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<p class =" web-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm "type," text "content =" Security, Middle East "data-reactid =" 23 "> Security, Middle East
The Military High Command of Islamabad seems well positioned to benefit Recent
Pakistan Election Results: Custom-made for the Military
The Preliminary Official Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf (PTI), headed by former cricket star Imran Khan, has become the most big party with 115 seats, Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML). -N), the former ruling party, came in second with 64 seats, and the People's Party of Pakistan (PPP) of Benazir Bhutto, third with 43 seats, almost all of its traditional stronghold of Sindh . 22 seats unless a clear majority, is certain to form the government with the help of independent, who won 13 seats, and some smaller parties.
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = " However, the true winner of these elections is the military high command. To quote the economist: "This time, the soldiers have in mind their ideal result: a flexible leader and a minority government that will not be too powerful." Imran Khan was the favorite of the military in the race for retirement .. elections and reports suggest that the electoral process was manipulated by the military in order to achieve the desired result. "data-reactid =" 27 "> However, the real winner of these elections is the military high command. To quote the economist, "this time the soldiers have in sight their ideal: a flexible leader and a minority government that will not be too powerful." Imran Khan was the military favorite in the race for the elections and reports suggest that the electoral process was manipulated by the military in order to achieve the desired result
<p class = "canvas- atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm "type =" text "content =" Traditionally, the army of p brass played the role of maker The role played by the military in influencing the elections became apparent as several heavyweights among the opponents of the PTI, especially the leaders of the Muslim League, were in Pakistan when he did not hold power directly. Pakistani Nawaz (PML-N), were disqualified or jailed in the run-up to the elections.More importantly, former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif was sacked during a coup d'etat By the Supreme Court on July 28, 2017, on the vague accusation that he was not was "not honest and reliable enough" to fill his position. He was then quickly tried, convicted and imprisoned for ten years for illegal possession of property abroad – a practice quite common among Pakistani political leaders of all colors. The goal was to prevent the charismatic Sharif, the PML-N's star activist, from contesting the elections and campaigning for his party's candidates, to scare his main supporters and to force to go to the ITP or withdraw. the battle. "data-reactid =" 28 "> Traditionally, senior military officers played the role of kingmaker in Pakistan while they did not hold power directly The role played by the military to influence the elections became apparent The fact that several opponents of the PTI, especially the leaders of the Pakistan Muslim League Nawaz (PML-N), were disqualified or imprisoned in the run-up to the elections, the most important being that the Former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif was removed from his military duties. "A coup d'etat" developed by a Supreme Court on July 28, 2017, on vague accusation that he was " not honest enough and reliable enough "to fill his position, he was then quickly tried, convicted and imprisoned for ten years for illegal possession of property abroad – a fairly common practice among polite leaders Pakistani ticks of all colors. The goal was to prevent the charismatic Sharif, the PML-N's star activist, from contesting the elections and campaigning for his party's candidates, to scare his main supporters and to force to go to the ITP or withdraw.
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mo (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = " Although Sharif had begun his political career under the tutelage of military dictator Zia-ul-Haq, his independent career in foreign and security policy had made it a thorn in the flesh of the army.Pervez Musharraf however resumed his post in 2013 after beat the PPP led by Zardari (the party of assassinated former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto) who came to power after Musharraf's resignation in 2008 to avoid dismissal. "data-reactid =" 29 " > Although Sharif began his political career under the elite Zia-ul-Haq dictator, his independent foreign and security policy had made him a thorn in the flesh. # 39; army. He had been removed from power in 1999 by General Pervez Musharraf, but he returned to power in 2013 after defeating the PPP led by Zardari (the party of assassinated former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto), who came to power after the resignation of Musharraf in 2008 to avoid impeachment.
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = " What the line of Sharif's conduct towards India and his repeated calls for Pakistani extremists involved in the Mumbai terrorist attack in November 2008 to be brought to justice by the Pakistani courts, including his commentary of May 2018. "The organizations activists are active [in Pakistan] call them non-state actors, should we allow them to cross the border and kill 150 people in Mumbai? ", quipped the army – which supported some of the terrorist organizations – endless "data-reactid =" 30 "> What the military feared the most was Sharif's relatively soft line toward India and his repeated calls for Pakistani extremists to be involved in the attack. terrorists in Mumbai in November 2008 be brought to justice by the courts from Pakistan. In particular, his comment in May 2018 that "militant organizations are active [in Pakistan]. Call them non-state actors, should we allow them to cross the border and kill 150 people in Mumbai? ", Quipped the army – which supported some of the terrorist organizations – to end it no more.
