Freshly updated bowl projections: return to debate on the Notre Dame playoffs!



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In September, university football is midway through the first college football playoff rankings. So, these weekly bowl projections are still flying blindly, but I think we know which teams are at the top of the table, is not it?

Each week, I update a table of winners for each FBS game, record the records, and guess what the Playoff Committee and the bowl committees would do with the results. Things are getting closer and closer to the accuracy possible as Sunday Selection approaches, but more importantly, it's weekly fun!

Below, projections for all 40 games of 2018 bowl. Many of them will change radically over the next two months, so if you do not like the list of your team, I bet some victories on the ground will change things!

  • Cotton (Arlington, TX): No. 2 Ohio State vs No. 3 Clemson
  • Orange (Miami): No. 1 Alabama against No. 4 Notre Dame

We have been close to big changes in week 5. So to speak.

Last week in this space, I chose Penn State and Ohio State to play the Nittany Lions Playoff, beating the Buckeyes, which almost happened. But: back to normal on the front of the Big Ten.

Elsewhere, Clemson nearly lost to Syracuse, perhaps because of QB's most difficult situation, but two things:

  1. The committee would probably have given Clemson a kind of mulligan for losing with a guy who was QB someday in the third period (the committee cited Clemson's QB injury as a mitigating factor in a loss to Cuse). latest year).
  2. Now that Clemson has won, will anything change? If Trevor Lawrence misses a game, it will be Wake Forest, a team that Clemson can handle without him. The week off after that. If he's allowed to return, the hardest game in the regular season is … a trip to Boston College? NC State? Caroline from the south?

Clemson is fine.

Let's talk about the exciting! Our Lady! Join a conference, the nerds!

They do not have They never have to do it. Bama made the playoff without a division title last year. If the Irish are unbeaten, they are. If they have a defeat, they are candidates. Well, they simply won their toughest remaining game of 21 points. (They'll lose against Pitt, but we'll cross that bridge – Pittsburgh term – later.)

  • Sugar (New Orleans): Oklahoma against Georgia
  • Rose (Pasadena, CA): Penn State vs. Washington
  • Peach (Atlanta): Miami vs Michigan
  • Fiesta (Glendale, AZ): Boise State vs. Auburn

REMATCH MANIA!

During this year's rotation, most of them will be based on automatic conference bidding, and we will likely see whether the CMM or AAC champion takes the place out of power. Due to the geography, this will likely determine whether the G5 team goes to Fiesta or Peach.

Sub in UCF for Boise State in your mind, if that brought you good feelings. I have the Broncos here for a simple reason: their remaining schedule seems easier.

Far from being sold on Auburn, of course. I have a group of teams floating around 9-3, but I remember Auburn's win over Washington. This is still worth a lot of commissions, and the committee is the entity that creates the NY6 games.

  • Citrus (Orlando) vs. Wisconsin vs. Kentucky
  • Outback (Tampa): Michigan State vs. LSU
  • Gator (Jacksonville) vs. Indiana Mississippi State
  • Holidays (San Diego): Iowa vs Stanford
  • Liberty (Memphis): Oklahoma State vs. Texas A & M (The 12 big meetings will not take place, let me entertain myself.)
  • Military (Annapolis, MD): Cincinnati vs. Pitt
  • Sun (El Paso): Boston College vs. Utah
  • Belk (Charlotte): Duke against South Carolina (Steve Spurrier Bowl!)
  • Alamo (San Antonio): Texas vs Oregon
  • Arizona (Tucson): State of Fresno vs. Coastal Carolina
  • Camping World (Orlando): State of North Carolina or West Virginia
  • Music City (Nashville): Virginia Tech vs. Florida
  • Texas (Houston): TCU vs. Missouri
  • Pinstripe (New York City): Syracuse against Minnesota
  • Independence (Shreveport, LA): Tulane * vs Cal *
  • Cheez-It (Phoenix): Texas Tech vs. Arizona State
  • Quick Lane (Detroit): Army vs WMU *
  • SERVPRO (Dallas): Washington State * vs. North Texas
  • Redbox (Santa Clara, CA): BYU * vs USC
  • Hawaii: Marshall vs Hawaii
  • Dollar General (Mobile): Ohio vs. Arkansas State
  • Armed Forces (Fort Worth): UCF vs. Baylor
  • Birmingham: Houston vs. Vanderbilt
  • Potato (Boise): NIU vs. Utah State
  • Bahamas: Miss South against Akron
  • Gasparilla (Tampa): USF against Virginia
  • Frisco (TX): Memphis against Toledo
  • Boca Raton: Marine vs FAU
  • New Orleans: Louisiana Tech vs. Troy
  • Camellia (Montgomery, AL): Buffalo vs. Appalachian State
  • Las Vegas: State of San Diego vs Colorado
  • Cure (Orlando): Temple against Georgia Southern
  • New Mexico (Albuquerque): UAB vs UNLV

* = Take the unsatisfied application of another conference.

As always, remember that bow auctions are not strictly based on merit. Some conferences have rules that prevent the balls from taking teams with records significantly lower than those of more deserving teams, but the balls mostly care about the buttocks in the seats. If you beat a program bigger and closer to a bowl than you want, you are not guaranteed to have it.

Plus, as always, I'm sorry for the strict bowl control of the Pac-12. Integrating deserving Pac-12 teams into games that interest them is one of the hardest things to work on, just like looking for matches that we have not seen recently in the many Big Ten games. SEC (even if it's going well this year).

Teams for which I could not find a place this week: UEM, CRF, MTSU and Wyoming.

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