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LOS ANGELES – The rise of Emmy is difficult at the time of the advanced television. There are a lot of shows and a lot of high expectations from the voters of the academies.
Just being good is not enough for comedies and dramas, which must echo the current political and social zeitgeist. Actors who also perform the act of writing and staging high fly collect more respect and trophies.
Aside from talent, a lavish marketing campaign helps in an overcrowded field: with up to seven or eight nominees in some key categories, about 14% of television academy votes can determine who will get a trophy.
So, is it "Game of Thrones" (with a 22 main signs, many in the technical categories) or "The Handmaid's Tale" for the best drama? Does Donald Glover repeat as best comedy actor for "Atlanta" or is Bill Hader in the first year "Barry" a stunned winner?
The arena of comedy is the big unknown: it is largely open with the double winner "Veep" and his star, the champion of six actresses comedy, Julia Louis-Dreyfus.
Despite these daunting factors, we are always ready to predict who will win, and who should do so at Monday's ceremony. Lynn Elber, screenwriter at AP Television, and Mark Kennedy, screenwriter for Entertainment, in the categories of glamor.
DRAMATIC SERIES
The nominees: "The Americans," "The Crown," "Game of Thrones," "The Handmaid's Tale," "Stranger Things," "This Is Us," "Westworld."
Elber:
Should win: "The tale of the maid." He remains faithful to his inseparable vision of a poisoned society, challenging us to observe or choose a blind ignorance. No other show matches its requirements with equal rewards.
Will win: "The Handmaid's Tale". For many viewers and voters, there is one thing to do.
Kennedy:
Should win: "The tale of the maid." Even though the second season was more brutal than the first, it was way beyond the source material. "Game of Thrones" may have come back to claim his crown with a visually stunning season, but the zeitgeist is indeed firmly in Gilead.
Will win: "The tale of the maid."
COMIC SERIES
The nominees: "Atlanta", "Barry", "black-ish", "Curb Your Enthusiasm", "GLOW", "The wonderful Ms. Maisel", "Silicon Valley", "Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt".
Elber:
Should win: "Atlanta." The author television at its best. Actor Donald Glover, creator and creative force of the series, won last year Emmys for playing and directed. But does he understand enough striking lines for a dramatic moment for voters?
Will win: "Atlanta." While the famous freshman "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel" offers a feminine atmosphere and more wisecracks, the series of the 1950s can not compete with the contemporary side of Atlanta.
Kennedy:
Should win: "Atlanta". The show, led by the Glover Hall of Fame capabilities, added audiences and nominations in its second season and gave many Americans a vision of a world they did not know.
Will win: "The wonderful Mrs. Maisel." It's safer, sad to say.
ACTOR, SERIES OF DRAMA
The nominees: Jason Bateman, "Ozark"; Sterling K. Brown, "This Is Us"; Ed Harris, "Westworld"; Matthew Rhys, "The Americans"; Milo Ventimiglia, "This Is Us"; Jeffrey Wright, "Westworld".
Elber:
Should win: Matthew Rhys, "The Americans". The dark and confrontational portrayal of the Soviet spy Mischa, aka the father of the American family Philip Jennings, is at the origin of the finished series. It's time to pay tribute to him, comrades.
Will win: Sterling K. Brown, "This Is Us". Brown was the only actor in the network's drama series to win last year, with cable and streaming gobbling up all the other prizes. And his loving father is always so affecting.
Kennedy:
Should win: Remember when Jon Hamm of "Mad Men" finally won his Emmy on his eighth and last attempt? How did he crawl on the stage to accept his trophy, by relief and exhaustion? Maybe Rhys will do the same thing this time. He deserves after six brilliant seasons of "The Americans".
Will win: Brown. Emmy voters like to ride a winner – hello, Julia Louis-Dreyfus! – Brown's brother-father-son, still uncertain, about "This Is Us" is a portrait that is both humorous and dramatically empathic.
ACTRESS, SERIES OF DRAMA
The nominees: Claire Foy, "The Crown"; Tatiana Maslany, "Orphan Black"; Elisabeth Moss, "The tale of the maid"; Sandra Oh, "Killing Eve"; Keri Russell, "The Americans"; Evan Rachel Wood, "Westworld".
Elber:
Should win: Sandra Oh, "Killing Eve". The nominee five times at the Emmy Awards for "Gray's Anatomy" gives an intense and visceral performance in this female version of a mano-mano spy thriller and shines again.
Will win: Elisabeth Moss, "The Handmaid's Tale". Moss won the trophy last year for his portrayal of an uninterrupted victim, and his heaviness remains magnetic.
Kennedy:
Should win: Keri Russell. No respect for Moss, but she has her Emmy. This is the last chance for Russell, who played a fierce Russian mole as well as a wife and mother tender on "Americans".
Will win: Foam. In his second season as Offred, there seemed to be less dialogue, but his eyes managed to convey horror, anger and resignation.
ACTOR, COMEDY SERIES
The nominees: Anthony Anderson, "black-ish"; Ted Danson, "The Good Place"; Larry David, "Curb Your Enthusiasm"; Donald Glover, "Atlanta"; Bill Hader, "Barry"; William H. Macy, "shamelessly."
Elber:
Should win: William H. Macy, "shamelessly." The erratic and erratic patriarch of Must Macy, Frank Gallagher, clean up his action or his death so that Macy receives the prize he deserves so much and has been refused four times? Is this a rhetorical question?
Will win: Donald Glover, "Atlanta". He masters both performance and seriocomic narration, giving life to his young character in search of nuances and clichés. Give the man a second Emmy.
Kennedy:
Should win: Glover. Macy is a worthy competitor. Bill Hader is too much of a black horse.
Will win: Glover. Totally.
ACTRICE, COMEDY SERIES
The nominees: Pamela Adlon, "Better Things"; Rachel Brosnahan, "The wonderful Mrs. Maisel"; Allison Janney, "mom"; Issa Rae, "Insecure"; Tracee Ellis Ross, "black-ish"; Lily Tomlin, "Grace and Frankie".
Elber:
Should win: Rachel Brosnahan is dazzling as a betrayed wife who finds her voice in spiritual and cathartic diatribes. Brosnahan is the good performer of the realism of the creative Amy Sherman-Palladino after "Gilmore Girls".
Will win: Brosnahan. A charmer in the right vehicle.
Kennedy:
Should win: No Louis-Dreyfus this time, the Emmys will crown a new queen of comedy for the first time in six years. Television moms Tracee Ellis Ross and Allison Janney have been patient, but Pamela Adlon in "Better Things" is a crude, unwavering and affectionate portrait of a modern, messy, middle-aged person.
Will win: Brosnahan, who offers a winning performance – as a mom, of course.
LIMITED SERIES
The nominees: "The alienist", "The assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story", "Genius: Picasso", "Godless", "Patrick Melrose".
Elber:
Should win: "Patrick Melrose". The passion project of actor and producer Benedict Cumberbatch (based on the semi-autobiographical novels of Edward St Aubyn) is an impeccable exploration of a tormented man and his past.
Will win: "The assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story". Producer Ryan Murphy knows how to work the big canvas, as he proved with "The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story. "
Kennedy:
Should win: "The Looming Tower". Mixing facts and fiction to trace the disordered reaction of the United States to the emergence of Al-Qaida and Osama bin Laden, the series bites a lot, but is deftly.
Will win: "Gianni Versace". The "American Crime Story" franchise, like Murphy's horrific anthology series, is too hard to beat, as it is both breathtaking and fascinating.
70th Primetime Emmy Awards
8 pm Mon
NBC
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