since September 21st. Given the situation described above, Counsell may be looking for Chacin to qualify twice.
Walker Buehler struggled in the playoffs
Rookie Buehler, who started with Dave Roberts and the Dodgers in Game 7, was excellent during the regular season. In the playoffs, however, there were no results as well. In two starts – including the third game – he clocked a time of 6.75 with two home runs in 12 innings. These are short-term things, though. Buehler has an excellent repertoire and a larger pitching sample at a high level. To bet on these difficulties to pass to the seventh match is not wise.
Both teams can handle right-handed
Chacin and Buehler are two right handed. The following figures are to be noted:
- The Dodgers this season led the NL with a .796 OPS against right handed pitchers.
- The Brewers ranked third in Newfoundland with a .749 attack on right-handed pitchers.
The Dodger Stadium is more of a pitcher's park than Miller's Park, so you can adjust these numbers a bit more.
The Dodgers hold the bar in the season series
Add the results of the NLCS to date in the mix, and the Dodgers are 7-6 against the Brewers this season, and in those 13 games in playoffs and playoffs, they beat Milwaukee 66-48. However, much of this margin was earned at a meeting that the Dodgers won 21-5 and that Hernan Perez launched on Aug. 2 (he conceded five points). Then calibrate accordingly.
So, who wins each playoff match? And which teams are a must-back? Now head over to SportsLine for MLB playoff selections from the proven model that simulates every game 10,000 times, and find out.
The story favors the home team in the seventh match
In LCS Game 7, home teams are 11-5 (.688) of all time. This is good for Milwaukee. Expand this to Game 7, whether it's LCS or World Series, and the home team has a score of 29-23 (.558). Given that the local MLB team tends to win about 54% of the time, what happens in the seventh match roughly matches that.
The Brewers have been good at home
Including the playoffs, the Brewers in 2018 have gone 55-31 to Miller Park this season. On the other side, the Dodgers – again, counting for the post-season – are 49-37 years old in road games. Hey, the facts only.
Soon we will know more about the seventh game – who won it.
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