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The 70th Primetime Emmy Awards should be full of surprises.
The 2018 Emmys are coming up as a game, which could mean just about anything. On Monday night, viewers might be stunned by the volume of upheaval, or they could be stunned by the number of Academy favorites that continue to win. Or, really, it could be a mix of both.
So, on the precipice of another broadcast on Primetime Emmy, what do we know? Not much – and it's exciting. With only a few clear locks (Rachel Brosnahan, prepare your speech) and about twenty new nominees (Will & Grace be a new candidate or a return champion?), There will inevitably be surprises at the time. 70th annual ceremony – but who, what and where remains a mystery.
There will be a new best comedy comedy, as far as we know, but which series will prevail? Who will win in the Drama Actress race? What about the interim impasse between Sterling K. Brown and Matthew Rhys? And can Netflix win the most trophies after getting a record number of nominations?
So many questions, so little time. Below, IndieWire has brought together the most pressing issues facing Emmy fans, nominees and tipsters. It will be a crazy night – not just because our hosts are already pushing buttons – so let's start.
There are four actresses who can win the best actress in a drama … no?
OK, there may be five. Of the six nominees, only Evan Rachel Wood seems to lack a winning argument. Tatiana Maslany is a former champion who surprised some people with an appointment, despite the fact that "Orphan Black" has been off the air for about a year; she still has a long way to go, but you can not ignore that competitor who never says anything. Claire Foy and Keri Russell have even more momentum. Each of the stars "Crown" and "Americans" is in their last year of eligibility for their critically acclaimed series; he will have to go home empty-handed, but do both?
Sandra Oh could do it, supporting a wave of support for his lead role in "Killing Eve", the black horse's suitor who had a big impact on all who saw the series. Some thought the drama of the BBC America could even wink at the drama series, so doing it here would be a mistake. That said, the defending champion, Elisabeth Moss, will not be easy to get out of the race. Even those who found more flaws in "The Handmaid's Tale" Season 2 had nothing derogatory to say about his star. She's the club's favorite, but the club is packed.
Yvonne Strahovski, "The Tale of the Maid"
Hulu
There are seven actresses who can win the best supporting actress in a drama
Seven nominees. Seven suitors. Although the number differs according to the category, this is how we think at all levels. Rarely is this the case Emmys Night, when the favorites emerged after a long campaign, but there are really compelling arguments for each actress in the supporting drama category.
Ann Dowd: winner of last year
Alexis Bledel: last year's winner in the support category
Yvonne Strahovski: critical choice of the allegedly favorite series of the drama series
Lena Headey: the favorite if "Game of Thrones" is Actually the favorite drama series
Thandie Newton: the favorite if Emmy voters want to spread love (or at least recognize the 21 Westworld nominations)
Millie Bobby Brown: the alternative choice if Emmy voters want to spread the love (or really liked the autonomous episode of Eleven)
Vanessa Kirby: his first nomination and last chance to win for "The Crown", in addition to getting extra raves (during the vote) for his performance "Mission: Impossible"
The support actress comedy race is not clearer
Of course, Kate McKinnon is the safe bet, but the double winner of "SNL" is far from safe. On the one hand, there are eight nominees in the category. On the other hand, well, let's move on to the list: there is a former winner (Alex Borstein) in the most popular new comedy ("The wonderful Madame Maisel"). There is a newcomer (Zazie Beetz) in the favorite comedy (Atlanta). Two other "SNL" nominees (Leslie Jones and Aidy Bryant) could suck votes away from McKinnon. Laurie Metcalf is far from being an Oscar nominee, and voters may be sorry because (a) her show has been canceled, and (b) her character has tried to move some of the right-wing views away. Megan Mullally is another former winner and Betty Gilpin is Betty Freaking Gilpin – she is undoubtedly the favorite of the critic and the favorite of the people, even if "GLOW" was less successful than the Academy. It's everyone's race.
What is Emmys, if any, going to win?