<p class = "canvas- atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = " The slowness with which the results Elections were declared to have been blamed by the authorities However, the delay fueled allegations of fraud by the military, which was interpreted as a strong indicator that the Electoral Commission had to wait until it was over. "deep" state approves (or modifies) The defeat of several pillars of the PML-N and PPP, including Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, the son of Benazir Bhutto and co-chair of the PPP, in their own bastions was also attributed to Military interference in the electoral process. "Data-reactid =" 31 "> The slowness with which election results were declared was blamed by the authorities on a software merger. However, the delay fueled allegations of fraud by the military. It has been interpreted as a strong indicator that the Electoral Commission had to wait for the "deep state" to approve (or modify) the results before announcing them. The defeat of several PML-N and PPP militants, including Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, son of Benazir Bhutto and co-president of the PPP, in their own bastions, was also attributed to the army's interference in the electoral process.
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mo (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = " It is now clear that the PTI, while being the most important party, will not achieve a clear majority of 22 seats, thus producing a parliament without a majority and forcing Imran Khan to form a coalition government, a suggestion he had resisted during his campaign. He changed his mind after the elections and has already begun negotiations with some of the smaller parties and independents A coalition government led by Imran Khan is tailor-made to serve the interests of the military his choice, along with Imran Khan, who is accused of having links with Islamist extremists, almost totally dependent on the willingness of the army to remain in power. will be the case because it will be forced to rely on independents and on one or many of the smaller parties, who are more easily susceptible to the influence of the army, to retain power. "data-reactid =" 32 "> It is now clear that the PTI, although the most important party, will not achieve a clear majority of 22 seats, thus producing a parliament without majority and forcing Imran Khan to Form a Coalition Government He seems to have changed his mind after the elections and has already started negotiations with some of the smaller parties and independents.A coalition government led by Imran Khan is tailor-made to serve At the same time, Imran Khan, who is a bit maverick and accused of having links with Islamist extremists, depends almost entirely on the goodwill of the army. I will stay in power, this will be the case because he will be forced to rely on independents and on one or more of the smaller parties, who are more easily susceptible to the influence of the army. , to preserve the power.
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = " The other constituency who prefers Imran Khan to his opponents are the very violent, violent and non-violent Islamist groups, waving for the most antediluvian laws, including the strict application of the blasphemy law and the "hudood" punishments calling stoning of adulterers and cutting the hands of thieves ran Khan, whose previous way of life – including the marriage with several women and reports of having fathered a child in the United States out of wedlock – would have made him a perfect target for punishment under hudood laws, now projects himself as a strong defender of those same laws calling for their strict enforcement. "data-reactid =" 36 "> The other constituency that prefers Imran Khan to his opponents are the very active, violent Islamist groups and n on-violent, waving for the most antediluvian laws – including the strict application of the blasphemy law and the "hudood" punishments that require the stoning of adulterers and the cutting of thieves' hands. Imran Khan, whose previous lifestyle – including marrying several women and reports of spawning a child in the United States out of wedlock – would have made him a perfect target for punishment under hudood laws , now projects himself as a strong defender of these same laws calling for their strict application.
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mo (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = " As a result of its reinvention in As a new Muslim and his recent third marriage to a woman in a burqa who apparently doubles as a spiritual mentor, Imran Khan has been made to love conservative Muslims regardless of their party affiliation and now has support from both institutions. Pakistan's strongest policies: the army and the mosque, making its position, at least in the short term, very secure. "data-reactid =" 37 "> As a result of its reinvention as a Muslim born and his recent third wedding with a burqa-clad woman who seems to be his spiritual mentor, Imran Khan has made himself a fan of conservative Muslims, regardless of party affiliation. Therefore, he now has the support of Pakistan's two strongest political institutions: the army and the mosque. This makes his position, at least in the short term, fairly secure.
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" The question now to a million dollars is how he and its military sponsors will resolve the contentious issues that divide them, particularly their approach to the United States, which Imran Khan has repeatedly repeated. He has ferociously attacked Washington's military operations in Afghanistan and along the Pakistani border with that country, and condemned US drone attacks against the Taliban and other extremist factions, such as the Haqqani network, which is attacking US forces in Afghanistan. Afghanistan since safe havens in Pakistan This position is well suited to its conservative base in Pakhtunkhwa province, on the border of Afghanistan, populated largely by Pashtuns, many of whom sympathize with the Taliban. -reactid = "38"> The million dollar question that arises now is how he and his military sponsors will resolve the contentious issues that divide them. Among these, the most important is their US approach that Immran Khan repeatedly attacked ferociously for Washington's military operations in Afghanistan and along the Pakistani border with that country. In addition, he harassed terrorist groups and condemned US drone attacks against the Taliban and other extremist factions such as the Haqqani network that attacks US forces in Afghanistan from their safe havens in Pakistan. This position plays well with its conservative base in Pakhtunkhwa Province on the border of Afghanistan, which is populated largely by ethnic Pashtuns – many of whom sympathize with the Taliban.
