[ad_1]
You do not often see an undefeated open team as an underdog so late in the season, but that's exactly what will happen in the sixth week.
The 5-0 Chiefs opened the match as a 3.5-point underdog against the Patriots. This is the first time since 2013 that an undefeated team is an underdog at the end of the season. Coincidentally, the leaders were also involved the last time this happened. In fact, the oddsmakers do not seem to show much respect for the Chiefs, as they always seemed involved when it came to playing an undefeated outsider team.
Over the past 15 years, there have been only five instances where a team was an underdog after being unbeaten in the first five weeks of the season and two of the previous matches this year involved the Chiefs. Here is an overview of these games:
2003: Fifteen years ago, the 5-0 Chiefs went to Green Bay to play prime time with a 2.5-point outsider. The Chiefs eventually covered in a thwarted victory from 40 to 34.
2006: The Colts of Peyton Manning did not have much respect in 2006 when they presented themselves as undefeated underdogs for two weeks in a row. At 6-0, they were a 3-point road outsider of the Broncos in a match that they won and covered (34-31). The following week, the Colts 7-0 were an outsider 2.5 points against Tom Brady's Patriots in a match that they won and covered (27-20).
2012: Six years ago, a Falcon 6-0 team was a 3-point underdog in a road game against the Eagles, led by Andy Reid. The Falcons ended up covering with a 30-17 win.
2013: Finally, we have the 2013 Chiefs, who were the underdogs of 7.5 points in a road match against the Peyton Manning Broncos. The Chiefs did not win nor cover during a 27-17 loss.
The good news for this year's Chiefs is that the undefeated outsiders have gone 4-1 at a time in alignment and against the gap (TTY) over the past 15 years.
More NFL
The opening of the Chiefs as an underdog is interesting for several reasons. On the one hand, Reid is pretty much the only coach in the NFL who has had a serious success against Bill Belichick in recent years. Since he's been hired by the Chiefs in 2013, Reid has imposed 2-0 against Belichick, including in the first game of the season in 2017, while the Chiefs have been cleared to 8 points in a 42-27 victory. The Chiefs also beat the Patriots 41-14 in 2014 in a game that led to one of Belichick's most famous phrases, "We're going to Cincinnati."
Speaking of Cincinnati, there's another interesting point for week 6. The Bengals opened the scoring with 3 points over the Steelers. This is the first time since 2014 that they are favored by at least one goal on the pitch compared to the Steelers. . The rivalry between the Steelers and the Bengals has not been much greater in recent years. Since Andy Dalton's first rookie in 2011, the Bengals have a 3-11 record against the Steelers and a 4-10 record.
So what other opening lines look interesting this week?
Let's go to the rest of the coast and find out.
NFL Week 6 Early Ratings
(All lines of SuperBook Westgate Las Vegas, all Sunday games, unless otherwise indicated. Do not forget that the dot spreads you see below represent the opening odds of week 6. For the most recent line of each game, click here).
Eagles (2-3) at the Giants (1-4), Thursday
Opening line: Eagles, -2,5 points
The Eagles have dominated this NFC East rivalry over the past five years. Since 2013, the Eagles are 8-2 against the Giants and 6-4. Of course, there's a time when you may not want to bet on the Eagles, that's when they're a road favorite. Since the start of the 2016 Carson Wentz season, the Eagles are 2-6 against the road as favorites, which is the third worst NFL mark on this period. The Eagles also struggled to cover the spread this year. Not only have they failed to cover their last three games, but they only have a 1-6 ATS record in their last seven regular season games dating back to the week 15 of 2017.
Buccaneers (2-2) in the Falcons (1-4)
Opening line: Falcons, -3,5 points
If there is one thing that the Falcons will have to work on their behalf this week, it is that they will face a rusty Jameis Winston. Winston will make his first start of the season Sunday after three consecutive games at a suspension. The Falcons have won three straight wins in this series and averaged 33.7 points per game for those victories. The Falcons also dominated their country against NFC South. Since the start of last season, when its new stadium was opened, Atlanta won 4-1 both in the quarterfinals and against the division. As for the Buccaneers, they are not a good team to bet on the road. Tampa is 2-10 in its last 12 games on the road (4-7-1 against the gap).
