dollar: the dollar remains at its highest level in 10 weeks as global sentiment remains fragile



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TOKYO: The dollar rose slightly against a basket of its major rivals on Monday, a record 10 weeks after data showed that US economic growth was slowing less than expected and confidence in risk remained fragile.

The US currency has recently found support for safe-haven buying, as investors' demand for riskier assets has weakened following sharp declines in global equity markets as worries about the profits of Canadian stocks rose. geopolitical uncertainties and global growth.

"Developments in the US stock market are the main focus of the foreign exchange market," said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief currency strategist at Mizuho Securities.

On Monday, the dollar index, which measures the performance of the greenback versus a basket of six major currencies, rose 0.1% to 96.446. The index rose 1.4% this month.

On Friday, he climbed up to 96,860, his best level since August 15, after data showed that the US economy slowed less than expected in the third quarter. But he later turned and finished on a 0.3% drop that day.

Trade tensions between the United States and China, as well as the steady pace of Federal Reserve rate hikes, have boosted the dollar, which is a safe haven in times of turbulence and economic stress.

The strength of the US economy has also underpinned the dollar, although some weak corporate results have begun to cast doubt on growth prospects, particularly in the face of rising borrowing costs.

The euro plunged 1.1% to $ 1.1399 even as junior partners of German Chancellor Angela Merkel left her conservatives until next year to get more political results .

The common currency lost 1.8% this month due to concerns over Italy's free spending budget, which would violate EU budget rules. Markets have been volatile and Italian bond yields have skyrocketed since September, with the EU disapproving of Rome's budget plans.

Against the yen, the dollar remained stable at 111.90 yen.

The dollar weakened by 2.3% against the yen, which is also a safe haven in times of geopolitical turbulence, after reaching its 11-month high at 114.55 yen on 4 October.

Yukio Ishizuki, currency strategist at Daiwa Securities, said some market players, such as macro-focused hedge funds, have started buying riskier emerging currencies that were ravaged earlier this year.

"When financial markets in the US and around the world are in decline, emerging market currencies are generally sold," Ishizuki said.

"The truth is that some of the currencies that have experienced strong sales, such as the Brazilian real and the Turkish lira, are being redeemed," he said.

The MSCI index of emerging market currencies edged up 0.2% on Monday to trade 1.2% above the lowest level recorded for more than a year on September 11th.

Right-wing legislator Jair Bolsonaro won the presidential election of Brazil on Sunday, promising to bring order into politics, reduce the state and crack down on crime, by diverting from the left into the world's fourth largest democracy.

At 4:00 GMT, the real had still not been traded. He had finished Friday's session at 3.66426 for a dollar.

Yamamoto, of Mizuho, ​​expects traders to take long positions in the Brazilian real, which have been widely resumed in the weeks leading up to Sunday's election.

"It looks like the markets are waiting for the pension reform and budget deficit reduction under the Bolsonaro administration to progress," Yamamoto said.

"I think development on this front will be very slow or will encounter difficulties."

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