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It is fitting that the Kansas City Chiefs be in football next week, as their attack probably does not fit on the television of the afternoon. Coach Andy Reid's attack devastated the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, while Patrick Mahomes & Co. scored five straight touchdowns in the first period in 38-27. Their performance was unfortunately eclipsed by the serious knee injury suffered by 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, but the Chiefs' offense is the most entertaining part of the NFL season in three weeks.
The numbers are really amazing. In three games, the Chiefs scored 15 touchdowns, equalizing with the 1998 49ers and the 2013 Broncos for most touchdowns in the first three games of the year for the same team. They join the 2007 Patriots as the only team since 1970 to score five or more touchdowns in each of their first three games.
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Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw three touchdown passes in the first half on Sunday against the 49ers, giving him 13 points for the first three games of the season, an NFL record.
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Dallas could not convert the third and Oakland disappeared after halftime. It's time to worry about Cowboys and Raiders? NFL Nation is watching week 3.
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Does Clay Matthews have any idea of the direction of the league? Does Dallas need a new QB? We have answers to big questions.
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Mahomes deserves his own section. He became the first quarterback in the history of the league to kick 13 touchdowns in the first three games of the season. He averaged 12.4 yards per pass per pass in the first three weeks, which would be the second best start of the season in a player's history with 25 or more assists per game, placing Mahomes between seasons by Otto Graham (1953) and Tom Brady (2007). The fact that the Texas Tech product is in its second, third and fourth career makes it even more remarkable.
Clearly, many organizations across the league look forward to the Chiefs and wish their offense seems to have generated points at will. As much as they could imagine having Mahomes in their building, a good part of the league was lucky. Ten teams have drafted Mahomes, including the Browns, Bears, Jets and Bills, each of them preparing a quarter in the top 10 projects of 2017 or 2018.
If they can not have Mahomes, the best thing to do for an organization is to copy what the leaders have done to get their star quarterback up and create a transcendent offensive around him. Here are the lessons the NFL can learn from the leaders and their start to the record season:
Do not be afraid of the spread
Not the spread of the game or the postgame spread, but the widespread offense. Despite the fact that we have seen widespread concepts infiltrate virtually every college football attack in the past 15 years, the NFL has seen this more as a nuisance than anything else. Although there have been exceptions (with the Patriots as a remarkable adopter), there have been many successful coaches in the league who were skeptical about the spread and the reading-option concepts who helped fill his game.
Bruce Arians called the reading option "a big breach at the college level" in 2013 and suggested in 2015 that callers to broadcast "were not real quarters". Mike Tomlin called the option read-option "flavor of the month" by comparing to the Wildcat. Ex-players and coaches complained about the quality and technique of quarterbacks and offensive linemen coming out of the university, suggesting that he is responsible for a drop in the quality of the game. of the NFL last season. Even the general idea that the NFL was better dates back 25 years.
Reid, who spent his coaching career learning the west coast attack under Bill Walsh's disciple Mike Holmgren in Green Bay, could easily have been one of those coaches who relied on what he knew to continue working. Holmgren, for one, was Skeptical about the development curve of the passers-by who extended to the pros, noting how they had to adapt to the central part.
Instead, the former Eagles coach has spent years building this moment. Reid incorporated some propagation concepts with Michael Vick during his last years in Philadelphia, but the learning curve accelerated after the Chiefs hired former Vikings coach Brad Childress in March 2013. Coach Chris Ault, who developed the gun offense and launched Colin Kaepernick's career, to serve as a consultant.
Over the next five years, the Chiefs added more sprawling concepts to their attack for Alex Smith, who played in the Under Urban Meyer pass in Utah. The propagation and the reading option are not the same, but the statistics on the reading options are a useful proxy for the comfort of a team with the principles of diffusion. According to ESPN Stats & Information, in 2013, the Chiefs used the play option for 28 quick games. This number increased to 41 in 2014, 64 in 2015, 74 in 2016 and 87 last season. Ault left for training in Europe after two seasons and Childress followed former offensive coordinator Matt Nagy out of the offseason, but the Chiefs are quite comfortable with what they have learned. .
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The solution to Holmgren's worries about the employment of a quarterback like Mahomes at the center? Do not put it there. Mahomes launched 85 of his 93 passes this season, the fourth highest percentage in the league among quarterbacks. The Chiefs played 17 option plays in three weeks, which allowed them to keep pace with 90. These runs generated only 37 yards, but this is a devastating short-term tactic that has produced first five trials.