Steelers (2-2-1) to the Bengals (4-1)
Opening line: Bengals, -3 points
This game marks the first time since 2015 that the Bengals have been favored in a game about the Steelers. Of course, no matter who is favored, the Steelers always seem to win whatever. The Steelers have won eight of the last nine games in this series and are 7-2 Away in this period. However, the Bengals have been one of the best football players in the world this year. Cincinnati is 4-1 Away in 2018, tied with the NFL's second-highest score. The Bengals have also covered five of their last six home games, including two this year. The last time these two teams played was produced in December 2017, while the Bengals were laundered to 4.5 points in a 23-20 loss to the Steelers.
Chargers (3-2) at Browns (2-2-1)
Opening line: Chargers, -1 point
Betting on the Browns was basically the same thing as setting your money on fire, however, this is not the case this year. In 2018, the Browns are 4-1 Away, which is tied with the Bengals and Lions for the NFL's second-best mark. For some reason, Philip Rivers still seems to fight Cleveland. The Chargers are only 2-2 in their last four meetings with the Browns. These games are decided at an average of four points. This game will mark the eighth time in 10 years that the Chargers have been favored in a time zone game from the East. In the other eight games, the Chargers racked up a 3-5 record and a 2-6 record against the gap. One of those defeats came in 2016 against the Browns, which turned out to be Cleveland's only win of the season.
Seahawks (2-3) at Raiders (1-4) in London
Opening line: Seahawks, -2 points
Prepare your tea and crumpets, as this week marks the first game of the 2018 season in London. If there is one thing that has been true about London games, it is that the favored team almost always wins. Since the beginning of the international series in 2007, the favorite team has a record of 15-5-1 and a record of 13 to 8 against, which is an advantage for the Seahawks. The Seahawks are 16-9-1 wide after a loss in the last five years, the third-best NFL mark on the period. As for the Raiders, they tend to fight against the NFC teams. In their last 20 games against the other conference, the Raiders are 5-15 and 7-12-1.
Bear (3-1) in dolphins (3-2)
Opening line: Bear, -2 points
If there is one time you should be comfortable betting on the Bears, it 's winning if they play against an AFC team. Since Mitchell Trubisky's draft last year, the Bears have been 4-0 both against AF and against AF. This game will mark the third time since 2014 that the Bears were a road favorite. In the other two games, Chicago is 0-2 against the gap, which includes a 16-14 win over the Cardinals earlier this year, when they were not in favorites as favorites at 5.5 points. One thing about dolphins is that Adam Gase seems to be thriving as an underdog at home. Since taking up duties as a coach in 2016, the Dolphins have won 7-5 as home dogs (7-4-1 ATS). Gase has arrived in Bears Miami and will coach his former team for the first time in this game.
Cardinals (1-4) in the Vikings (2-2-1)
Opening line: Vikings, -9.5 points
The last time the Vikings opened as a gigantic favorite, they ended up losing. Specifically, the Vikings lost to the Bills 27-6 in the third week under a favorite of 16.5 points. Of course, this game looks like an anomaly if we take into account that the Vikings are 7-3 Away in their last 10 home games (8-2 in the first leg). For the Cardinals, traveling to Minnesota was a nightmare for them. Since moving to Arizona in 1988, the Cardinals have been 0-8 in Minnesota and 2-6 against the gap. This game will mark the second time this year that the Cards are an outsider of nine points or more. In the second week, the Cards did not cover the gap as an underdinner of 13.5 points in a 34-0 loss to Rams. This match will mark the eighth time this season that an NFL team has been favored by nine points or more. In the previous seven games, the favorite went to 4-3 and only 2-5 against the gap.
Colts (1-4) to the Jets (2-3)
Opening line: Jets. -2,5 points
That may not even seem credible, but since the start of the 2017 season, the NFL's best team in covering the home gap is the New York Jets. The Jets are 9-2 ATS at home since last year and a 6-5 record. The Colts injury report is something to watch for in this game. The Colts were so beaten in the fifth week that they could not even complete their list of 46 players. The Colts had dressed only 44 players during week 5 and there were only 40 players at the end of the game.
Panthers (3-1) at Redskins (2-1)
Opening line: Redskins, -2 points
If there is one team that Cam Newton has dominated in his career, it's the Washington Redskins. Since he was drafted in 2011, Newton has imposed himself 4-0 at once against ATS and against Washington. More recently, the Panthers have been a safe bet as an underdog. Since the start of the 2017 season, Carolina has been 5-3 in both lineup and ATS in all eight games where it has been neglected. One thing to keep in mind about this game is that the Redskins will retire a week after playing Monday. Under Jay Gruden, the Redskins are 2-4 this week after a Monday night game.