Just imagine that Ryan Murphy wins an award for leading David Lynch in the race. Seriously. The attack launched by moviegoers, surrealist artists and cats from around the world would be the equivalent of the nuclear bomb deposited in the episode of Lynch named "Part 8". But movie buffs should prepare for the worst, because Twin Peaks Creative Arts Emmys – ranging from zero to seven, including losses of sound mixing and cinematography to "Genius" ("Genius!") – are not auspicious for Primetime Emmys. Showtime's revival is rewarded with two other awards: Best Achievement (Lynch) and Best Writing for a Limited Series, a TV Movie or a Dramatic Special. In this last category, there is a counter-argument from "American Vandal" to "USS Callister", as well as "American Crime Story: The Assassination of Gianni Versace" and "Patrick Melrose" of Murphy. The opponents, "Twin Peaks" will enter Monday night as a long shot. The staging is his best shot, and Murphy is Lynch's main competition. Given the early love of "Versace", fans of "Peaks" should prepare to brag.
Matthew Rhys in "The Americans"
Patrick Harbron / FX
What will Emmys, if any, "Americans" win?
With only four nominations – all in the Primetime Emmy categories – the beloved and underrated FX drama of longtime critics will have to turn some giants over if they want to win a gold medal. The exceptional drama series is a bit out of reach, considering that "Americans" have the lowest number of nominations of all the shows in the category. We have already exceeded the chances of Keri Russell above, who are not terrible, but also do not make him a shoo-in. Over the past four years, the Exceptional Writing category has aligned itself with the winner's category for the drama series, and we must return in 2011 to find a winner who has never won a drama series before.
But this is where fans of "Americans" have hope: this winner of 2011 was "Friday Night Lights", a drama of the NBC, long-time critic and critic. In his last season, Jason Katims won for writing and Kyle Chandler for the lead actor. Even if it would be necessary for Matthew Rhys to eliminate Sterling K. Brown, if Chandler could upset Jon Hamm, then "The Americans" could also win. Clear eyes, full hearts …
Can streaming from Landmark win in limited series or comedy series?
Last year, Hulu's "Handmaid's Tale" became the first streaming series to win an outstanding drama series. This year, two other networks of the future are trying to make history in the other two categories: Netflix and Amazon.
Netflix has nominees in each field ("The Crown" and "Stranger Things" in Drama, as well as "GLOW" and "Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt" in Comedy), but his best chances of winning are in the limited series. With contenders pretending like "The Looming Tower" and "Twin Peaks" completely out of the race, the terrain is rather rare. "Godless" is second after "The Assassination of Gianni Versace" in the nominations (12 vs. 18, respectively), and while this may make him an outsider, Netflix has put a massive campaign behind the Jeff Daniels Western. With the impressive number of eyeballs that Netflix wins for its originals, this could cause problems. (Although "Patrick Melrose" and his five nominations are the real black horse here.)
As for Amazon, she seeks to take the title of comedy with "The wonderful Ms. Maisel". Most preachers are torn between Amy Sherman-Palladino's hour comedy and "Atlanta," and each series has its advantages and disadvantages. "Maisel" is perceived as a success, but we do not really know how many voters have seen it throughout the process. (And they never really turned to Sherman-Palladino's previous success, "Gilmore Girls.") But "Atlanta" had on average fewer linear viewers than "Pose" and "The Americans." The Academy must recognize the essential television if it wants to win the first prize. (Some may not see a comedy in good faith either, opening the door to a dark but very funny "Barry" to win a victory.)
Will "Game of Thrones" return to the throne or will "The Tale of the Maid" continue to rise?
If one or the other wins, there is no problem here. "The Handmaid's Tale" is the defending champion and therefore the favorite. "Game of Thrones" has won two consecutive years in its last eligibility and returns this year after winning a season of Emmy. The showdown was launched last year when Oprah shouted "Taaaaaale!" Is it really a two-horse race? Probably. What could cause anger? "Americans." But no matter what wins earlier in the night, the last prize awarded will have everyone on the edge of their seats.
To learn more about Emmys, be sure to listen to this week's great TV podcast. IndieWire TV editor Liz Shannon Miller and television critic Ben Travers dissect the different aspects of the season and explore every aspect of Netflix.
Do not forget to subscribe to Very Good TV Podcast via Soundcloud or iTunes. Make sure to follow IndieWire on Twitter and Facebook for all your TV news. In addition, check out other IndieWire podcasts: Screen Talk with Eric Kohn and Anne Thompson, the Filmmaker Toolkit podcast with Chris O'Falt, and Michael Schneider's podcast, Turn It On, which showcases the most important each week.
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