One of the ways to combat offensive online gambling is to terrify teams with five eligible receivers and dare defenses before reaching quarterback. Mahomes spent a lot of time working in empty fields at Texas Tech under the direction of Kliff Kingsbury in the air raid. Mahomes has been an absolute demon of empty sets this season. When he found himself alone in the backfield, he was 15-18 for 208 yards with three touchdowns, no interceptions and a score of 154.4 without ever being sacked.
Reid has also popularized plays that have been successful in large-scale attacks at the professional level. Last year, it was the concept of a power shovel near the goal line, a play that a few league teams were running in mid-season. This season, the Chiefs have installed what is often called a "pass-touch", which essentially consists of an end-to-end volley, only with the receiver moving in front of the quarterback . While other teams have passed the NFL forward pass for a slam here and there, the Chiefs have played two touchdowns in Week 1. In the following weeks, several teams added it to their playbooks.
It was easy ? @ datblackmomba13
?: CBS #ChiefsKingdom # Kickoff2018 pic.twitter.com/l0XaXi2IRE
– NFL (@NFL) September 9, 2018
It is fair to note that Mahomes does not fit with the clichéd ideas of what was missing in the quarterbacks of the past. He had the freedom and the responsibility to define both the protections and to change the games before the shot. He was able to read the entire field and launch throws when his first two or three options were not open. Crucially, however, he also has the strength to count the smallest possible number of windows and scare teams leaving their cornerbacks on isolated ground.
At the same time, the league is becoming more and more comfortable with the schemes and concepts that were once considered gadgets. The air raid was once a plan designed to give the Wesleyan, Valdosta State and Kentucky teams from Halmumme Iowa the opportunity to compete with larger schools filled with better athletes. When Kentucky quarterback Tim Couch failed to become a superstar after being drafted with the first overall pick, the league seemed to get excited by scoring the quarter-finals, bringing them back to the top. late choices. Exceptions such as Brandon Weeden and Kevin Kolb have also failed in larger roles.
Things change. The Rams used the top pick on Jared Goff after excelling as a quarterback at Air Raid in Cal. In his first season, Goff had an excellent quarterback under Sean McVay. The Eagles won the Super Bowl with a heavy dose of mesh, the double-crossing road concept that is the most notable game of the air offensive. Their quarterback in this match was Nick Foles, who was a quarterback of the Air Raid in Arizona. He succeeded Carson Wentz, who committed a crime in North Dakota State. Coach Doug Pederson performed what Chris Harris Jr., the Broncos cornerback, called a collegiate offensive after the Eagles dropped 51 in Denver mid-season. And Pederson, of course, was a West Coast quarterback who taught himself how to become a high school coach before becoming an assistant to Reid.
Patrick Mahomes creates room with his legs behind the line before touching Chris Conley.
Get a quarter of tomorrow in front of you need a quarter of tomorrow
While there were rumors linking the Chiefs to Mahomes prior to the 2017 draft, this seemed to be the sort of thing we see around teams with veteran quarterbacks in their mid-thirties each season. The Steelers, for their part, were also related to Mahomes. Although the advantage of Mahomes is obvious, it was also a relatively controversial choice. Kansas City was an eternal competitor under Reid and had just released a 12-4 season that saw him narrowly losing against the Steelers in the playoffs. Would not it make more sense to catch another weapon for Smith or a corner half in front of Marcus Peters?
Instead, the Chiefs beat Texans, Saints and Cardinals from 27th to 10th place, sending the Bills their third-round pick and 2018 first-round pick for the privilege. (The Bills ended up choosing Tre & # 39; Davious White and used the other two selections to move and grab Zay Jones and Tremaine Edmunds.) They fished Mahomes out as it essentially reduced Smith's status to duck. with two years remaining on the veteran's agreement.
The timing of the move has actually worked in Kansas City's favor, and teams should consider following their own shift process. Instead of sulking and asking for an exchange, as Sam Bradford did after the Eagles drafted Wentz, Smith responded to the challenge and achieved his best year as a professional. The Chiefs then traded Smith against Washington for a second-round pick, recouping some of the bargaining costs to seize Mahomes.
