Election 2018: Donald Trump wants to overturn convention

Two years after Trump's tumultuous presidency, Democrats are aiming for their best election results in six years. But given the uncertainty over the quality of the polls, questions about the composition of the electorate and Trump's talent for breaking political standards, no one can say for sure how the elections will unfold.

After giving up a message about the strength of the economy in favor of a virulent attack on democrats over immigration, Trump relies on his own perception of what voters want to hear is even more critical than the advice of Republican strategists. If Tuesday is a bad night for Republicans, his high bet will certainly be misunderstood, but Trump chooses to believe he's still right. After all, trusting his instinct and ignoring GOP elites and experts is what made him land at the White House.

"There is a large amount of electricity in the air, as we have not seen, in my opinion, since the elections of 2016. So, something is happening," he said. Trump told the press Monday, dismissing suggestions that the Democrats would have the wind in their sails.

"If we do not succeed as well tomorrow, they will put me on the ticket.If we succeed tomorrow, they will say that it has nothing to do with it, it was not about the ticket, "said Trump.

He appeared alongside Rush Limbaugh, the King of Conservative radio, at his last rally in Missouri, before returning to the White House shortly after Tuesday 2 pm. He also falsely accused Democrats of trying to get the vote of undocumented immigrants.

None of this was an accident.

"They want America to be a giant shrine city for drug dealers, predators and the bloodthirsty murderers of MS-13," Trump said at his first day's rally in Ohio, evoking the caravan of asylum seekers that he described as imminent. invasion, even if it remains hundreds of kilometers in Mexico.

The most serious test to date

Tuesday's elections, presented by both parties as the most important of the last two years, will be the most serious test of how Trump directed his tumultuous presidency and his refusal to moderate his behavior in order to broaden his base. support beyond mere loyalty. voters who adopted its populist nationalism in 2016.

The president's shameless style could help Republicans stay hooked in the Senate, as many practicing Democrats are about to be re-elected in red states where he has won big. But GOP strategists fear that the president's pyrotechnics, designed to excite the enthusiasm and participation of his most loyal fans, will turn against the suburban districts that hold the House's fate.

White House officials have warned Trump to expect losses in the House, sources told Kaitlan Collins of CNN. And the president's decision to anchor the campaign on inflammatory rhetoric about immigration rather than a booming economy has angered some GOP strategists.

"I think many of us would rather win without dehumanization or fear," said a Republican Senate official at the National Council, Jim Acosta.

Another GOP congressman warned that Trump's message on immigration could collapse in suburbs such as Virginia, Pennsylvania, Florida and California.

But there was a small sign that the president understood that his conduct could hurt him among some voters.

"I'd like to have a much softer tone, I think to a certain extent, I do not have a choice, but that's maybe the case," Trump said in an interview with Sinclair Broadcast Group, questioned about the fact that he regrets his presidency.

Mid-term democratic approach

Democrats, who largely avoided hiring Trump directly, preferring to focus on issues such as health care, are increasingly confident that they will be able to take power in the House and break the Republicans' monopoly of power in Washington.

But all predictions and predictions are clouded by doubt, given the unique characteristics of this election and lessons learned after Trump's shocking victory over Hillary Clinton two years ago.

Trump is such a peculiar politician and has so often broken the standards that no one is yet ready to conclude that he will fall prey to the traditional losses inflicted on a new president in his first mid-term election.

Persistent questions

"I'm a religious man but I'm not a prophet," Chris Stewart, R-Utah's representative on CNN's Wolf Blitzer, told The Situation Room on Monday. which would happen on Tuesday. "I think no one knows, so many of these breeds are in the margin of error."

Democrats, even though they are expecting their best night since the reelection of President Barack Obama six years ago, do not count chickens, given their gross memory of 2016.

"I was here on the verge of tears in 2016, and so, no, we do not trust the polls," said Bakari Sellers, CNN commentator and former legislator of the Democratic State of North Carolina. South on "The Lead with Jake Tapper".

In essence, the mid-term elections will determine whether voters want, after two tumultuous years, to control Trump's power, or whether they really want to give him more control by preserving the GOP's monopoly on Washington.