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Democrats are more hopeful than they can regain control of one or more chambers of Congress. But they will change their message to capitalize.
USA TODAY

Millions of dollars have been aired and the Florida Senate race … remains in a flat tie.

A poll of 49 polled students in the United States polls. 49 percent of likely voters in the Democratic Republic of the United States. Bill Nelson and 49 percent support his Republican opponent, Gov. Rick Scott.

"The Florida Senate race, one of the most important election year, is a dead heat," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Florida Republican Gov. Rick Scott, left, is hoping to unseat Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Fla. in November (Photo: Wilfredo Lee (AP) / John McCall / South Florida Sun-Sentinel via AP)

It's the first independent poll to come out of the explosive gubernatorial primary last week when Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum scored a massive upset and won the Democratic nomination. He'll face Republican Congressman Ron DeSantis in the Nov. 6 election in a matchup of fierce supporters at the top of the ballot that could reshape the contours of the Senate.

A Quinnpiac poll released Tuesday showed the race between Gillum and DeSantis a virtual tie as well.

On the heels of both Quinnipiac surveys, University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato declared Florida "the purplish ground zero in the 2018 midterms."

Florida is one of the states next year. Republicans hold 51 of the chamber's 100 seats.

Wednesday's poll finds Scott leading among white voters (55 percent-44 percent), Hispanics (59-39 percent), and Republicans (92-7 percent), while Nelson is winning among black voters (90-5 percent), Independents (56 percent) -43 percent), and Democrats (89-8 percent).

"The campaign is a prototype of our nation's political environment," Quinnipiac's Brown said. So far, Sen. Nelson has the edge with this swing group. "

The poll is relatively good news for Scott, who has been heavily outspent by Scott. Nelson released his first television ad last week, four months after Scott began airing his.

By 49 percent to 43 percent, Florida Voters approve of the job Scott is doing as governor 51 percent to 46 percent, the poll found.

The poll included responses from 785 30 through Sept. 3. It has a margin of error of more or minus 4.3 percentage points.

While many political pundits have said this year, it is likely to be a referendum on President Donald Trump, nearly half of those polled in Florida – 46 percent – said he is not an important factor in their choice for Senate. Of those who think it is, 26 percent said they see their vote as a chance to support the president.

The polls of the United States of America have made their minds on the Senate race, meaning mobilizing supportive voters to be crucial to victory. To that end, Vice President Mike Pence will be joining Scott at the events in Orlando and The Villages.

more: Rick Scott's Trump dilemma: Wooing independents without alienating the president's followers

more: Parkland, hurricanes and trump shaping Florida Senate race between Rick Scott and Bill Nelson

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