In addition, the Chiefs were able to give Mahomes a year to refine his mechanics and feel comfortable in the Kansas City program without having to take over a competitive team. He started only 35 assists in his first campaign, starting a game of the week 17 meaningless against the Broncos without the benefit of Tyreek Hill or Travis Kelce. While Smith had his best professional season, the Chiefs resisted the urge to switch to Mahomes during the mid-season easing, and Reid preferred to relinquish his duties to Nagy.
Many teams talk about wanting to give their smugglers time to develop before inserting them into alignment, but few organizations actually follow their plans in reality. Teams that have thunderclaps usually do not have a viable option under the center, so when their squares are struggling, the roars of the crowd usually persuade the coaches to move. We have already seen four of the five quarterbacks taken in this year's first round of the repechage making their entry into the lineup, with 32 caps in total, Lamar Jackson, as an exception.
It's impossible to find a better fit plan that applies to all quarterbacks, but it's also fair to note that the first-round picks that have spent most of their rookie seasons (or more) on the bench could reach the ground. when they entered the alignment. When you go through the list of passers who have made 50 or fewer attempts in their first season in the last 20 years, you'll find quarters like Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers, Philip Rivers, Daunte Culpepper, Chad Pennington and Carson Palmer. who had immediate success after entering the lineup for good. (You'll also see J.P. Losman, Brady Quinn and Johnny Manziel, because the Bills and the Browns are the Bills and the Browns.)
There is not enough sample to say with authority that teams should use a first-round pick on a passer and stick it to the bench for a year before letting it see the field. There is also the lost year of value with a rookie contract under the current CBA, given that part of the proposal in trading for quarters is to acquire a guy who can keep you competitive while making a fraction of the market value for passers-by.
At the same time, Mahomes went from being the third-best quarterback in his class to probably the best quarter the league through three weeks. Sitting and watching worked well for him, as for other passers-by who made tremendous progress during the year. As tempting as they are to get a quick fix to a potential rookie, teams looking to rebuild their shift might think of letting their new smuggler wait on the sidelines and learn for a year.
Take a look at Patrick Mahomes' evolution from Whitehouse High School in Texas to the creation of QB for the Kansas City Chiefs.
Make bets on the offensive line
It seems like a lot of successful teams are tackling offensive online help, huh? The Chiefs have made their line a priority since Reid and former GM John Dorsey arrived in 2013 and used the first overall pick on left tackle Eric Fisher. Fisher has signed an extension and is accompanied by Mitchell Schwartz, whose $ 33 million five-year deal is one of the best bargains of football veterans. Schwartz is one of the best tacklers right in the AFC.
Inside, Reid was able to write and find useful contributors. He inherited a lineage with Jeff Allen and Rodney Hudson, who then signed massive free agency agreements to play elsewhere. The former offensive line coach replaced them with linemen developing. In the sixth round of the 2014 draft, Reid wrote Zach Fulton and Laurent Duvernay-Tardif. Fulton left for the Texans in the off-season, but Dr. Duvernay-Tardif signed a $ 43 million extension over five years after only two years as a starter. He became a Pro Bowl caliber guard in good health.
A year later, the Chiefs used their second-round pick Mitch Morse, who plays in the middle. The left guard station went to Cameron Erving, a former first round that was purchased for a fifth-round pick after failing to grow with the Browns. The Chiefs declined their fifth-year option but gave Erving a two-year extension of up to $ 15.7 million if he turned out to be a good beginner.
Unlike the Texans, who are starting the 2016 second-round pick, Nick Martin alongside former utility specialist Fulton and Senio Kelemete, both signatories as free agents hoping to become starters on time full. Martinas Rankin, third round, and Julie & # 39; n Davenport, fourth in 2017, made five penalties in Sunday's loss to the Giants. Deshaun Watson is under more pressure than any other quarterback in the league. Mahomes could be good enough to succeed anywhere, but he is lucky to have found a home with a very good offensive line and a coach who has brought a lot of draft picks.
Target athletes mid-turn, even at the expense of height
It is true that the Chiefs went out of their way to sell a massive contract to Sammy Watkins, who signed a $ 48 million contract over three years during the off season. Outside of Watkins, however, the Chiefs found the weapons of their attack in the middle rounds. They used a third round pick in the 2013 draft against Kelce, who missed most of his rookie season after undergoing a knee microfracture surgery. Kelce came back and quickly became a nightmare for opponent linebackers. He has not missed a match since.