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = " The army, on the other hand, has a more nuanced view of Pakistan's relations with the US On the one hand, it has tried to extend its support to terrorist groups in Afghanistan and Pakistan in order to to use in Indian-administered Kashmir as needed and to destabilize Afghanistan when it serves his interests – a decent working relationship with Washington because of Pakistan's dependence on weapons from the United States sophisticated to neutralize to a certain extent India 's superiority in conventional weapons in the face of provocative statements by President Donald Trump earlier this year, freezing arms deliveries to Pakistan because of the lack of weapons. continued support of the latter against anti-American elements who attacked US forces In Afghanistan, "data-reactid =" 39 "> The military, on the other hand, has a more nuanced view of Pakistan's relations with the United States. On one hand, he has tried to extend his support to terrorist groups in Afghanistan and Pakistan in order to use them in Indian-administered Kashmir when needed and to destabilize Afghanistan when appropriate. to his interests. At the same time, the army is interested in maintaining decent working relations with Washington because of Pakistan's reliance on the United States for the sophisticated weapons needed to neutralize to a certain extent the superiority from India in conventional weapons. This is the reason why the Pakistani army has been very measured in its response, even in the face of provocative statements by President Donald Trump earlier this year freezing arms supplies in Pakistan because of the continued support of this last to anti-American elements attacking US forces in Afghanistan
<p class = "canvas-atom web-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = " With regard to US-Pakistan relations, Imran Khan's dependence on the army should force him to act more responsibly and against his anti-war instincts. visceral Americans and supporting terrorist factions, and from time to time, in his hyperbolic anti-American statements, he will not attempt to rock the boat in any meaningful way, given his chameleon character, one can expect to what he acted e depending on the military scenario most of the time. data-reactid = "40"> With regard to US-Pakistan relations, Imran Khan's dependence on the army should force him to act more responsibly and responsibly. against his visceral anti-American instincts and to support terrorists. factions. Khan is likely to continue to engage in his hyperbolic anti-American statements from time to time, but will not attempt to rock the boat significantly. Given his character as a chameleon, one can expect that he act according to the scenario of the army most of the time
<p class = "canvas-atom web-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – -sm Mt (0.8em) – sm "type =" text "content =" The security of Pakistan and foreign policies have always been the safeguarding of Armed with civilian governments that have had very little room for maneuver to make major changes.Once earlier, one of the main reasons why the army decided to dismiss Sharif was that he was not the only one in the world. he tried to move away from this tradition: Imran Khan, dependent on the army for his political survival, will probably not question the established model of civil-military relations. "data-reactid = "41"> Pakistan's security and foreign policies have always been the preserve of the army with governments Civilians who have had very little leeway to make major changes for them. As stated earlier, one of the main reasons why the army decided to withdraw Sharif was because he tried to stray from this tradition. Imran Khan, who is dependent on the military for his political survival, is unlikely to question the established model of civil-military relations in the sphere of foreign policy as in most other fields.
<p class = "canvas-atom-canvas -text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = " Mohammed Ayoob is Professor Emeritus Emeritus of International Relations at the Michigan State University, and Senior Fellow, Center for Global Policy, of which The Many Faces of Political Islam (University of Michigan Press, 2008) and, most recently, Will the Middle East Implode (2014) and editor-in-chief of Assessing the War on Terror (2013). "data-reactid =" 42 "> Mohammed Ayoob is Emeritus Professor Emeritus of International Relations at Michigan State University and Senior Fellow, Center for Global Policy. His books include The Many Faces of Political Islam (University of Michigan Press, 2008) and, most recently, Will the Middle East Implode (2014) and Editor-in-Chief of Assessing the War on Terror (2013) . class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = " Image: An armed paramilitary soldier stands guard after a Kamikaze was detonated near a police checkpoint in Peshawar, Pakistan on January 19, 2016. REUTERS / Fayaz Aziz "Data-React =" 43 "> Image: A Armed paramilitary soldier stands guard after suicide A suicide bomber blew himself up near a police checkpoint in Peshawar, Pakistan January 19, 2016. REUTERS / Fayaz Aziz
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