Invoices (2-3) at Texans (3-2)
Opening line: Texans, -8.5 points
The Buffalo Bills have become disgruntled specialists in the last 18 months. Since the start of the 2017 season, the Bills have been an underdog of eight or more points, five times overall, and they have won three of those games. The Bills are also 3-2 ATS in these games. On the other hand, Texans have not been favorites with eight or more points since 2013, while they had a 0-3 record against the three-part gap (1). -2 final). If we look at more recent figures, Texans are 2-4 and 1-4-1 since the start of last season in games where they are favored by three or more points.
Rams (5-0) to Broncos (2-3)
Opening line: Rams, -6.5 points
If there is one thing that Sean McVay can do is beat an AFC team. Since McVay was hired in 2017, the Rams have beaten AFC teams 6-0 and are 5-1 Away, with two of those covers and wins this year against the Raiders and the Chargers. Under McVay, the Rams are also 6-0 in attack when they are favored by six or more points, which includes a 5-1 ATS mark. This match marks the sixth time in only 10 years that the Broncos lost six points or more at home. In the previous five games, the Broncos have gone 1-4 at a time in alignment and defeat. Although the Rams are undefeated, they did not cover the spread as well. The Rams are just 3-2 ATS on the season.
Jaguars (3-2) at Cowboys (2-3)
Opening line: Jaguars, -2 points
If there is one time, you should almost never bet the Cowboys, that's when they are neglected at home. The last 10 times, the Cowboys have a 3-7 record and a 3-6-1 record. On the other side, the Cowboys may be a good option, as the Jaguars seem to forget playing football against NFC teams. Since the start of the 2013 season, the Jags have been leading 4-16 in both roster and defeat against NFC teams. If you think the Jags were horrible from 2013 to 2016, we should not count these games, it's not like they'd been better recently. Since the start of last season, they have been leading 2-3 at once against the NFC and against the gap. This total includes a 20-15 win over the Giants in the first week they covered as a 2.5-point favorite.
Ravens (3-2) in the Titans (3-2)
Opening line: Ravens, -2 points
The Titans are an outsider at home in this game, which is remarkable because the Titans seem to thrive as an outsider at home. Since November 2016, the Titans have triumphed 3-1 as home dog and 4-0 against the gap. This total includes two games THIS year where they covered like a dog at home. In the second week, the Titans beat the Texans 20-17 as home outsiders by 3.5 points. During Week 4, the Titans defeated the Eagles 26-23 as a 3-point attack dog. In total, the Titans have covered eight of their last 10 home games. Another noticeable thing about the Titans is that they almost always cover after a defeat. Since the start of the 2016 season, they have a 12-3 record against the gap after a loss, which is the second best NFL mark on this period. As for the Ravens, Baltimore has only made 7-13 in 20 games, which includes a 10-9-1 mark against the gap.
Chiefs (5-0) at the Patriots (3-2)
Opening line: Patriots, -3,5 points
The leaders are the only team in the NFL this year, the international remains undefeated (5-0). Not to mention, they thrive as an outsider. Since the start of the 2016 season, the Chiefs have gone 7-2 at once directly and ATS as an underdog. The Chiefs are also 9-1 at the same time in the quarterfinals and defeats in their last 10 games in prime time. If there's a reason to bet the Patriots, it's because it's a prime time match in New England. In their last 10 home games, the Patriots are 8-2 and 6-2-2 (Of course, one of the two losses has gone to the Chiefs, so maybe the Patriots it's not a good idea).
49ers (1-4) to Packers (2-2-1), Monday
Opening line: Packers, -7.5 points
When the 49ers are a big underdog, you can basically rely on them to lose. In their last 15 games, where they were an outsider of seven points or more, the 49ers scored 0-15. However, they did a slightly better job covering the gap, with a record of 7-8 ATS. One of the things the 49ers know how to cover is the broadcast of Monday Night Football. In the last 10 years, the 49ers have scored 10-2 against the MNF and an even more impressive record of 11-1. Of course, San Francisco is 1-4 Away this season, which is tied for the second-worst NFL rating, so maybe betting on them is not such a good idea. Surprisingly, this match will mark Aaron Rodgers' first appearance Monday night since 2016. The Packers quarterback has a 5-0 record at home Monday night as a starter (4-1 ATS) while he is not in the lead. he plays more than a quarter of the match. .
BYES: Saints, Lions
[ad_2]
Source link