In 2017, the Chiefs used a third-round pick on Kareem Hunt, the sixth in his class. Hunt immediately had to enter the game after Spencer Ware got injured at the end of the season. While Hunt tried his first professional touch, Reid kept his rookie confidence and tore him into a star. performance. Hunt finished the season with a total of 1,327 yards rushing.
Hill fell in the fifth round of the 2016 draft after being fired from the Oklahoma State program for assaulting his pregnant girlfriend. Hill's crime was disgusting, and it would obviously be disgusting to suggest that teams should methodically emulate leaders by trying to turn domestic violence into a form of arbitration by buying little misbehavior. The reality is that Hill has become one of the best football players. Hill would probably have been a second or third round choice without the onslaught, and maybe teams considering mimicking the Chiefs might consider using a pick in this lineup on a player with Hill's skills coming out of university. -incidents in the field.
At Hill, Hunt, and Kelce, the Chiefs managed to find three inconsistencies on a game-by-game basis without spending more than a third-round pick. Chris Conley, Demarcus Robinson and De & Anthony Thomas, each of whom has a prototyping size or speed, round out the lineup. Ware is back and keeps a $ 3.6 million agreement over two years. Even side Anthony Sherman is a useful part of the passing game at a fraction of what the 49ers have paid for Kyle Juszczyk.
When I went through the league 's arsenals during the off – season and found that the leaders had the best weapons in the league, even me, I was surprised. Three weeks are not enough to confirm this conclusion, but we can see how much the leaders can devastate the opposing defenses. Mahomes has at least one incompatibility and usually more than one on each piece. When teams throw an area blanket, Mahomes has the strength to find small windows and find Kelce and Watkins. When they are man, Hill can overtake them or Hunt can crush them, as he did in Week 2.
YES. @ patrickmahomes5 has just launched its 3rd TD in the first quarter.
?: CBS #ChiefsKingdom pic.twitter.com/cwx1x8BEJZ
– NFL (@NFL) September 16, 2018
Break the rules of what we know about the NFL
OK, so this one is not reproducible. There are elements of what chefs are doing this season that they will not even be able to keep up with the season. They scored 11 touchdowns in 12 trips in the red zone while converting 50% of their third setbacks. Mahomes did not intercept interception and the Chiefs lost only one fumble in their 32 offensive possessions. They averaged 3.5 points per possession in a league in which the only team in the modern era to reach a record high of 3.0 points was the 2007 Patriots, which averaged 3.2 points per trip.
It's the terrifying thing about these leaders: they could regress to the mean and still be there, with Rams, Saints and Buccaneers as the best crimes in football. Mahomes is going to have a pass in the air here or there. He will make a bad decision in the red zone. They will lose Watkins for a few weeks with injuries. Reid will mismanage the clock in a key situation. This thing will happen because it happens to good teams. Their defense is probably not good enough to win a playoff match if Mahomes and the offense do not reach 20 points, despite having their best result of the season against the 49ers on Sunday. They are still waiting to find Eric Berry after tore his Achilles in the first game last year, and he would give a massive boost to Kansas City high school.
After three weeks of offensive, the Chiefs seem to be in top form. The Dolphins are AFC's second best team at the moment. a red zone defense even less durable and win Titans, Jets and Raiders. Patriots and steelers are about to begin. AFC West looks eminently winnable with the Raiders at 0-3, the Chargers at 1-2 and the Broncos probably the worst 2-1 teams in the league. Kansas City has a 72.4% chance of winning the division, according to the ESPN Football Power Index, and although Chiefs fans may have had the gall to go to the playoffs with Smith in the center, Mahomes could well to be another animal.
There is of course another team that embodies many of these principles, and it should not be surprising to have them shaped. The Eagles traded against Wentz despite Bradford being on the list, surrounded him with weapons after the first year, and built their attack to take advantage of his success in the gap rather than try to train him. . They certainly have a better defense than the Chiefs, but the same guiding principles were used to reinforce the former Reid team.
Even if organizations do not copy the Reid plan line by line, there are individual lessons to be learned. If you write a quarter a year before you think you need it and let it sit, you may never need to rebuild. When your offensive infrastructure is healthy, you can find weapons in the middle of the draft. If you adopt the change in high school and college football, you will beat the other teams instead of waiting to see the new trend and copy it. Reid was at the forefront of the league revolution over the past two decades. Now, 20 years after his coaching career, Reid remains at the forefront with the league's most explosive attack.
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