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WASHINGTON – US Senator Robert Menendez was seven points ahead of potential voters in a poll released Wednesday by Quinnipiac University. This is the latest survey as of the last poll giving him a constant but narrow advantage over his Republican opponent Bob Hugin.
Menendez, D-N.J., Hugin Leader, former Celgene Corp. executive, between 51% and 44%. He held 11 points in a Quinnipiac poll released Oct. 3.
Five percent of likely voters remain undecided, although 10 percent of each candidate's supporters said that they could still change their minds.
The principal responsible for the incumbent was the support of women. He received 56% to 38% of the votes of Hugin, who fought to open the famous Princeton University catering clubs to women.
Men preferred Hugin, 51% to 46%.
Furious about prostitution, Menendez calls Hugin to a slimeball
Menendez stayed ahead of Hugin even with 52% of likely voters seeing it unfavorably, versus 36% of favorably.
The Senate Ethics Committee has "severely criticized the senator" for accepting gifts and trips from a friend and campaign donor, Mr. Salomon Melgen, while he was intervening with federal agencies on his behalf.
"Women's support remains the key to the role played by Senator Robert Menendez in this race, as his favorability index is stuck under the water," said Mary Snow, Quinnipiac survey analyst.
"The question for Bob Hugin is this: can he convince voters who say they are undecided or support Menendez and say they can change their minds?"
Hugin attempted to reverse the situation in an election advertisement published Monday in which he had resurrected unproven allegations that Menendez had slept with underage prostitutes while traveling with Melgen in the Dominican Republic. The FBI found the charges sufficiently credible to investigate them, but found no evidence to support them.
The advertisement was published after Menendez, in a speech to the Senate on October 5, said that he was standing alongside psychologist researcher Christine Blasey Ford, who accused judge Brett Kavanaugh of sexual assault while they were both in high school.
Quinnipiac gave Menendez a bigger lead than other recent polls. The big difference was the small percentage of undecided voters in Quinnipiac surveys.
For example, 22% of likely Democrat voters said they did not choose a candidate in a poll conducted on October 3rd by Fairleigh Dickinson University, but only 2% did so in the Quinnipiac survey.
The survey of 873 potential voters took place from October 10 to 16 with a margin of error of 4.3 percentage points.
Jonathan D. Salant can be contacted at [email protected]. Follow him on Twitter @JDSalant or on Facebook. Find NJ.com Politics on Facebook.
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