[ad_1]
Europe's surprise deal on migration is putting pressure on Angela Merkel's antagonists for them to turn away from German border security, increasing the chances that they will not be able to do so. she overcomes the last threat to her Chancery.
Merkel and other leaders of the European Union 19659003] challenged expectations of forging an agreement early Friday, putting the burden on the CSU ruling party in Bavaria who sought clash. Its leaders must now decide at a meeting on Sunday to risk a historic break from the party bloc that has ruled Germany for most of the time since World War II or beat a retreat save the face.
With Italian and Austrian migration drives Supporting a coordinated European approach at the summit, CSU appeared increasingly isolated before deciding to challenge Merkel and start sending asylum seekers back to the border already registered in another EU country. Polls suggest that public support for the Bavarians' position is down.
"At this point, the CSU can not afford to dig against a compromise," said Juergen Falter, a political scientist at the Johannes Gutenberg University in Mainz. . "They appeared as troublemakers."
Read more: The true black swan for the future of the EU is a Germany without Merkel
Investors have welcomed the outcome of the summit the CSU said that migration qu & # 39; He has long since raised. The Christian Democratic Union of Merkel, the largest party of its governing coalition, rallied behind the chancellor. "Now these measures must be implemented," Alexander Dobrindt, head of the CSU caucus in the German parliament, said in a statement. The Bavarian party will review the summit agreement "very carefully," he said.
European Triumph
Turning the roles on her sister party, Merkel credited CSU pressure to help European leaders tackle migration. This includes a German agreement for Spain and Greece to take over previously registered asylum seekers who are traveling to the German border.
"This was an important step in the right direction," Merkel told reporters, referring to the EU's agreement. Shifting Polls
A poll released Friday revealed that the public position of his government is slipping amidst infighting. Support for Merkel's CDU-CSU group fell by 1 percentage point to 32% and its social-democratic coalition partner fell by 2 points to 18%, according to a survey by FG Wahlen for ZDF television
. 61 percent, 91 percent of respondents said that they favored European solutions to migration – an endorsement of Merkel's line and a snobby to the nationalist push of Bavaria for unilateral measures to strengthen the border.
As the main transit point in Germany, Bavaria became a migratory outbreak point during the refugee crisis in Europe in 2015 and 2016. The gains of the far right, anti-immigration alternative for Germany, have revived the subject. the CSU agenda before the state elections in October
Power Base
Decades of Bavaria's reign while partnering with the CDU at the national level give the CSU an inordinate influence. Bavarian politicians have said that Germany has done its part by hosting more than one million refugees since 2015 and that the three years of coaxing European partners of Angela Merkel have not worked.
Yet CSU support in Bavaria dropped by 1 point to 41% from an April poll, while the AfD rose by 14%, according to a poll of the United States. INSA this week. This means that the ruling party in Bavaria is on the brink of a significant drop in support for the 47.7% won in the last election five years ago
Key Demand
Dobrindt, CSU national caucus leader, said he was encouraged that the EU summit declaration states that national governments "should take all necessary domestic legislative and administrative measures" to counteract so-called secondary migration – people moving to seek asylum in EU countries other than the first one they came in
Secondary migration is CSU's main claim in its clash with Merkel, though European leaders also agreed that EU countries should cooperate to contain it.
"It would be difficult to understand if the CSU broke with the CDU," said Heinrich Oberreuter, a political scientist at the University of Passau and a long-time CSU observer. "At least, CSU can claim that it has forced the hand of Europe."
Source link
